W of ’99

1:45 p.m. E.T.

On MSNBC, I muse about what kind of leader the Republican Party needs now:

MARK HALPERIN: It seems to me what the party needs — and when I’m tired and my defenses are down, I court Twitter attacks — the party needs a compassionate conservative, who’s a reformer with results, who’s comfortable going after Washington as a presidential candidate, including his own party. Who has a record as a governor of getting things done.

ALEX WAGNER: Whose name is Chris Christie.

MARK HALPERIN: No, his name is George W. Bush! George W. Bush circa 1999. If there were a candidate just like that today…a successful governor who’s a reformer with results, who sent pox on both parties in Washington, who was comfortable with the right but could speak to suburban voters and is not afraid to go to California, African-American neighborhoods, and Cleveland, Hispanic neighborhoods, I think that person would do well for the Republican Party but I don’t see who it is.

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The State of the GOP or Gop (Cont.)

1:35 p.m. E.T.

Michael Steele and I, on “Now with Alex Wagner,” kick it around.

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What Now

1:30 p.m. E.T.

My “Now with Alex Wagner” Take on the how the President has a second chance to fulfill some first-term promises.

ALEX WAGNER: Both men chose to focus on unity at a moment when it could have been about a victory or a defeat. And, instead, the message is let’s carry this forward. We’re still one United States of America.

MARK HALPERIN: You know, I think all of us have respect for both of them and have seen both of them act like that in their careers — not so much though during the campaign itself. If those two guys had waged the campaign I think we would have had a better and more uplifting campaign and the winner would have had more of a mandate than I think the President has. He still has a big mandate. I think he’s got tons of running room on the Left. ObamaCare is now going to be implemented. So, that alone is a historic achievement for progressives. And, the big things the President wants to do now, he’s got to deal with the grand bargain. That’s going to require running room from the Left, without a doubt, because the House is controlled by the Republicans. But, climate change, which he brought up yesterday after not bringing it up much as a candidate, immigration, which he brought up selectively as a candidate, those are two things progressives would love to see. So, those are the three big items and I think the prospect of unity is the great opportunity of the Fiscal Cliff, which is otherwise filled with peril. If he doesn’t solve it, I think this term could be very rough. If he does, I think he could have an even more productive term and a term more in keeping with the promise of a bipartisan presidency in 2008.

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More on the State of the GOP or Gop

11:35 a.m. E.T.

My late-night (a/k/a “early morning”) colloquy with Brian Williams about the challenges ahead for the Republican Party.

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Best Ever?

10:10 a.m. E.T.

From “Morning Joe”:

JOE SCARBOROUGH: We’re obviously going to be looking at strategy. Republicans are going to be talking about what Mitt Romney did wrong. Let’s talk about not only what the President did right, but what David Plouffe and the rest of that campaign did right. You know, again, the targeting, the focused approach. You know, I’ve always talked about what Ken Mehlman and Karl Rove did in 2004. Boy, what happened last night was nothing short of remarkable because the campaign events, they weren’t that exciting. You look at the faces in the crowd, people weren’t as moved by the President. But you know what? Emotion, at the end, didn’t matter. The hard numbers did.

MARK HALPERIN: The President said in his speech last night, “I have the best campaign staff ever.” And that, maybe, we take as hyperbolic. It may turn out to be factually true. They did a bunch of stuff which they teased out but some stuff they hid. My colleague Michael Scherer has a piece coming out on TIME.com and TIME magazine, inside some of the targeting they did that they didn’t show. They didn’t want the Republicans to know. I had one Republican source who signed up for a lot of their stuff to see what they were doing and their targeting of getting these voters out, in the nine states that mattered, not wasting time in the other states, reaching out to their base, they may be, we may decide, the best campaign of all time.

JOE SCARBOROUGH: Steve Schmidt, you agree?

STEVE SCHMIDT: Absolutely. I think that the job that David Plouffe and David Axelrod did is — they go down in the history and in the books the greatest campaign consultant duo that ever lived.

MARK HALPERIN: And Jim Messina, the campaign manager, I’d add in there.

…..

MARK HALPERIN: Two things the President’s campaign assured us would be true were true. One was that they had the mechanics to get out their vote in the battleground states and the other was the undecideds would not break decisively towards Mitt Romney.

JOE SCARBOROUGH: So we talk all the time about what these campaigns were telling us all along. Everything the President’s campaign staff was telling us was true. And an awful lot of what Mitt Romney’s campaign staff was telling us, was, in effect, whistling past the graveyard, hoping against hope that they would get a wave.

MARK HALPERIN: The President’s campaign was confident throughout, the most confident campaign I’ve ever covered. They said the President has small but durable leads and when we look now at the results versus the final polls, people thought, “Well, maybe they’re skewing too much towards the President.,” because of the two factors I said, their turnout I said and the undecideds going partially for the president. They over-performed in most of these battleground states.

MICHAEL STEELE: Do you think, if they had, the Romney team, had approached the idea of not necessarily Pennsylvania per say, but a number of other states to stretch out the Obama team and their effort a little bit more than they had, to sort of, to tap into and get them off of how they were micro-targeting those districts, that that would have made a difference in places like a Florida or  a Virginia that they wound up losing instead of winning?

MARK HALPERIN: This is the first presidential campaign that any of us have ever seen where resources weren’t an issue for either side. And I think if Governor Romney would have gone earlier into a state like Pennsylvania, the President’s team would have been as competent and efficient at analyzing how do we get to 50 percent + 1 in Pennsylvania with the kind of targeting. For instance, in Virginia, they targeted women voters very effectively, talking about women’s reproductive freedom and other issues. I think they would have done the same thing in the Philadelphia suburbs.

Read my report from October 24 on the Obama high command’s supreme confidence in victory, based on a headquarters interview on their operation and plans.

Daniel Shea/For TIME

Inside the Numbers

9:15 a.m. E.T.

My colleague Michael Scherer has an exclusive piece this morning on TIME.com, explaining how big data powered Barack Obama’s win.

Read it here.

Ask Everyone

8:45 a.m. E.T.

My colloquy with Senator-elect Tim Kaine from “Morning Joe”:

MARK HALPERIN: I want to move you from electoral politics to governance. The big issue for everybody is now going to be the Fiscal Cliff. Obviously, you can’t go into the full details but what would you like to see in a grand bargain? What are the big elements you think are required to get the kind of deal that everybody’s going to be asked to weigh in on?

TIM KAINE: Well, Mark, let me take it in two steps. First, let’s avoid the sequester cuts and the expiration of all the Bush tax cuts. I’ve had a plan on the table for about five months that just uses three simple elements that I think are all compromises. Let the Bush tax cuts expire over $500,000. That’s a compromise between the Democratic and Republican position and it produces about $500 billion over ten years. Fix Medicare so we can negotiate for prescription drug pricing and take tax subsidies away from the big five oil companies, who are incredibly profitable. If you do those three things, and you can see all of those as compromises, then you take the trillion dollars of potential cuts that could hurt defense and hurt the Virginia economy and you shrink it down to about $230 billion of targeted savings that you have to find over the next ten years. If we can do that deal that will create confidence and can springboard us into the bigger discussion and I think the bigger discussion has to be one where, kind of along the lines suggested by so many, we’ve got to have $2 or $3 of targeted cuts for every dollar of revenue. But we can’t fix the ballot sheet unless we fix both sides of the ballot sheet. So both parties are going to have to give.

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