PAGER - M 6.2 - SOUTH OF JAVA, INDONESIA

Alert level does not include impacts from earthquake-related hazards such as tsunamis, landslides, fires or liquefaction.

Earthquake Shaking Alert Level: GREEN

Download Alert PDF What's this?Monday, September 3rd, 2012 at 18:23:04 UTC (02:23:04 local)Location: 10.7° S, 113.9° EDepth: 10kmEvent Id: USC000CE33Alert Version: 3Created: 4 weeks, 0 days after earthquake.

Alert Information

Green alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. There is a low likelihood of casualties and damage.

Estimated Fatalities

ESTIMATED FATALITY ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED FATALITIES (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 (GREEN)	99
1 to 9 (YELLOW)	1
10 to 99 (YELLOW)	0
100 to 999 (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 thousand (RED)	0
10 to 100 thousand (RED)	0
100 thousand + (RED)	0

Estimated Economic Losses

ESTIMATED ECONOMIC ALERT: GREEN
ESTIMATED VALUE IN USD (LEVEL)	Probability (%)
0 to 1 million (GREEN)	99
1 to 10 million (YELLOW)	1
10 to 100 million (YELLOW)	0
100 million to 1 billion (ORANGE)	0
1 to 10 billion (RED)	0
10 to 100 billion (RED)	0
100 billion + (RED)	0

Detailed Information

Estimated Population Exposed to Earthquake Shaking
Estimated Modified Mercalli Intensity		I	II-III	IV	V	VI	VII	VIII	IX	X
Est. Population Exposure		---*	25,724k*	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Perceived Shaking		Not Felt	Weak	Light	Moderate	Strong	Very Strong	Severe	Violent	Extreme
Potential Structure Damage	Resistant	none	none	none	V. Light	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy
Potential Structure Damage	Vulnerable	none	none	none	Light	Moderate	Moderate/Heavy	Heavy	V. Heavy	V. Heavy

*Estimated exposure only includes population within calculated shake map area

Population Exposure
Population per ~1 sq. km. from LandScan

Structure Information Summary

Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist.

Historical Earthquakes (with MMI)

Date (UTC)	Dist (km)	Mag	Max MMI (#)	Shaking Deaths
1977-10-07	371	6.4	V (18k)	0
2004-09-15	263	5.3	IV (5m)	1
1976-07-14	291	6.5	VIII (183k)	563

Selected Cities Exposedfrom GeoNames Database of Cities with 1,000 or more residents.

MMI	City	Population
III	Muncar	65k
III	Ubud	28k
III	Gambiran	23k
III	Srono	36k
III	Genteng	80k
III	Singojuruh	29k
III	Jember	299k
III	Malang	747k
III	Mataram	319k
III	Denpasar	406k
III	Kediri	235k

(k = x1,000)

Nearby Events in the EXPO-CAT Earthquake Catalog
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Deaths		Secondary Effects
#	Date/Time	Mag	Lat, Lon, Depth	Country	Max MMI (Exposed)	Shaking	Total	Secondary Effects
1	1976-07-14 07:13 UTC	6.5	8.23° S, 114.77° E 26km	ID	VIII (183 k)	563	563
2	1976-07-14 10:23 UTC	5.9	8.16° S, 114.74° E 16km	ID	VIII (29 k)	0	0
3	1977-10-07 12:10 UTC	6.4	9.93° S, 117.23° E 15km	ID	V (18 k)	0	0
4	1977-10-16 21:09 UTC	6.2	9.77° S, 117.03° E 9km	ID	V (43 k)	0	0
5	1979-05-21 16:31 UTC	5.8	8.36° S, 115.86° E 29km	ID	VII (159 k)	0	0
6	1979-05-30 09:38 UTC	6.2	8.32° S, 115.89° E 61km	ID	VII (13 k)	22	22
7	1979-10-20 01:41 UTC	6.4	8.36° S, 115.78° E 52km	ID	VII (770 k)	2	2
8	1979-12-17 19:58 UTC	6.5	8.47° S, 115.77° E 53km	ID	VIII (22 k)	32	32
9	1994-06-02 18:17 UTC	7.8	10.41° S, 112.94° E 34km	ID	V (2,996 k)	0	277	tsunami
10	1998-09-28 13:34 UTC	6.5	8.18° S, 112.34° E 146km	ID	V (22,634 k)	1	1
11	2004-01-01 20:59 UTC	5.8	8.4° S, 115.71° E 44km	ID	VII (14 k)	1	1
12	2004-09-15 08:35 UTC	5.3	8.78° S, 115.33° E 97km	ID	IV (5,297 k)	1	1

MMI	City	Population
III	Ubud	28k
III	Muncar	65k
III	Gambiran	23k
III	Srono	36k
III	Genteng	80k
III	Singojuruh	29k
III	Negara	33k
III	Tabanan	34k
III	Kencong	43k
III	Banyuwangi	108k
III	Jember	299k
III	Tempeh	27k
III	Klungkung	28k
III	Lumajang	124k
III	Dampit	23k
III	Karangasem	32k
III	Bondowoso	70k
III	Singaraja	134k
III	Gondanglegi	22k
III	Kepanjen	52k
III	Sumberpucung	35k
III	Pakisaji	30k
III	Malang	747k
III	Singosari	58k
III	Praya	35k
III	Lawang	159k
III	Blitar	132k
III	Batu	76k
III	Kuta	30k
III	Ngunut	26k
III	Mataram	319k
III	Boyolangu	32k
III	Kedungwaru	80k
III	Tulungagung	65k
III	Pare	57k
III	Denpasar	406k
III	Trenggalek	29k
III	Kediri	235k
III	Gampengrejo	49k
III	Ponorogo	79k
III	Jatiroto	50k

(k = x1,000)

PAGER content is automatically generated, and only considers losses due to structural damage. Limitations of input data, shaking estimates, and loss models may add uncertainty. PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake’s occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typically improves as additional sensor data and reported intensities are acquired and incorporated into models of the earthquake's source. Users of PAGER estimates should account for uncertainty and always seek the most current PAGER release for any earthquake.