‹ Analysis & Projections
Annual Energy Outlook 2012
Release Date: June 25, 2012 | Next Early Release Date: January 23, 2013 | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383(2012)
Comparison with other projections
| Sector | AEO2012 Reference |
INFORUM | IHSGI | ExxonMobil | IEA | BP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | ||||||
| Residential | 11.7 | 11.4 | 11.2 | -- | -- | -- |
| Residential excluding electricity | 6.7 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 6.0 | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.6 | -- | -- | -- |
| Commercial excluding electricity | 4.2 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -- | -- |
| Buildings sector | 20.4 | 20.0 | 19.8 | 10.0 | 19.1a | 21.8 |
| Industrial | 23.4 | 23.1 | -- | -- | 22.9a | 23.0 |
| Industrial excluding electricity | 20.1 | 19.9 | -- | 20.0 | -- | -- |
| Lossesb | 0.8 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Natural gas feedstocks | 0.5 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Industrial removing losses and feedstocks | 22.0 | -- | 21.4 | -- | -- | -- |
| Transportation | 27.6 | 27.4 | 26.6 | 27.0 | 22.9a | 22.8 |
| Electric power | 39.6 | 40.1 | 40.8 | 37.0 | 35.6a | -- |
| Less: electricity demandc | 12.8 | 12.8 | 12.8 | -- | 14.3a | -- |
| Electric power losses | 26.8 | 27.3 | -- | -- | -- | 23.1 |
| Total primary energy | 98.2 | 97.8 | -- | 94.0 | 85.7a | 90.7 |
| Excluding lossesb and feedstocks | 96.8 | -- | 95.8 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2020 | ||||||
| Residential | 11.4 | 11.2 | 11.8 | -- | -- | -- |
| Residential excluding electricity | 6.4 | 6.4 | 5.8 | 6.0 | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 9.2 | 9.5 | 9.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| Commercial excluding electricity | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -- | -- |
| Buildings sector | 20.5 | 20.7 | 21.3 | 9.0 | 20.4 | 21.9 |
| Industrial | 24.6 | 27.4 | -- | -- | 24.8 | 23.4 |
| Industrial excluding electricity | 21.2 | 23.9 | -- | 20.0 | -- | -- |
| Lossesb | 1.2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Natural gas feedstocks | 0.5 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Industrial removing losses and feedstocks | 22.9 | -- | 22.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| Transportation | 27.3 | 29.0 | 27.4 | 28.0 | 23.8 | 21.0 |
| Electric power | 40.2 | 41.6 | 48.6 | 39.0 | 39.3 | -- |
| Less: electricity demandc | 13.3 | 13.6 | 15.7 | -- | 16.4 | -- |
| Electric power losses | 26.9 | 28.0 | -- | -- | -- | 23.7 |
| Total primary energy | 99.3 | 105.1 | -- | 96.0 | 91.4 | 90.1 |
| Excluding lossesb and feedstocks | 97.6 | -- | 104.1 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2030 | ||||||
| Residential | 11.7 | 11.6 | 12.6 | -- | -- | -- |
| Residential excluding electricity | 6.2 | 6.3 | 5.7 | 5.0 | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 9.9 | 10.6 | 10.4 | -- | -- | -- |
| Commercial excluding electricity | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | -- | -- |
| Buildings sector | 21.6 | 22.1 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 22.0 | 23.0 |
| Industrial | 26.1 | 28.8 | -- | -- | 24.1 | 23.2 |
| Industrial excluding electricity | 22.7 | 25.3 | -- | 19.0 | -- | -- |
| Lossesb | 2.4 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Natural gas feedstocks | 0.5 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Industrial removing losses and feedstocks | 23.3 | -- | 23.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Transportation | 27.9 | 30.7 | 27.5 | 26.0 | 22.9 | 18.5 |
| Electric power | 43.2 | 45.0 | 54.3 | 41.0 | 41.6 | -- |
| Less: electricity demandc | 14.5 | 14.8 | 18.1 | -- | 17.9 | -- |
| Electric power losses | 28.7 | 30.1 | -- | -- | -- | 24.1 |
| Total primary energy | 104.3 | 111.8 | -- | 94.0 | 92.3 | 88.9 |
| Excluding lossesb and feedstocks | 101.5 | -- | 109.7 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2035 | ||||||
| Residential | 11.9 | 11.7 | 13.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Residential excluding electricity | 6.1 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.0 | -- | -- |
| Commercial | 10.3 | 11.1 | 10.8 | -- | -- | -- |
| Commercial excluding electricity | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -- | -- |
| Buildings sector | 22.2 | 22.8 | 23.8 | 8.0 | 22.9 | -- |
| Industrial | 26.9 | 29.1 | -- | -- | 23.9 | -- |
| Industrial excluding electricity | 23.6 | 25.7 | -- | 18.0 | -- | -- |
| Lossesb | 3.2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Natural gas feedstocks | 0.4 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Industrial removing losses and feedstocks | 23.3 | -- | 23.3 | -- | -- | -- |
| Transportation | 28.6 | 31.9 | 27.8 | 25.0 | 23.1 | -- |
| Electric power | 44.2 | 46.2 | 57.2 | 40.0 | 42.5 | -- |
| Less: electricity demandc | 15.1 | 15.3 | 19.3 | -- | 18.6 | -- |
| Electric power losses | 29.2 | 30.8 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Total primary energy | 106.9 | 114.7 | -- | 92.0 | 93.4 | -- |
| Excluding lossesb and feedstocks | 103.3 | -- | 112.7 | -- | -- | -- |
| -- = not reported. aIEA data are for 2009. bLosses in CTL and biofuel production. c Energy consumption in the sectors includes electricity demand purchases from the electric power sector, which are subtracted to avoid double counting in deriving total primary energy consumption. |
||||||