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Tropical Depression GIL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102007               
2100 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 193N 1228W 34  5   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 193N 1228W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 193N 1228W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 196N 1245W 34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 24 196N 1245W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 196N 1245W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 199N 1261W 34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 199N 1261W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 199N 1261W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 202N 1278W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 48 202N 1278W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 48 202N 1278W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 202N 1310W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 72 202N 1310W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 202N 1310W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     25     20      20      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Friday, 02-Nov-2007 21:21:01 UTC