‹ Analysis & Projections

International Energy Outlook 2011

Release Date: September 19, 2011   |  Next Scheduled Release Date: April 2013   |  Report Number: DOE/EIA-0484(2011)

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Table 18. Average annual changes in Kaya decomposition factors, 2008-2035
(percent per year)
Carbon intensity of energy supply (CO2/E) Energy intensity of
economic activity
(E/GDP)
Income per person
(GDP/POP)
Population (POP) CO2 emissions
OECD Americas -0.30% -1.90% 1.70% 0.90% 0.40%
United States -0.20% -2.00% 1.60% 0.90% 0.30%
Canada -0.50% -1.10% 1.10% 1.00% 0.50%
Mexico/Chile -0.30% -1.50% 3.00% 0.60% 1.70%
OECD Europe -0.60% -1.30% 1.60% 0.20% -0.10%
OECD Asia -0.50% -0.80% 1.50% -0.10% 0.20%
Japan -0.60% -0.30% 0.90% -0.40% -0.40%
South Korea -0.30% -1.60% 2.90% 0.00% 1.00%
Australia/New Zealand -0.50% -1.60% 1.80% 0.80% 0.50%
Total OECD -0.40% -1.50% 1.70% 0.40% 0.20%
Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia -0.40% -2.10% 2.90% -0.20% 0.20%
Russia -0.40% -2.00% 3.10% -0.40% 0.20%
Other -0.40% -2.20% 2.70% 0.00% 0.10%
Non-OECD Asia -0.40% -2.30% 4.50% 0.80% 2.50%
China -0.40% -2.60% 5.40% 0.30% 2.50%
India -0.40% -2.20% 4.50% 1.00% 2.70%
Other -0.30% -2.00% 3.30% 1.10% 2.10%
Middle East -0.20% -1.60% 2.20% 1.60% 1.90%
Africa -0.10% -1.70% 2.00% 1.70% 1.70%
Central and South America -0.20% -1.70% 2.90% 0.80% 1.90%
Brazil -0.10% -1.70% 4.10% 0.50% 2.80%
Other 0.00% -1.70% 2.00% 1.00% 1.20%
Total non-OECD -0.20% -2.20% 3.60% 0.90% 2.00%
Total world -0.20% -1.80% 2.50% 0.90% 1.30%
Calculated based on projections from EIA, World Energy Projection System Plus (2011).
* Note: Components will not sum exactly to total average annual growth rates; for all regions, the residual is less than .3 percent.