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Hurricane NADINE Forecast Advisory


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 150851
TCMAT4

HURRICANE NADINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142012
0900 UTC SAT SEP 15 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  51.4W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE  60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  51.4W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  52.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 31.1N  49.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE  80SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 31.1N  46.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.0N  43.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 31.4N  40.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 130SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 33.0N  35.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 35.5N  31.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 37.5N  29.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.7N  51.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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Page last modified: Saturday, 15-Sep-2012 08:51:17 UTC