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Tropical Storm FLOSSIE
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092007
0900 UTC THU AUG 09 2007
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 2(15)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 133N 1313W 34 46 16(62) 1(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
12 133N 1313W 50 13 9(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
12 133N 1313W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 133N 1338W 34 X 50(50) 16(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
24 133N 1338W 50 X 19(19) 12(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
24 133N 1338W 64 X 5( 5) 5(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
36 135N 1360W 34 X 4( 4) 47(51) 10(61) 2(63) 1(64) X(64)
36 135N 1360W 50 X 1( 1) 19(20) 7(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28)
36 135N 1360W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
48 135N 1380W 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 24(39) 11(50) 1(51) X(51)
48 135N 1380W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 12(15) 5(20) X(20) X(20)
48 135N 1380W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 140N 1420W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 19(22) 6(28) 1(29)
72 140N 1420W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
72 140N 1420W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 145N 1460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15)
96 145N 1460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2)
96 145N 1460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 160N 1500W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
120 160N 1500W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 160N 1500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 60 65 60 50 45 40
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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