Various Weekend -Mentums

Beneath the blast and fury of the presidential campaign, some interesting stuff is happening in the Senate. Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts and Tim Kaine in Virginia appear to be moving back into significant and sustained leads. In fact, one of the peculiarities of the last week is that President Obama’s dip did not appear to pull down Democratic Senate candidates. Possibly even the contrary.

If You Were Missing Newt

Gingrich says Romney flipflopped on taxes at the debate, but good move.

Um ….

Seeing as everyone’s so hyped up now to get the very latest poll information, did I mention we have the only polltracking App in the Appstore, PollTracker Mobile, that gives you real time notifications every time a poll is released on a race you’re following. All the polls your fingertips, charts and more. Download it here, free at the Appstore.

Bit of Good News for Obama

The first quality poll out of Colorado was released this morning. Selzer’s new poll (conducted Thursday and Friday) shows Obama with a 4 point margin over Mitt Romney.

Bounce Comes Into Focus

Over the course of Saturday we’ve started to get a clearer picture of the effect the Wednesday night debate had on public opinion nationwide. There’s little doubt the immediate effect was to significantly boost Mitt Romney’s standing. (I’ll assume that you’ve read my post from last night going over the polls as of then. If not, you can read it here.) What we’ve learned since last night is that a significant post-debate boost for Romney has shown up in virtually every poll. Ipsos, Rasmussen and Gallup all show marked tightening – with the difference mainly corresponding to the number of days their tracking poll covers.

Questions on TPMPrime

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What Do the Post-Debate Polls Say?

After Wednesday’s dramatic debate, there’s a huge demand for polling information that might tell us whether the debate shifted the dynamic of the election. Undoubtedly, the demand still clearly out outstrips the available data. But there’s enough smatterings of results available now that we can start to get at least some sense of what’s happening.

Let’s start with the evidence for a big Romney bump in the polls.

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Yup, Ya Nailed It

New Yorker releases truly epic debate cover.

A Reprieve From The Crazy

A few days ago we obtained, via a Freedom of Information Act request, a copy of document dated a month after the 2008 election which indicated that a staffer in Paul Ryan’s office had apparently called the FEC inquiring about President-elect Obama’s citizenship and eligibility to be president. Our first reaction was basically, wow.

Could it be that the Republican vice presidential nominee, or someone on his behalf, had been calling into question Obama’s eligibility before he was even sworn in?

We started looking into and it turns out the golden boy of the conservative movement not only hasn’t dabbled in birtherism, but instead for years he’s been sending constituents who inquire about Obama’s eligibility the best available proof that Obama was born in Hawaii. Ryan Reilly has our story.

The Day In 100 Seconds

The best of the BLS conspiracy theories… Full size version.

One Less BLStruther

McCain spokesperson: “He’s not questioning the BLS numbers in any way.”