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NOAA NWS Space Weather Prediction Center - Boulder, CO

NOAA NWS Space Weather Prediction Center
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  1. Fantastic image of the R3-Radio Blackout from earlier tonight. This x-ray image is from the NOAA GOES 15 spacecraft, the SXI imager, shows that this is from Region 1598.

    For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    Photo: Fantastic image of the R3-Radio Blackout from earlier tonight. This x-ray image is from the NOAA GOES 15 spacecraft, the SXI imager, shows that this is from Region 1598. 

For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  2. R3-Radio Blackout Storm in effect. Initial analysis has this coming from Region 1598. This solar flare was very impulsive which usually means, no CME and very low probability for energetic particles.

    With that being said, SWPC forecasters will monitor solar imagery and incoming data from our partners to get better idea of what is going on.

    For the latest in Space Weather information, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    Photo: R3-Radio Blackout Storm in effect. Initial analysis has this coming from Region 1598. This solar flare was very impulsive which usually means, no CME and very low probability for energetic particles.

With that being said, SWPC forecasters will monitor solar imagery and incoming data from our partners to get better idea of what is going on.

For the latest in Space Weather information, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  3. R2 - Radio Blackout storms were once again observed. Region 1598, just off the east limb has been rather active, producing multiple M-class solar flares in the past few days.

    SWPC forecasters are watching this region carefully as it rotate...
    s more into view, and into a more geoeffective range, if and when it produces a CME.

    Attaches is the Global D-region model that SWPC produces to show where 1 dB absorption can be seen due to solar flares. (This is a snapshot from now and not when the M5 flare was at it's peak). This model also shows estimated time to recovery, and includes proton effects, from Solar Radiation Storms at the poles. A fantastic SWPC model, that helps show real world Space Weather effects.

    For the latest in Space Weather, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: R2 - Radio Blackout storms were once again observed. Region 1598, just off the east limb has been rather active, producing multiple M-class solar flares in the past few days.

SWPC forecasters are watching this region carefully as it rotates more into view, and into a more geoeffective range, if and when it produces a CME.

Attaches is the Global D-region model that SWPC produces to show where 1 dB absorption can be seen due to solar flares. (This is a snapshot from now and not when the M5 flare was at it's peak). This model also shows estimated time to recovery, and includes proton effects, from Solar Radiation Storms  at the poles. A fantastic SWPC model, that helps show real world Space Weather effects.

For the latest in Space Weather, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  4. New Region 1598 crept around the east limb and produced an M9 (R2 - Moderate) flare today! It burped out a small plasma blob that is not expected to bother earth. This region has the potential to keep things interesting for the next few days, so stay tuned to http://www.spaceweather.gov/ for the latest information.
    Photo: New Region 1598 crept around the east limb and produced an M9 (R2 - Moderate) flare today!  It burped out a small plasma blob that is not expected to bother earth.  This region has the potential to keep things interesting for the next few days, so stay tuned to http://www.spaceweather.gov for the latest information.
  5. A few low level C-class x-ray flares were observed from Region 1589 since the forecast. A blob of plasma erupted from the southwest limb but is not expected to bother earth. The geomagnetic field has been quiet.

    Two anniversaries in phys...
    ics today:

    75th anniversary of the death of Ernest Rutherford, 1st Baron Rutherford of Nelson OM, FRS.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ernest_Rutherford

    102nd anniversary of the birth of Subrahmanyan Chandrasekhar.
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Subrahmanyan_Chandrasekhar

    two extraordinary individuals.
    See More
  6. For those of you who want to know about the some of the customer base we help support, here is a great video of our own Joe Kunches, talking Space Weather and solar activity.

    For the latest in Space Weather activity, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  7. Space Weather is currently at background levels. There are several active sunspot regions on the disk, however very little activity has been observed. Quiet geomagnetic activities are expected for the next three days.

    Here at SWPC we get ...
    many questions about Space Weather, impacts, phenomenon.... So we put together a great paper that has links, fantastic explanations, and answers to many of those questions.

    Enjoy and for the most up to date Space Weather information, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
  8. Space Weather is currently at background levels. There have been numerous low level solar flares over the past 24 hours. Multiple CME's have been observed but very little, if any, effects are expected here at Earth.

    Attached is a fantast...
    ic image of the Solar disk. This is a composite image, from our friends on the SDO/AIA program, which is three separate images laid over each other. This helps SWPC forecasters see the active regions and then the active corona above.

    For the latest Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: Space Weather is currently at background levels. There have been numerous low level solar flares over the past 24 hours.  Multiple CME's have been observed but very little, if any, effects are expected here at Earth. 

Attached is a fantastic image of the Solar disk. This is a composite image, from our friends on the SDO/AIA program, which is three separate images laid over each other. This helps SWPC forecasters see the active regions and then the active corona above.

For the latest Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  9. The geomagnetic field activity has reached G1 levels in overnight substorming. A G2 warning has been issued, but we haven't quite reached it yet.

    The experimental Ovation model of the aurora suggests people in Canada, Alaska, and the northern tier Continental United States may be able to see a show.
  10. Space Weather is currently at background levels. Over the past few days, several R1-Radio blackout storms were observed. SWPC forecasters were anticipating a large region in the southeast to rotate on the disk, but as can be seen in the att...
    ached image, the new region (Region 1590) seems to have lost much of is complexity and spots in the past few days.

    For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: Space Weather is currently at background levels. Over the past few days, several R1-Radio blackout storms were observed. SWPC forecasters were anticipating a large region in the southeast to rotate on the disk, but as can be seen in the attached image, the new region (Region 1590) seems to have lost much of is complexity and spots in the past few days. 

For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  11. G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storms were observed in the past 24 hours. Solar wind speeds have increased in response to the arrival of an anticipated coronal hole high speed stream.

    A new region is appearing in imagery, just off the southeast li...
    mb (Lower left). This region just produced a R1 (Minor) Radio Blackout and has already produced multiple CME's. Region 1589, just above this new region was responsible for the the flare activity a few days ago and has also already produced multiple non-Earth directed CME's.

    SWPC forecasters are watching these new regions closely.

    For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storms were observed in the past 24 hours. Solar wind speeds have increased in response to the arrival of an anticipated coronal hole high speed stream.

A new region is appearing in imagery, just off the southeast limb (Lower left). This region just produced a R1 (Minor) Radio Blackout and has already produced multiple CME's. Region 1589, just above this new region was responsible for the the flare activity a few days ago and has also already produced multiple non-Earth directed CME's. 

SWPC forecasters are watching these new regions closely.

For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  12. G2 - Geomagnetic Storm in full effect!

    SWPC forecasters are still monitoring the CME and all signs are pointing to continued storming for the next several hours.

    Go outside and see those Aurora!

    ...
    SWPC Aurora Forecast Model
    http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/

    Also, two new active regions, just getting ready to rotate onto the solar disk, are already producing solar flares and CME. Next week will be interesting.

    For the latest in Space Weather news, visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: G2 - Geomagnetic Storm in full effect!

SWPC forecasters are still monitoring the CME and all signs are pointing to continued storming for the next several hours. 

Go outside and see those Aurora!

SWPC Aurora Forecast Model
http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/

Also, two new active regions, just getting ready to rotate onto the solar disk, are already producing solar flares and CME. Next week will be interesting.

For the latest in Space Weather news, visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  13. Aurora - Aurora - Aurora

    G2 - Geomagnetic Storm warning issued.
    G1 - Geomagnetic Storm in progress.

    CME effects continue as the CME from 05 October continues to move and affect Earth's magnetic field.
    ...

    SWPC Forecast tool for Aurora:
    http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/

    For the latest and greatest Space Weather information, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: Aurora - Aurora - Aurora

G2 - Geomagnetic Storm warning issued.
G1 -  Geomagnetic Storm in progress.

CME effects continue as the CME from 05 October continues to move and affect Earth's magnetic field.

SWPC Forecast tool for Aurora:
http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/

For the latest and greatest Space Weather information, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  14. Space Jump to proceed on Oct 9, 2012.

    SWPC forecasters were contacted tonight to give an up to date Space Weather briefing, to help support the Space Jump, sponsored by Red Bull Stratos.

    Felix Baumgartner, an Austrian skydiver and BASE Ju...
    mper is working with a team of scientists and sponsor Red Bull to attempt the highest sky-dive on record. Baumgartner is going to make the 120,000 ft (36,600 m) jump from a capsule suspended from a balloon filled with helium, intending to become the first parachutist to break the sound barrier!

    For the latest in Space Weather information, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: Space Jump to proceed on Oct 9, 2012.

SWPC forecasters were contacted tonight to give an up to date Space Weather briefing, to help support the Space Jump, sponsored by Red Bull Stratos.

Felix Baumgartner, an Austrian skydiver and BASE Jumper is working with a team of scientists and sponsor Red Bull to attempt the highest sky-dive on record. Baumgartner is going to make the 120,000 ft (36,600 m) jump from a capsule suspended from a balloon filled with helium, intending to become the first parachutist to break the sound barrier!

For the latest in Space Weather information, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  15. G1- Geomagnetic Storm warning is still in effect.
    G2- Geomagnetic storms were observed in the past 24 hours as well as R1-Radio Blackouts being observed from a new region rotates onto the east limb.

    Attached is a SWPC product that predict...
    s the location and intensity of the Auroral Oval from measurements on the ACE spacecraft.
    To see the other plots from this tool, please visit:
    http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/

    The CME that arrived early today was not moving that fast, but its magnetic structure was almost all positioned as to affect Earth.

    For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: G1- Geomagnetic Storm warning is still in effect. 
G2- Geomagnetic storms were observed in the past 24 hours as well as R1-Radio Blackouts being observed from a new region rotates onto the east limb.

Attached is a SWPC product that predicts the location and intensity of the Auroral Oval from measurements on the ACE spacecraft.
To see the other plots from this tool, please visit:
http://helios.swpc.noaa.gov/ovation/

The CME that arrived early today was not moving that fast, but its magnetic structure was almost all positioned as to affect Earth.

For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
  16. Busy night! We just had an R1 radio blackout caused by an M2 flare. Here's a picture of its impact on the ionosphere. http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html
  17. A G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic storm is in progress. Keep looking up if your in an auroral zone and it's not cloudy!
  18. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm is in progress. It began at 0718Z (03:18 am ET) following the arrival of a shock at 0515Z (01:15 am ET). The current Ovation product suggest people in the northern tier US states as well as Canada may be able to see the aurora. Enjoy the show if you can!
  19. Here is another movie of today's southern hemisphere eruption.
  20. Magneto-human. Can you see it?

    Here is a magnetogram-intensitygram composite from NASAs Solar Dynamics Observatory. Magnetograms show us the magnetic polarities (positive=white, negative=black) on the sun. The more complicated the magne...
    tic structure, the higher likelihood of flaring.

    In other news, another eruption from the southern hemisphere of the sun was captured on this video. http://youtu.be/fo9jQqyzpZU
    We're waiting for the coronagraph imagery to fill in so we can see what the plasma blob looks like.
    See More
    Photo: Magneto-human.  Can you see it?

Here is a magnetogram-intensitygram composite from NASAs Solar Dynamics Observatory.  Magnetograms show us the magnetic polarities (positive=white, negative=black) on the sun.  The more complicated the magnetic structure, the higher likelihood of flaring.  

In other news, another eruption from the southern hemisphere of the sun was captured on this video.  http://youtu.be/fo9jQqyzpZU
We're waiting for the coronagraph imagery to fill in so we can see what the plasma blob looks like.
  21. Space Weather is currently at background levels. There are three decent sized sunspot regions on the disk but most of the activity has been from filaments, and filament eruptions. There is a chance for G1 Geomagnetic Storms on 8 and 9 Octob...
    er as one of the CME's (from a filament eruption) is expected to arrive here at Earth.

    Attached is an H-alpha movie, courtesy or our friend at the NSO/GONG program. H-alpha is great for watching and observing filaments.

    SWPC forecasters reach out and partner with as many Space Weather groups as possible to get the latest and greatest information, images, ideas, theories, and current Space Weather Environment.

    About GONG:

    The Global Oscillation Network Group (GONG) is a community-based program to conduct a detailed study of solar internal structure and dynamics using helioseismology. In order to exploit this new technique, GONG has developed a six-station network of extremely sensitive, and stable velocity imagers located around the Earth to obtain nearly continuous observations of the Sun's "five-minute" oscillations, or pulsations.

    For the latest in Space Weather information, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
  22. Yesterday's plasma blob (CME) is expected to arrive late on the 8th of October. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected and a G1 Watch has been issued for the 8th.

    A picture of the latest WSA-ENLIL numerical model output is attached.

    Please visit www.spaceweather.gov for the latest watches, warnings, alerts and forecasts.
    Photo: Yesterday's plasma blob (CME) is expected to arrive late on the 8th of October.  G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected and a G1 Watch has been issued for the 8th.

A picture of the latest WSA-ENLIL numerical model output is attached.

Please visit www.spaceweather.gov for the latest watches, warnings, alerts and forecasts.
  23. A new plasma blob (CME) bursts forth from the sun!

    It appears to be moving at about 1.3 million miles per hour (roughly 600 km/s). This image of the eruption was captured by the coronagraph aboard NASAs STEREO-A spacecraft.

    Forecasters...
    are on the job analyzin' the blob. We're using the available coronagraph imagery and preparing a WSA-ENLIL numerical model run to see if, and when, the CME would get here. Stay tuned.

    Please visit www.spaceweather.gov for the latest alerts, watches, warnings and forecasts.
    See More
    Photo: A new plasma blob (CME) bursts forth from the sun!  

It appears to be moving at about 1.3 million miles per hour (roughly 600 km/s).  This image of the eruption was captured by the coronagraph aboard NASAs STEREO-A spacecraft.

Forecasters are on the job analyzin' the blob.  We're using the available coronagraph imagery and preparing a WSA-ENLIL numerical model run to see if, and when, the CME would get here.  Stay tuned.

Please visit www.spaceweather.gov for the latest alerts, watches, warnings and forecasts.
  24. Just so you know, when we are not expecting a CME arrival our ENLIL model is busy running what we like to call ‘ambient runs’. These ambient runs show the background conditions to include coronal hole high speed streams. In today’s run yo...
    u can see that ENLIL was forecasting a slight bump in density early on the third followed by increased winds due to the coronal hole.

    As always, you can check out ENLIL here: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/
    See More
    Photo: Just so you know, when we are not expecting a CME arrival our ENLIL model is busy running what we like to call ‘ambient runs’.  These ambient runs show the background conditions to include coronal hole high speed streams.  In today’s run you can see that ENLIL was forecasting a slight bump in density early on the third followed by increased winds due to the coronal hole.

As always, you can check out ENLIL here: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/
  25. Back to background geomagnetic storm levels.
    No warnings-watches-alerts are in effect.

    After analysis of yesterdays events, it is believed that two CME's arrived here at Earth. One slower-weaker CME from 25 September, and one a little stro...
    nger from 28 September.

    SWPC forecasters are able to see the CME liftoff the Sun but are unable to see what kind of magnetic structure the plasma cloud has. And that part is the key. The second CME had lots of negative Bz, which helps disrupt Earths magnetic field, causing induced currents and the Aurora to move closer to the equator.

    Attached is an older image from a SWPC friend of the Aurora.
    Do you have any great images from last nights storms?

    For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov
    See More
    Photo: Back to background geomagnetic storm levels.
No warnings-watches-alerts are in effect.

After analysis of yesterdays events, it is believed that two CME's arrived here at Earth. One slower-weaker CME from 25 September, and one a little stronger from 28 September. 

SWPC forecasters are able to see the CME liftoff the Sun but are unable to see what kind of magnetic structure the plasma cloud has. And that part is the key. The second CME had lots of negative Bz, which helps disrupt Earths magnetic field, causing induced currents and the Aurora to move closer to the equator.

Attached is an older image from a SWPC friend of the Aurora. 
Do you have any great images from last nights storms?

For the latest in Space Weather news, please visit us at www.spaceweather.gov

Earlier in October

Earlier in 2012