Short-term warnings and forecasts of geophysical activity
are some of the services provided by the SWPC Space Weather Forecast
Office. Effective use of these warnings and forecasts requires knowledge
of their capability and limitations. Verification statistics and
other quality information for these products can be found through
the links on this web page. The majority of the forecasts in the
SWPC primary daily forecast product–the Joint
USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity (SDF)–are
covered, as well as proposed SWPC GPRA metrics based on the performance
of geomagnetic storm forecasts, SWPC geomagnetic K5 and K6 short-term
warnings, and short-term warnings of 10 MeV proton events. Also
found here are a glossary of verification terms, including formula
for the various metrics, and a verification bibliography that includes
links to several PDF files of verification related papers.
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