‹ Analysis & Projections

Annual Energy Outlook 2012

Release Date: June 25, 2012   |  Next Early Release Date: January 23, 2013  |   Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383(2012)

Comparison with other projections

Table 22. Projections of average annual economic growth, 2010-2035
  Average annual percentage growth rates
Projection 2010-2015 2010-2020 2010-2035 2010-2035
AEO2012 (Reference case) 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.5
AEO2011 (Reference case) 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.7
IHSGI (November 2011) 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
OMB (January 2012)a 3.1 3.0 -- --
CBO (January 2012)a 2.7 2.8 -- --
INFORUM (January 2012) 3.4 3.1 2.4 2.7
Social Security Administration (August 2011) 3.3 3.0 2.1 2.5
IEA (2011)b -- 2. 2.4 2.4
Blue Chip Consensus (October 2011)a 2.6 2.6 -- --
ExxonMobil 2.7 2.7 2.3 2.5
SEER 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.8

-- = not reported.
a OMB, CBO, and Blue Chip forecasts end in 2022, and growth rates cited are for 2010-2022.
bIEA publishes U.S. growth rates for certain intervals: 2009-2020 growth is 2.6 percent, and 2009-2035 growth rate is 2.4 percent.

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