‹ Analysis & Projections

International Energy Outlook 2011

Release Date: September 19, 2011   |  Next Scheduled Release Date: April 2013   |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2011)

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Table 6. World naturall gas production by region/country in the Reference case, 2008-2035
(trillion cubic feet)
  History Projections Average annual percent change 2008-2035
Region/Country 2008 2009 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
OECD
   United Statesa 20.2 20.1 22.4 23.4 21.1 25.1 26.4 1.0
       Conventional 9.4 8.4 7.7 7.8 6.8 6.8 6.6 -1.3
       Unconventional 10.9 11.7 14.8 15.6 18.4 18.4 19.8 2.3
   Canada 6.0 5.6 7.0 7.7 8.3 8.7 9.0 1.5
       Conventional 4.0 3.6 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.4 0.4
       Unconventional 2.1 2.0 2.7 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.6 3.0
   Europe 10.6 10.1 8.1 7.5 7.5 7.9 8.3 -0.9
       Conventional 10.6 10.1 8.1 7.1 6.6 6.2 6.0 -2.1
       Unconventional 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.3 19.1
   Australia/New Zealand 1.7 1.8 2.6 3.1 3.8 4.8 5.7 4.5
   Other OECD 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.4 0.9
   Total OECD 40.6 39.6 42.3 43.7 45.5 48.7 51.8 0.9
Non-OECD
   Russia 23.4 20.6 23.0 24.9 27.3 29.6 31.2 1.1
   Europe and Central Asia 7.1 5.7 7.4 7.7 8.1 8.7 9.2 1.0
   Iran 4.1 4.6 5.7 6.9 7.8 8.6 9.4 3.1
   Qatar 2.7 3.2 6.3 7.0 7.4 7.8 8.1 4.1
   Other Middle East 6.7 6.6 7.8 8.5 9.4 10.4 11.3 2.0
   North Africa 5.8 5.8 7.4 8.5 9.3 10.0 10.4 2.2
   Other Africa 1.7 1.4 2.4 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.7 3.0
   China 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.7 4.7 6.0 7.3 3.8
       Conventional 2.7 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 -1.0
       Unconventional 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.6 3.9 5.2 --
   Other Asia 10.0 10.4 12.5 13.7 14.9 16.2 17.3 2.0
   Central and South America 5.1 4.9 5.8 6.6 7.5 8.5 9.5 2.3
   Total non-OECD 69.3 66.0 81.3 90.0 99.4 109.1 117.4 2.0
Total world 109.9 105.6 123.6 133.8 145.0 157.8 169.2 1.6
Discrepancyb -1.0 -1.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.5  

Source: History: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of March 2011), website www.eia.gov/ies. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2011); and Annual Energy Outlook 2011, DOE/EIA-0383(2011) (Washington, DC, April 2011), AEO2011 National Energy Modeling System, run REF2011.D020911A, website www.eia.gov/aeo.
aIncludes supplemental production, less any forecast discrepancy.
bBalancing item. Differences between global production and consumption totals result from independent rounding and differences in conversion factors derived from heat contents of natural gas that is produced and consumed regionally.