Annual Energy Outlook 2012
Release Date: June 25, 2012 | Next Early Release Date: January 23, 2013 | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383(2012)
Comparison with other projections
Other Projections | ||||||||
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Projection | 2010 | AEO2012 Reference case |
IHSGI | EVA | Deloitte | SEER | ExxonMobil | INFORUM |
2015 | ||||||||
Dry gas productiona | 21.58 | 23.65 | 23.81 | 23.80 | 24.52 | 23.66 | 24.00 | 24.29 |
Net imports | 2.58 | 1.73 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.30 | 1.73 | 1.20 | -- |
Pipeline | 2.21 | 1.56 | -- | 1.80 | 1.22 | 1.56 | -- | -- |
LNG | 0.37 | 0.16 | -- | 0.40 | 0.08 | 0.16 | -- | -- |
Consumption | 24.13 | 25.39 | 25.52 | 26.60 | 24.07b | 26.05 | 25.00c | 23.61b |
Residential | 4.94 | 4.85 | 4.64 | 4.90 | 4.86 | 4.91 | 8.00d | 4.87 |
Commercial | 3.20 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 3.23 | 3.41 | -- | -- |
Industriale | 6.60 | 7.01 | 6.64 | 7.00 | 7.51 | 7.64 | 8.00 | -- |
Electricity generatorsf | 7.38 | 8.08 | 9.02 | 9.30 | 8.46 | 8.06 | 9.00 | -- |
Othersg | 2.01 | 2.12 | 2.11 | 2.20 | -- | 2.04 | -- | -- |
Henry Hub spot market price (2010 dollars per million Btu) |
4.39 | 4.29 | 4.75 | 4.07 | 4.25 | 4.28 | -- | -- |
End-use prices (2010 dollars per thousand cubic feet) |
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Residential | 11.36 | 10.56 | 11.82 | -- | -- | 11.68 | -- | -- |
Commerical | 9.32 | 8.82 | 9.88 | -- | -- | 8.31 | -- | -- |
Industrialh | 5.65 | 5.00 | 6.95 | -- | -- | 4.63 | -- | -- |
Electricity generators | 5.25 | 4.65 | 5.20 | -- | -- | 5.17 | -- | -- |
2025 | ||||||||
Dry gas productiona | 21.58 | 26.28 | 27.23 | 26.70 | 27.32 | 25.88 | 27.00 | 27.57 |
Net imports | 2.58 | -0.79 | 2.13 | 1.30 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 1.50 | -- |
Pipeline | 2.21 | -0.13 | -- | 0.90 | 0.29 | 1.03 | -- | -- |
LNG | 0.37 | -0.66 | -- | 0.40 | 0.09 | -0.74 | -- | -- |
Consumption | 24.13 | 25.53 | 29.39 | 29.00 | 26.36b | 27.10 | 29.00c | 23.43b |
Residential | 4.94 | 4.76 | 4.53 | 5.00 | 5.05 | 4.71 | 8.00d | 4.90 |
Commercial | 3.20 | 3.44 | 3.15 | 3.30 | 3.46 | 3.53 | -- | 3.60 |
Industriale | 6.60 | 7.14 | 6.52 | 7.70 | 7.58 | 7.47 | 8.00 | 8.20 |
Electricity generatorsf | 7.38 | 7.87 | 12.78 | 10.50 | 10.27 | 9.27 | 13.00 | 6.74 |
Othersg | 2.01 | 2.31 | 2.42 | 2.50 | -- | 2.12 | -- | -- |
Henry Hub spot market price (2010 dollars per million Btu) |
4.39 | 5.63 | 4.82 | 6.47 | 5.80 | 6.29 | -- | -- |
End-use prices (2010 dollars per thousand cubic feet) |
||||||||
Residential | 11.36 | 12.33 | 11.70 | -- | -- | 14.40 | -- | -- |
Commercial | 9.32 | 10.27 | 9.81 | -- | -- | 10.68 | -- | -- |
Industrialh | 5.65 | 6.19 | 6.99 | -- | -- | 6.96 | -- | -- |
Electricity generators | 5.25 | 5.73 | 5.28 | -- | -- | 7.47 | -- | -- |
-- = not reported. See notes at the end of table. |
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2035 | ||||||||
Dry gas productiona | 21.58 | 27.93 | 31.35 | -- | 27.87 | 27.00 | 26.00 | 30.71 |
Net imports | 2.58 | -1.36 | 2.36 | -- | 0.14 | -0.46 | 2.50 | -- |
Pipeline | 2.21 | -0.70 | -- | -- | 0.07 | 0.07 | -- | -- |
LNG | 0.37 | -0.66 | -- | -- | 0.08 | -0.74 | -- | -- |
Consumption | 24.13 | 26.63 | 33.54 | -- | 27.30b | 27.24 | 29.00c | 24.66b |
Residential | 4.94 | 4.64 | 4.38 | -- | 5.03 | 4.80 | 7.00d | 4.83 |
Commercial | 3.20 | 3.60 | 3.18 | -- | 3.60 | 3.64 | -- | 3.83 |
Industriale | 6.60 | 7.00 | 6.35 | -- | 7.31 | 7.30 | 8.00 | 8.00 |
Electricity generatorsf | 7.38 | 8.96 | 16.90 | -- | 11.37 | 9.37 | 14.00 | 8.09 |
Othersg | 2.01 | 2.43 | 2.72 | -- | -- | 2.13 | -- | -- |
Henry Hub spot market price (2010 dollars per million Btu) | 4.39 | 7.37 | 5.13 | 7.26 | 6.63 | 7.70 | -- | -- |
End-use prices (2010 dollars per thousand cubic feet) |
||||||||
Residential | 11.36 | 14.33 | 11.81 | -- | -- | 17.15 | -- | -- |
Commercial | 9.32 | 11.93 | 9.99 | -- | -- | 13.09 | -- | -- |
Industrialh | 5.65 | 7.73 | 7.22 | -- | -- | 9.20 | -- | -- |
Electricity generators | 5.25 | 7.37 | 5.62 | -- | -- | 9.75 | -- | -- |
-- = not reported. |