|
|
Tropical Storm LESLIE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 09 2012
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X X 1 3 4 10
TROP DEPRESSION 2 2 3 5 8 13 27
TROPICAL STORM 82 65 50 51 54 56 50
HURRICANE 16 33 46 43 35 27 13
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 15 28 38 32 26 21 12
HUR CAT 2 1 3 6 7 6 4 1
HUR CAT 3 1 1 2 3 2 2 1
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 55KT 60KT 65KT 65KT 65KT 60KT 50KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) X(34) X(34)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 67(69) 1(70) X(70)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) X(34) X(34)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10)
ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 49(53) X(53) X(53)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) X(25) X(25)
ILE ST PIERRE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 1(30) X(30)
BURGEO NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BURGEO NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15)
PTX BASQUES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PTX BASQUES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11)
SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) X(15) X(15)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 24(24) 8(32) X(32) X(32)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 45 3(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
NNNN
|
|
|
|
|
