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Predictive Policing

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Geography and Public Safety

Read the Predictive Policing issue of Geography and Public Safety Bulletin (pdf, 16 pages). Articles include:

  • Police Legitimacy and Predictive Policing
  • The Predictive Policing Symposium
  • Proactive Policing: Using Geographic Analysis to Fight Crime
  • Predicting Demand for Service for Future Developments
  • Experimenting with Future-Oriented Analysis at Crime Hot Spots in Minneapolis

See also the Geospatial Technology Working Group Meeting Report on Predictive Policing (pdf, 16 pages)

 

 

Predictive Policing

On this page find:

Overview of Predictive Policing

Law enforcement work is frequently reactive: officers respond to calls for service, quell disturbances, make arrests. Today more than ever, law enforcement work is also proactive: officers make connections and develop networks within their communities that lead to joint problem solving, they assess small problems and take steps to prevent them from becoming bigger.

In proactive policing, law enforcement uses data and analyzes patterns to understand the exact nature of a problem. Officers devise strategies and tactics to prevent or mitigate future harm. They evaluate results and revise practices and policing to improve situations. Larger departments combine an array of data with street intelligence and crime analysis to produce better assessments and make predictions about what might happen next if they take various actions.

What Is Predictive Policing? The technique of integrating data analysis with professional law enforcement expertise to understand why a problem arises and how to avoid the next problem is called predictive policing. It builds on and melds pieces of community policing, intelligence-led policing and hot spots policing.

NIJ's Role in Predictive Policing

NIJ is supporting law enforcement's efforts related to predictive policing:

  1. We have convened symposiums with law enforcement executives to discuss issues around predictive policing.
  2. We are supporting the implementation and evaluation of predictive policing in two departments.

Predictive Policing Symposium. NIJ has convened two symposiums where researchers, practitioners and law enforcement leaders developed and discuss the concept of predictive policing and its impact on crime and justice. The first was held in Los Angeles and attended primarily by larger departments. The second was held in Providence, Rhode Island, and attended primarily by smaller departments.

Read summaries of sessions from the two Predictive Policing Symposiums.

Predictive Policing Grants. Two agencies-Chicago and Shreveport-applied under a competitive solicitation and won awards to explore data-driven policing strategies. In phase 1, the agencies received funding to identify a problem and develop strategies to solve it. In phase 2, they are implementing and evaluating the strategies.

Date Created: January 6, 2012