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Regulatory Announcement: Proposal of Emission Control Area Designation for Geographic Control of Emissions from Ships

EPA-420-F-09-015, March 2009
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The United States, along with Canada, has submitted a proposal to the International Maritime Organization that would designate an area off our coasts in which stringent international emission controls would apply to ocean-going ships.  When adopted, this control program would dramatically reduce air pollution from ships and deliver substantial benefits to large segments of the population, as well as to marine and terrestrial ecosystems.  This fact sheet contains an overview of the proposal.

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Overview

The United States and Canada have proposed the designation of an Emission Control Area (ECA) for specific portions of U.S. and Canadian coastal waters.  This action would control the emission of nitrogen oxides (NOx), sulfur oxides (SOx), and particulate matter (PM) from ocean-going ships, most of which are flagged outside of the United States.  These ships are significant contributors to our national mobile-source emission inventory. In the U.S. and Canada combined, the ECA is expected to reduce emissions of NOx by 320,000 tons, PM2.5 by 90,000 tons, and SOx by 920,000 tons per year, which is 23 percent, 74 percent, and 86 percent below current levels, respectively.  The overall cost of the ECA is estimated at $3.2 billion. The ECA would be expected to save as many as 8,300 lives and provide relief from respiratory symptoms for over three million people each year.  In total, the monetized health-related benefits of the proposed ECA are estimated to be as much as $60 billion in the U.S. in 2020.

For the U.S., the proposed ECA designation is one component of EPA’s coordinated strategy to address harmful ship emissions, along with our Clean Air Act (CAA) standards.  In parallel to the ECA proposal, EPA is developing standards for Category 3 marine diesel engines1 (footnote) that are expected to require the application of high efficiency aftertreatment emission controls similar in stringency to the new NOx standards that will apply to all engines in the ECA.  The agency plans to issue the CAA Notice of Proposed Rulemaking in Spring 2009 and finalize it by December 2009.

The proposed area of the ECA includes waters adjacent to the Pacific coast, the Atlantic/Gulf coast and the eight main2 (footnote) Hawaiian Islands.  The proposed ECA would extend 200 nautical miles from the coastal baseline, except that it would not extend into marine areas subject to the sovereignty, sovereign rights, or jurisdiction of any State other than the United States or Canada.

Figure 1: Area Proposed for ECA Designation

The proposed ECA does not include the Pacific U.S. territories, the western (unpopulated) Hawaiian Islands, the U.S. territories of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, the Aleutian Islands and Western Alaska, and the U.S. and Canadian Arctic.  While these areas also experience the environmental impacts of ship emissions, further information must be gathered to properly assess these areas and determine how ECA controls will help.  This will involve additional air quality and environmental impact studies.  A separate proposal would be submitted to the IMO if this analysis supports ECA designation under the criteria contained in MARPOL Annex VI.

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The Need to Reduce Emissions from Engines on Ships

The large marine diesel engines on ships are significant contributors to our national mobile-source emission inventory.  Today’s Category 3 marine engines must meet relatively modest emission requirements and therefore generate significant emissions of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), NOx, and SOx that contribute to nonattainment of the National Ambient Air Quality Standards for PM2.5 and ozone.  Emissions from these engines also cause harm to public welfare, contributing to visibility impairment and other detrimental environmental impacts across the United States.

Many of our nation’s most serious ozone and PM2.5 nonattainment areas are affected by emissions from ships. Currently more than 40 major U.S. ports3 (footnote) along our Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and Pacific coasts are located in nonattainment areas for ozone and/or PM2.5.

The contribution of these engines to air pollution is expected to grow even more over the next two decades. Without further action, by 2030, NOx emissions from ships are projected to more than double, growing to 2.1 million tons a year while annual PM2.5 emissions are expected to almost triple to 170,000 tons. Designation of the proposed ECA would significantly reduce emissions from ships and deliver substantial benefits to large segments of the population, as well as to marine and terrestrial ecosystems.

Figure 2: U.S. Ports and Nonattainment Areas

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Emission Control Area Standards

In October 2008, the IMO adopted stringent new standards to control harmful exhaust emissions from the engines that power ships.  The member states of IMO agreed to amend Annex VI to the International Convention on the Prevention of Pollution from Ships (MARPOL), adopting new tiers of NOx and fuel sulfur controls.  The most stringent of these new emission standards apply to ships operating in specially designated Emission Control Areas (ECAs):

In most cases, ships already have the capability to store two or more fuels. However, to meet the 2015 requirement of 1,000 ppm fuel sulfur, some vessels may need to be modified for additional distillate fuel storage capacity.  As an alternative to using low sulfur fuel, ship operators may choose to equip their vessels with exhaust gas cleaning devices (“scrubbers”).  In this case, the scrubber extracts sulfur from the exhaust.

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Costs

The costs of implementing and complying with the proposed ECA are expected to be small in comparison to the health and welfare benefits and within the costs of achieving similar emissions reductions through additional controls on land-based sources.  We estimate the total costs of improving ship emissions from current performance to ECA standards while operating in the proposed ECA will be approximately $3.2 billion in 2020.  The cost to reduce a ton of NOx, SOx and PM is estimated at $2,400, $1,100 and $10,000, respectively.  In comparison, the 2007 heavy-duty highway truck rule cost $2,300/ ton for NOx and $15,000/ ton for PM.  Improving current ship emission levels to ECA standards is one of the most cost-effective measures available to obtain necessary improvements to the air quality in the U.S. and Canada.

The economic impacts of complying with the program on ships engaged in international trade are expected to be modest.  For example, operating costs for a ship in a route that includes about 1,700 nm of operation in the proposed ECA would increase by about 3 percent.  This operating cost increase would raise the cost of transport of a 20 foot container by about $18.

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Benefits

The U.S. coastline and much of the interior of the country will experience significant improvements in air quality due to reduced PM and ozone from ships complying with ECA standards.  Coastal areas would experience the largest improvements; however, significant improvements would extend hundreds of miles inland to reach nonattainment areas in states such as Nevada, Tennessee and Pennsylvania.  National treasures such as the Grand Canyon National Park and the Great Smoky Mountains would also see air quality improvements.

Figure 3: Potential Benefits of U.S. ECA Ambient PM2.5 Reductions in 2020

 

Figure 4: Potential Benefits of U.S. ECA Ozone Reductions in 2020

 

Table 1 presents the estimated annual reduction of ship-related adverse health impacts in 2020 that would result from applying the ECA standards.  The figures in this table clearly illustrate the health benefits of designating the proposed ECA for the U.S. and Canada.  Our analysis shows that as many as 8,300 lives will be saved and over three million people will experience relief from acute respiratory symptoms each year.

Table 1: Estimated PM2.5- and Ozone-Related Human Health Impacts Associated with Ship
Emissions in the U.S. and Canada
Health Effect 2020 Annual
Ship-Related Incidence
2020 Annual Reduction in Ship-Related
Incidence with an ECAa
Premature Mortalityb 5,100 – 12,000 3,700 – 8,300
Chronic Bronchitis 4,600 3,500
Hospital Admissionsc 8,400 3,300
Emergency Room Visits 4,100 2,300
Acute Bronchitis 13,000 9,300
Acute Respiratory Symptoms 6,500,000 3,400,000
Total U.S.-Related Monetized Benefits $27 - 60 billionb,d
a Based on ship emission inventory reductions due to switching from 2.7% sulphur residual fuel to 0.1% sulphur distillate fuel and an overall fleet NOx reduction in the ECA of 23%, in2020, from Tier II levels. In the long term, a 75% reduction in NOx emissions from Tier II levels would be expected in the ECA.
b Includes both PM2.5- and ozone-related estimates of premature mortality. The range is based on the high- and low-end estimate of incidence derived from several alternative studies used to estimate PM2.5- and ozone-related premature mortality in the U.S.
c Includes estimates of both cardiovascular- and respiratory-related hospital admissions.
dThe monetized benefits, presented in year 2006 dollars, are for the U.S. only, and reflect the use of a 3 percent discount rate in the valuation of premature mortality and nonfatal heart attacks.

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Next Steps

The U.S. and Canadian governments are jointly proposing ECA designation, reflecting common interests, shared geography and interrelated economies.  IMO members will consider our ECA proposal at the 59th session of the Marine Environmental Protection Committee (MEPC 59), in London, July 13-17, 2009. Parties to Annex VI (those who have ratified the treaty) may vote on our ECA proposal as early as MEPC 60, scheduled for March 2010.  Given the MARPOL amendment acceptance process and the lead time specified in the regulations, an ECA approved at MEPC 60 could be expected to enter into force as early as August 2012.

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For More Information

You can access the U.S. Proposal and related documents on EPA’s Office of Transportation and Air Quality Web site at:

www.epa.gov/otaq/oceanvessels.htm

For more information, please contact the Assessment and Standards Division at asdinfo@epa.gov, 734-214-4636, or:

Assessment and Standards Division
Office of Transportation and Air Quality
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
2000 Traverwood Dr.
Ann Arbor, MI 48105

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(footnote:) 1 Category 3 refers to marine engines with a per-cylinder displacement of 30 liters or greater.

(footnote:) 2 As used here, the main Hawaiian Islands include the islands of Hawaii, Maui, Oahu, Molokai, Niihau, Kauai, Lanai, and Kahoolawe. These islands are the main populated islands of the Hawaiian Islands chain, with the exception of Kahoolawe, which is an uninhabited nature reserve.

(footnote:) 3 American Association of Port Authorities (AAPA), Industry Statistics, 2005 port rankings by cargo tonnage.

 

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