Hurricane MAX

ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MAX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP132005
2100Z TUE SEP 20 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 119.5W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 119.5W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 119.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.9N 120.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 21.6N 121.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 21.8N 122.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 21.8N 124.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 21.9N 126.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 21.5N 128.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.5N 131.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 119.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA
 
 
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