Tropical Storm GREG

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072005
2100Z SUN AUG 14 2005
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 115.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 115.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 14.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 115.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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