International Energy Outlook 2011
Release Date: September 19, 2011 | Next Scheduled Release Date: April 2013 | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2011)
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Table 6. World naturall gas production by region/country in the Reference case, 2008-2035 (trillion cubic feet) |
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History | Projections | Average annual percent change 2008-2035 | ||||||
Region/Country | 2008 | 2009 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2035 | |
OECD | ||||||||
United Statesa | 20.2 | 20.1 | 22.4 | 23.4 | 21.1 | 25.1 | 26.4 | 1.0 |
Conventional | 9.4 | 8.4 | 7.7 | 7.8 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.6 | -1.3 |
Unconventional | 10.9 | 11.7 | 14.8 | 15.6 | 18.4 | 18.4 | 19.8 | 2.3 |
Canada | 6.0 | 5.6 | 7.0 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 1.5 |
Conventional | 4.0 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 0.4 |
Unconventional | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 3.0 |
Europe | 10.6 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.9 | 8.3 | -0.9 |
Conventional | 10.6 | 10.1 | 8.1 | 7.1 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 6.0 | -2.1 |
Unconventional | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 19.1 |
Australia/New Zealand | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 4.5 |
Other OECD | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
Total OECD | 40.6 | 39.6 | 42.3 | 43.7 | 45.5 | 48.7 | 51.8 | 0.9 |
Non-OECD | ||||||||
Russia | 23.4 | 20.6 | 23.0 | 24.9 | 27.3 | 29.6 | 31.2 | 1.1 |
Europe and Central Asia | 7.1 | 5.7 | 7.4 | 7.7 | 8.1 | 8.7 | 9.2 | 1.0 |
Iran | 4.1 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 7.8 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 3.1 |
Qatar | 2.7 | 3.2 | 6.3 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 4.1 |
Other Middle East | 6.7 | 6.6 | 7.8 | 8.5 | 9.4 | 10.4 | 11.3 | 2.0 |
North Africa | 5.8 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 8.5 | 9.3 | 10.0 | 10.4 | 2.2 |
Other Africa | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.0 |
China | 2.7 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 3.8 |
Conventional | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | -1.0 |
Unconventional | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 5.2 | -- |
Other Asia | 10.0 | 10.4 | 12.5 | 13.7 | 14.9 | 16.2 | 17.3 | 2.0 |
Central and South America | 5.1 | 4.9 | 5.8 | 6.6 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.5 | 2.3 |
Total non-OECD | 69.3 | 66.0 | 81.3 | 90.0 | 99.4 | 109.1 | 117.4 | 2.0 |
Total world | 109.9 | 105.6 | 123.6 | 133.8 | 145.0 | 157.8 | 169.2 | 1.6 |
Discrepancyb | -1.0 | -1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | |
Source: History: EIA, International Energy Statistics database (as of March 2011), website www.eia.gov/ies. Projections: EIA, International Natural Gas Model (2011); and Annual Energy Outlook 2011, DOE/EIA-0383(2011) (Washington, DC, April 2011), AEO2011 National Energy Modeling System, run REF2011.D020911A, website www.eia.gov/aeo. |