Figure 2: Effect of PPACA on Employer-Sponsored Coverage with and without the Individual Mandate
This image is excerpted from a U.S. GAO report:
www.gao.gov/products/GAO-12-768
PATIENT PROTECTION AND AFFORDABLE CARE ACT: Estimates of the Effect on the Prevalence of Employer-Sponsored Health Coverage
Notes: The CBO estimate of the effect of PPACA with the mandate noted here (-3 million) differs from the estimate noted in fig. 1 (-4 million) because CBO’s analysis of the effect of eliminating the individual mandate used the agency’s 2010, rather than its 2012, projections, and predicted PPACA’s effect in 2021, rather than 2016. In each study, predicted changes are estimated as compared to a baseline level of coverage in a given year without implementation of PPACA. The estimates presented in this figure are for different time frames: the CBO estimate is for 2021, the RAND estimates are for 2016, and The Lewin Group and Urban Institute/RWJF estimates are for 2011 (assuming implementation of key PPACA provisions).
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