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Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation Rate

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August 2012

The trimmed mean PCE inflation rate is an alternative measure of core inflation in the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE). It is calculated by staff at the Dallas Fed, using data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

The trimmed mean PCE inflation rate for August was an annualized 2.0 percent. According to the BEA, the overall PCE inflation rate for August was 5.3 percent, annualized, while the inflation rate for PCE excluding food and energy was 1.3 percent.

The tables below present data on the trimmed mean PCE inflation rate and, for comparison, the overall PCE inflation and the inflation rate for PCE excluding food and energy. The tables give annualized one-month, six-month and 12-month inflation rates.

One-month PCE inflation, annual rate
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
PCE
2.8
0.2
-2.4
1.0
0.4
5.3
PCE excluding food & energy
2.2
1.6
1.2
2.1
0.7
1.3
Trimmed mean PCE
2.3
1.6
1.4
1.5
1.3
2.0

Six-month PCE inflation, annual rate
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
PCE
1.9
2.0
1.4
1.4
1.0
1.2
PCE excluding food & energy
2.0
2.0
1.9
2.0
1.6
1.5
Trimmed mean PCE
2.0
2.0
1.8
1.8
1.6
1.7

12-month PCE inflation
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
PCE
2.2
1.9
1.5
1.5
1.3
1.5
PCE excluding food & energy
2.0
1.9
1.7
1.8
1.6
1.6
Trimmed mean PCE
2.0
1.9
1.9
1.9
1.8
1.8
NOTE: These data are subject to revision

The following chart plots the evolution of the distribution of price increases in the monthly component data over the past year. The chart shows the percentage of components each month, weighted by their shares in total spending, for which prices grew between 0 and 2 percent (at an annual rate); between 2 and 3 percent; between 3 and 5 percent; between 5 and 10 percent; and more than 10 percent.

Evolution of the distribution of component price increases

Related Publications and Resources

2012 Release Dates

  • August 3*
  • August 30
  • September 28
  • October 29
  • November 30
  • December 21

*This release incorporates the BEA's annual revision. While the indexes for overall PCE and PCE excluding food and energy will be available from BEA July 31, the underlying data needed to calculate the trimmed mean will not be available until August 3.

More Information

To request additional data or for technical questions, e-mail Jim Dolmas.

 

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