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Annual Energy Outlook 2012

Release Date: June 25, 2012   |  Next Early Release Date: January 23, 2013  |   Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383(2012)

Comparison with other projections

Table 25. Comparison of electricity projections, 2015, 2025, and 2035 (billion kilowatthours, except where noted)
  Other Projections
Projection 2010 AEO2012
Reference case		 EVA IHSGI INFORUM
  2015
Average end-use price (2010 cents per kilowatthour)a 9.8 9.7 -- 10.2 --
Residential 11.5 11.8 12.8 12.0 10.5
Commercial 10.1 9.9 11.5 10.7 9.3
Industrial 6.7 6.5 7.9 7.0 6.2
Total generation plus imports 4,152 4,181 4,053 4,611 --
Coal 1,851 1,581 1,591 1,905 --
Petroleum 37 28 -- 45 --
Natural gasb 982 1,130 1,090 1,223 --
Nuclear 807 830 827 839 --
Hydroelectric/otherc 449 583 515 576 --
Net imports 26 29 29 24 --
Electricity sales 3,749 3,753 3,921 4,173 3,854
Residential 1,451 1,392 1,481 1,563 1,365
Commerical/otherb 1,336 1,354 1,414 1,489 1,438
Industrial 962 1,008 1,025 1,121 1,051
Capacity, including CHP (gigawatts)e 1,036 1,042 1,094 1,101 --
Coal 318 286 289 309 --
Oil and natural gas 459 464 514 491 --
Nuclear 101 104 106 104 --
Hydroelectric/otherf 158 188 185 197 --
  2025
Average end-use price (2010 cents per kilowatthour)a 9.8 9.7 -- 10.9 --
Residential 11.5 11.6 13.2 12.8 10.5
Commercial 10.1 9.9 11.7 11.4 9.3
Industrial 6.7 6.7 8.0 7.4 6.2
Total generation plus imports 4,152 4,578 4,514 5,417 --
Coal 1,851 1,786 1,653 1,774 --
Petroleum 37 29 -- 45 --
Natural Gasb 982 1,140 1,335 1,760 --
Nuclear 807 917 870 918 --
Hydroelectric/otherc 449 683 629 896 --
Net imports 26 22 27 25 --
Electricity sales 3,749 4,090 4,298 4,942 4,167
Residential 1,451 1,533 1,650 1,887 1,468
Commercial/otherd 1,336 1,525 1,679 1,793 1,660
Industrial 962 1,032 969 1,261 1,039
Capacity, including CHP (gigawatts) e 1,036 1,091 1,119 1,274 --
Coal 318 282 267 283 --
Oil and natural gas 459 493 518 566 --
Nuclear 101 115 110 114 --
Hydroelectric/otherf 158 201 224 312 --
-- = not reported.
See notes at the end of table.
  2035
Average end-use price (2010 cents per kilowatthour)a 9.8 10.1 -- 12.1 --
Residential 11.5 11.8 12.9 14.3 10.5
Commercial 10.1 10.1 11.3 12.5 9.3
Industrial 6.7 7.1 7.6 8.1 6.2
Total generation plus imports 4,152 5,004 -- 6,199 --
Coal 1,851 1,897 -- 1,618 --
Petroleum 37 30 -- 45 --
Natural Gasb 982 1,398 -- 2,354 --
Nuclear 807 887 -- 1,030 --
Hydroelectric/otherc 449 780 -- 1,124 --
Net imports 26 12 -- 28 --
Electricity sales 3,749 4,415 4,726 5,652 4,483
Residential 1,451 1,718 1,778 2,178 1,611
Commercial/otherd 1,336 1,721 2,008 2,088 1,904
Industrial 962 977 941 1,387 968
Capacity, including CHP (gigawatts)e 1,036 1,190 -- 1,450 --
Coal 318 285 -- 262 --
Oil and natural gas 459 568 -- 665 --
Nuclear 101 111 -- 128 --
Hydroelectric/otherf 158 226 -- 396 --

-- = not reported.
aAverage end-use price includes the transportation sector.
bIncludes supplemental gaseous fuels. For EVA, represents total oil and natural gas.
c "Other" includes conventional hydroelectric, pumped storage, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal waste, other biomass, solar and wind power, batteries, chemicals, hydrogen, pitch, purchased steam, sulfur, petroleum coke, and miscellaneous technologies.
d"Other" includes sales of electricity to government and other transportation services.
eEIA capacity is net summer capacity, including CHP plants.
f "Other" includes conventional hydro, geothermal, wood, wood waste, all municipal waste, landfill gas, other biomass, solar, wind power, pumped storage, and fuel cells.

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