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January 2012, Vol. 135, No. 1

Occupational employment projections to 2020

C. Brett Lockard and Michael Wolf

C. Brett Lockard and Michael Wolf are economists in the Division of Occupational Outlook, Office of Occupational Statistics and Employment Projections at the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Email: lockard.brett@bls.gov or wolf.michael@bls.gov.

Overall employment is projected to increase about 14 percent during the 2010–2020 decade with more than half a million new jobs expected for each of four occupations—registered nurses, retail salespersons, home health aides, and personal care aides; occupations that typically need postsecondary education for entry are projected to grow faster than average, but occupations that typically need a high school diploma or less will continue to represent more than half of all jobs.

From 2010 to 2020, the U.S. economy is projected to add 20.5 million new jobs as total employment grows from nearly 143.1 million to more than 163.5 million. This 14.3-percent growth reflects the assumption of a fullemployment economy in 2020. Out of 749 detailed occupations, 657 are projected to grow, while 92 are projected to decline. The fastest growth is expected among healthcare, personal care, and community and social service occupations.

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Employment Projections


Occupational employment projections to 2018Nov. 2009.
Occupational employment projections to 2016Nov. 2007.
Occupational employment projections to 2014.Nov. 2005.


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