This module discusses how a changing climate can also lead to changes in extreme weather events on the local scale. The role of natural variability is also explained. The module describes how climate change can have both positive and negative effects, depending on the situation, location, and the vulnerability of the population. While research on climate change and extreme events is still relatively new, the module discusses what changes scientists think are likely if greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise.
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Anomalous number of days with maximum surface temperatures reaching 34°C for June-August 2003. Anomalies are departures from the 1971–2000 base period daily means.
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A temperature outlook, issued on March 15, 2012, that shows how human-produced greenhouse gases were expected to change the odds that April 2012 would be as warm as the top five Aprils in the reference period (1960–2011).
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climate change, extreme weather, climate projections, global climate models, attribution science, heat wave, natural variability