Research & Data
Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
Growth Rate of Orders Index
September 2012
Growth Rate of Orders—Index
Sep 11 |
Oct 11 |
Nov 11 |
Dec 11 |
Jan 12 |
Feb 12 |
Mar 12 |
Apr 12 |
May 12 |
Jun 12 |
Jul 12 |
Aug 12 |
Sep 12 |
Current Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted | ||||||||||||
-0.6
|
-1.9
|
-7.8
|
-7.3
|
6.6
|
6.6
|
-0.8
|
-2.6
|
-3.7
|
1.6
|
-3.1
|
-8.7
|
-0.4
|
Future Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted (six months from report period) | ||||||||||||
16.2
|
22.8
|
25.6
|
23.3
|
30.0
|
32.1
|
37.2
|
21.1
|
13.7
|
14.6
|
10.7
|
15.3
|
4.2
|
Growth Rate of Orders—Composition of Responses
Sep 11 |
Oct 11 |
Nov 11 |
Dec 11 |
Jan 12 |
Feb 12 |
Mar 12 |
Apr 12 |
May 12 |
Jun 12 |
Jul 12 |
Aug 12 |
Sep 12 |
|
Current Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted | |||||||||||||
% Increase |
19.5 |
19.8 |
14.9 |
19.0 |
25.8 |
25.0 |
18.8 |
22.7 |
20.6 |
21.5 |
20.2 |
14.6 |
18.1 |
% No Change |
60.4 |
58.5 |
62.4 |
54.7 |
54.9 |
56.6 |
61.6 |
52.0 |
55.1 |
58.6 |
56.5 |
62.2 |
63.4 |
% Decrease |
20.1 |
21.7 |
22.7 |
26.3 |
19.2 |
18.4 |
19.6 |
25.3 |
24.3 |
19.9 |
23.3 |
23.3 |
18.5 |
Sep 11 |
Oct 11 |
Nov 11 |
Dec 11 |
Jan 12 |
Feb 12 |
Mar 12 |
Apr 12 |
May 12 |
Jun 12 |
Jul 12 |
Aug 12 |
Sep 12 |
|
Future Growth Rate of Orders, seasonally adjusted (six months from report period) | |||||||||||||
% Increase |
27.4 |
29.8 |
33.8 |
30.4 |
37.6 |
39.3 |
41.6 |
33.7 |
25.4 |
30.6 |
28.3 |
26.7 |
24.5 |
% No Change |
61.4 |
63.2 |
58.1 |
62.4 |
54.8 |
53.5 |
54.0 |
53.7 |
62.9 |
53.4 |
54.1 |
61.9 |
55.2 |
% Decrease |
11.2 |
7.0 |
8.2 |
7.1 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
4.4 |
12.6 |
11.7 |
16.0 |
17.6 |
11.4 |
20.3 |
NOTE: Survey responses are used to calculate an index for each indicator. Each index is calculated by subtracting the percentage of respondents reporting a decrease from the percentage reporting an increase. When the share of firms reporting an increase exceeds the share of firms reporting a decrease, the index will be greater than zero, suggesting the indicator has increased over the prior month. If the share of firms reporting a decrease exceeds the share reporting an increase, the index will be below zero, suggesting the indicator has decreased over the prior month. An index will be zero when the number of firms reporting an increase is equal to the number of firms reporting a decrease. Items may not add up to 100 percent because of rounding.
Questions regarding the Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey can be addressed to Emily Kerr at emily.kerr@dal.frb.org.
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