Typhoon 10W (Saola), # 6; Tropical Storm 11W (Damrey), # 5
Published: July 31, 2012
11:30 p.m. Tuesday, July 31, Japan time: All parameters for Sasebo pretty much remain the same as below, except the Joint Typhoon Warning Center is projecting Tropical Storm Damrey to top out at 63-mph sustained winds and 81-mph gusts late Wednesday into early Thursday as it rumbles past Sasebo Naval Base, some 170 miles south-southwest around midnight Wednesday.
Local forecasts call for winds up to 35 mph with 45-mph gusts, rain and isolated thunderstorms during the period. At 11 p.m., Damrey was 580 miles east-northeast of Okinawa and 505 miles east-southeast of Sasebo, chugging west at 18 mph.
Sasebo remains in Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 3.
As for Typhoon Saola, it’s starting to pick up forward speed, 390 miles southwest of Okinawa at 11 p.m., and its track has wobbled left again, moving north-northwest at 9 mph.
Kadena Air Base’s 18th Wing Weather Flight extended forecast calls for Saola’s outer bands to pound Okinawa with rainshowers, isolated thunderstorms and winds between 23 and 30 mph and gusts between 30 and 40 mph, peaking Thursday evening, with partly cloudy skies and periods of sunshine finally settling back in on the weekend.
Okinawa remains in seasonal TCCOR 4.
5:45 p.m. Tuesday, July 31, Japan time: Saola has been upgraded to a Category 1-equivalent typhoon by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center.
Its path continues to be wobbly and slow, almost due north at 6 mph, and its forecast track now takes it just under 300 miles west-southwest of Okinawa at 3 p.m. Thursday, and almost directly over the Ishigaki island group to Okinawa’s southwest. Maximum winds now forecast for 110-mph sustained and 132-mph gusts at its center Thursday into Friday. Landfall is forecast for 3 p.m. Friday about 150 miles south of Shanghai. And it looks as if Taipei might be spared Saola’s wrath; forecasts call for it to swirl 90 miles northeast of Taipei, outside its 64-mph and 50-mph wind bands.
4 p.m. Tuesday, July 31, Japan time: Sasebo Naval Base entered Tropical Cyclone Condition of Readiness 3 this morning. However, the base’s Web page says Sasebo will enter TCCOR Storm Watch if Tropical Storm Damrey doesn’t intensity.
At the moment, Damrey is forecast by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center to top out at 52-mph sustained winds and 63-mph gusts at its center around mid-evening Wednesday. At 4 p.m., it was 680 miles east-northeast of Okinawa but barreling west-northwest at a good clip, 23 mph. It’s forecast to barrel 175 miles south of Sasebo and 295 miles north of Okinawa between 9 and 10 p.m. Wednesday.
What does that mean for Sasebo?
Base’s weather Web page calls for winds increasing starting this evening, topping out at between 25 and 30 mph with 45-mph gusts Wednesday evening and Thursday morning, decreasing to 15 to 20 with 30-mph gusts later in the morning. Look for rainshowers and isolated thunderstorms as well; much of Damrey’s wrath is to the north of its center.
As for Tropical Storm Saola, it remains to Okinawa’s southwest, 415 miles, and is forecast to pass 360 miles west-southwest at high noon Thursday. Its fiercest winds should remain well west, topping out at 115-mph sustained and 145-mph gusts as it rumbles just northeast of Taipei at 11 p.m. Thursday.
Rainshowers and isolated thunderstorms are in the offing for Okinawa through the rest of the week. Kadena Air Base’s 18th Wing Weather Flight extended forecast calls for plenty of wet stuff with 30-mph winds and 40-mph gusts periodically through Friday, with partly cloudy skies settling in on Saturday.
Though these winds aren’t forecast to be typhoon strength, loose objects can become projectiles when subject to these types of winds for extended periods. Prudent to do a general cleaning up around home and office as these winds start to pick up. Power outages are also possible. Always better to be safe than sorry.
: Saola has been upgraded to a Category 1-equivalent typhoon by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center.
Its path continues to be wobbly and slow, almost due north at 6 mph, and its forecast track now takes it just under 300 miles west-southwest of Okinawa at 3 p.m. Thursday, and almost directly over the Ishigaki island group to Okinawa’s southwest.
Maximum winds now forecast for 110-mph sustained and 132-mph gusts at its center Thursday into Friday. Landfall is forecast for 3 p.m. Friday about 150 miles south of Shanghai. And it looks as if Taipei might be spared Saola’s wrath; forecasts call for it to swirl 90 miles northeast of Taipei, outside its 64-mph and 50-mph wind bands.
Damrey is forecast by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center to top out at 52-mph sustained winds and 63-mph gusts at its center around mid-evening Wednesday. At 4 p.m., it was 680 miles east-northeast of Okinawa but barreling west-northwest at a good clip, 23 mph. It’s forecast to barrel 175 miles south of Sasebo and 295 miles north of Okinawa between 9 and 10 p.m. Wednesday.
What does that mean for Sasebo?
Base’s weather web page calls for winds increasing starting this evening, topping out between 25 and 30 mph with 45-mph gusts Wednesday evening and Thursday morning, decreasing to 15 to 20 mph with 30-mph gusts later in the morning. Look for rainshowers and isolated thunderstorms as well; much of Damrey’s wrath is to the north of its center.
As for Tropical Storm Saola, it remains to Okinawa’s southwest, 415 miles, and is forecast to pass 360 miles west-southwest at high noon Thursday. Its fiercest winds should remain well west, topping out at 115-mph sustained and 145-mph gusts as it rumbles just northeast of Taipei at 11 p.m. Thursday.
Rainshowers and isolated thunderstorms are in the offing for Okinawa through the rest of the week. Kadena Air Base’s 18th Wing Weather Flight extended forecast calls for plenty of wet stuff with 30-mph winds and 40-mph gusts periodically through Friday, with partly cloudy skies settling in on Saturday.
Though these winds aren’t forecast to be typhoon strength, loose objects can become projectiles when subject to these types of winds for extended periods. Prudent to do a general cleaning up around home and office as these winds start to pick up. Power outages are also possible. Always better to be safe than sorry.
