Syria crisis: US and Russia divided on Assad's future - Tuesday 19 June 2012

• 'Arms ship' returning to Russia, says Hague
• Robert Mood to brief UNSC on suspended observer mission
• Muslim Brotherhood calls for protest against generals

• Read the latest summary

putin-obama-syria-statement
Vladimir Putin with Barack Obama at the G20 summit in Los Cabos, Mexico. Photograph: Carolyn Kaster/AP
Live blog: recap

4.56pm: Here's a roundup of the latest developments.

Syria

British foreign secretary William Hague says a ship that was believed to be carrying Russian-made attack helicopters to Syria appears to have turned back after its insurer withdrew coverage. Hague told parliament that the MV Alaed, which was last reported about 60 miles off the Scottish coast, has "turned back now apparently toward Russia".

The UN security council is to consider the future of its suspended observer mission in Syria when the head of mission, Robert Mood, briefs the group later today.

The activist group the Local Co-ordination Committees in Syria claims 18 people have been killed in the latest violence today. There have also been reports of renewed shelling in the rebel stronghold of Rastan, north of Homs.

Adnan Sello, a leader of Syria's Chemical Warfare Division, has defected and is now in Turkey, according to an unconfirmed report by al-Jazeera. The report comes amid growing concern about Syria's stockpile of chemical weapons (10.02am).

Barack Obama and Russia's president Vladimir Putin issued a joint call to end the violence in Syria, but the Russian president refused to support US efforts to persuade Bashar al-Assad to relinquish power.

Egypt

The Muslim Brotherhood has called for a mass protest against the ruling military council's decision to dissolve parliament and award itself sweeping new powers.

The Brotherhood has now released figures that show their candidate, Mohamed Morsi has won the presidential with 52% of the vote (13,238,298) against the military-backed Ahmed Shafiq, who has 48% (12,351,184). The Egypt Independent says the gap is much closer. It puts Morsi on 12,322,549 and Shafiq on 12,201,549. The official result is expected tomorrow.

A court has postponed a decision on whether to dissolve the Muslim Brotherhood as a political group. The case has been adjourned until September.

The United States expressed alarm that its protégés in the Egyptian army were abusing hopes for democracy by ordering more military rule, Reuters reports.

4.07pm: Syria: Private sector imports of diesel into Lebanon in April were 106,000 tonnes – three times last year's level – and the imports in May were double last year's level, Reuters reports. The figures are not easily explained by Lebanon's domestic needs and Reuters suggests they are a sign that fuel is being smuggled into Syria.

"The latest figures show a huge jump in imports of diesel in Lebanon. Countries don't just double their imports overnight," said a Syrian oil industry employee, who asked not to be named to protect his family in Aleppo.

The source named Shia organisation Hezbollah which supports Syrian President Bashar al-Assad ... as playing a major role, although analysts said smuggling involved various groups in Lebanon and did not just supply the government side.

A Hezbollah official denied the movement was sending fuel to Syria.

Lebanon's energy officials deny that imports have increased substantially, or that diesel is crossing the border to Syria.

"There is no smuggling to Syria, I do not know where do you get this information from but it is all false," said Sarkis Helais, director general of oil facilities in Lebanon.

Ahmed Shafiq

3.50pm: Egypt: Ahmed Shafiq's people are still insisting that the former prime minister won the presidential election, AP reports.

Ahmed Sarhan has told a televised news conference that Shafiq won 51.5% of the vote. He said the claim of victory by Shafiq's rival Mohamed Morsi was "false."

"General Ahmed Shafiq is the next president of Egypt," said Sarhan, adding that the candidate won some 500,000 votes more than Morsi, of the fundamentalist Brotherhood.

The official result of the two-day, weekend vote will be announced on Thursday.

3.32pm: Egypt: The Carter Centre has declared the presidential election free of major voting irregularities but it has confirmed it concerns about the military council's decision to give itself sweeping new powers.

Speaking at a press conference on his grandfather's behalf, Jason Carter, said:

The clear question that remains is whether the democratic spirit of the Egyptian people will be transferred to the Egyptian government. This transition is uncertain at this time. Since we have arrived the parliament has been dissolved. There has been troubling announcements of new powers for the Scaf, with respect to civil liberties - their ability to detain and try civilians.

Then at the end of the election day even as the votes were being counted there was a new constitutional addendum that redefined the powers of the president. That affirmed that Scaf will continue to hold legislative power after the 1 July deadline [for handing over power] and injects Scaf into the constitution drafting process. These very troubling aspects of the transition process must be considered when considering the election.

The biggest concern is with respect to the unelected military body's role in the drafting of the constitution. We believe that an unelected military body should not interfere with that drafting process.

From what we were able to observe of the voting and the counting, that process was generally competitive. There were some irregularities. There did not appear to be any systematic irregularities, that would bestow an unfair advantage to one candidate or another.

3.25pm: Syria: British foreign secretary William Hague has announced that the ship said to be carrying attack helicopters to Syria (see 1.15pm) has turned round and is now heading back to Russia.

3.06pm: Syria: Jordan has toughened its screening procedures for Syrian refugees, refusing entry to dozens as the number of individuals submitting false asylum claims is on the rise, the Associated press reports citing government and UN officials.

Under the new procedures, individual Syrian males with residency permits elsewhere are barred entry, a government official said, insisting on anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter.

The interior ministry estimates some 125,000 Syrians have come to Jordan since the outbreak of violence in their country in March 2011.

Syrian dissidents say the Jordanian move was prompted by security concerns ...

"Many spies belonging to (Syrian President) Bashar Assad's regime are also believed to have entered Jordan in recent weeks," said a spokesman for the rebel Free Syrian Army in Jordan.

He said Jordan was also banning anyone who could be considered as a vocal critic of Assad's regime in order to protect its business ties with Syria ...

Syria is one of Jordan's largest Arab trade partners, with bilateral trade estimated at $470 million last year. Also, 60% of Jordanian exports of mainly fruits and vegetables are routed through Syria for onward shipping to Turkey overland or to Europe via Syria's Mediterranean coast.

2.43pm: Egypt: Jimmy Carter, whose election monitors have been overseeing the presidential poll, is reported to be "deeply troubled" by the military council's power grab.

Betsy Hiel, Cairo-based correspondent for the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review, tweets:

2.26pm: Syria: Another Russian warship is to be sent to Syria, according to the Russian news agency Interfax, the BBC's Moscow correspondent Steve Rosenberg reports.

Earlier, the Telegraph said Russia has confirmed that confirming it is preparing to send marines to its naval base in Syria. It said:

Classified US satellite images last week indicated that loading work had begun on two amphibious landing vessels, the Nikolai Filchenkov and the Caesar Kunikov, at the Crimean naval base of Sebastopol.

After initially remaining silent on the subject, a senior naval commander yesterday confirmed that both ships would shortly be heading to the Russian base at the Syrian port of Tartus, the Interfax news agency reported.

Meanwhile, the MV Alaed, the ship carrying refurbished attack helicopters to Syria, is being tracked by the shipping website Marine Traffic. It currently shows it 60 miles north-west off Scotland.


View Larger Map

Here is a map showing its last reported location at 01.37 on Monday. There has been no further public satellite data since then.

Ali Hasan Photograph: Hasan Jamali/AP

2.22pm: Bahrain: The Guardian has an interview with Ali Hasan (left), the 11-year-old boy who spent a month in detention and is due to face trial tomorrow accused of taking part in an illegal demonstration.

"On the day before I was arrested, there was some fighting in the streets near my house between the demonstrators and the police," Ali told the Guardian by phone from his home in the Bilad al-Qadeem suburb of Manama. "The demonstrators had blocked the street by setting fire to tyres and help from the containers which people use to dispose their rubbish.

"The day after this I went to the street with two of my friends to play. It was around 3pm. While we were playing there, some police forces came towards us which made us panic. My friends managed to run away … but I was so scared by the guns they were carrying that I couldn't move … and I was arrested."

2.16pm: Egypt: An interesting idea is floating around on Twitter and the Russia Today website (not the most reliable of sources). It's that Mohamed Morsi may swear the presidential oath – assuming Scaf eventually agrees that he has won – in Tahrir Square on Friday, in front of the Egyptian people.

The presidential oath was originally supposed to be sworn in front of parliament, but with parliament dissolved that has become impossible.

Mahmoud Salem, the blogger known as Sandmonkey, is claiming he originally suggested the Tahrir oath as a joke.

1.15pm: Syria: Moves are under way to halt the voyage of a ship said to be carrying refurbished Russian attack helicopters to Syria.

The suspect vessel, MV Alaed, has had its insurance withdrawn by the Standard Club in London, the BBC reports.

The insurer said it had sought more information on the boat's cargo.

Withdrawal of insurance prevents the MV Alaed from sailing until its owner can secure new cover.

It is thought that the vessel has stopped off the Western Isles [of Scotland].

The Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO) said it was unclear where the vessel would now go.

However, an article on the Maritime Bulletin website suggests the withdrawal of insurance may not be enough to deter the vessel from continuing its voyage:

British media presume vessel won't be able to continue the voyage without the insurance, withdrawn by Standard Club, but that's doubtful, because the powers behind that shipment wouldn't consider withdrawal of the insurance as serious enough problem to cancel the delivery.

To all my knowledge, if Alaed is loaded with what everybody now believes she's loaded, manager of the vessel doesn't control the situation and will do what he's ordered to do.

Live blog: recap

12.28pm: Here's a roundup of the main developments so far today.

Syria

The UN security council is to consider the future of its suspended observer mission in Syria when the head of mission, Robert Mood, briefs the group later today. Britain's ambassador to the UN, Mark Lyall Grant said: "I think there will be a lot of member states of the council, including us, who will be questioning now what the future is for the mission and, therefore, by extension the Annan plan, in light of these recent developments on the ground."

The activist group the Local Co-ordination Committees in Syria claims 18 people have been killed in the latest violence today. Several children were among the victims of an attack yesterday in the Damascus suburb of Douma (see 9.35am). There have also been reports of renewed shelling in the rebel stronghold of Rastan, north of Homs.

Adnan Sello, a leader of Syria's Chemical Warfare Division, has defected and is now in Turkey, according to an unconfirmed report by al-Jazeera. The report comes amid growing concern about Syria's stockpile of chemical weapons (10.02am).

Barack Obama and Russia's president Vladimir Putin issued a joint call to end the violence in Syria, but the Russian president refused to support US efforts to persuade Bashar al-Assad to relinquish power. A joint statement issued after a bilateral meeting at the G20 summit in Los Cabos, Mexico, said simply that the Syrian people should independently and democratically be allowed to decide their own future, but there was no joint call for Assad to stand down, as the White House has been urging.

Egypt

The Muslim Brotherhood has called for a mass protest against the ruling military council's decision to dissolve parliament and award itself sweeping new powers. The April 6th movement has urged its supporters to join the rally which is due start in Tahrir Square and end at a heavily-secured Parliament building.

The Brotherhood has now released figures that show their candidate, Mohamed Morsi has won the presidential with 52% of the vote (13,238,298) against the military-backed Ahmed Shafiq, who has 48% (12,351,184). The Egypt Independent says the gap is much closer. It puts Morsi on 12,322,549 and Shafiq on 12,201,549. The official result is expected tomorrow.

A court has postponed a decision on whether to dissolve the Muslim Brotherhood as a political group. The case has been adjourned until September.

The United States expressed alarm that its protégés in the Egyptian army were abusing hopes for democracy by ordering more military rule, Reuters reports. "We are deeply concerned about the new amendments to the constitutional declaration, including the timing of their announcement as polls were closing," a Pentagon spokesman said.

12.18pm: Syria: Homs has become city of warring Sunni and Alawite areas according to a detailed account by an unnamed visitor published by Reuters.

The heart of Syria's conflict is a chilling glimpse of what the worst case scenario may be: a bloody struggle that tears the country into a jigsaw of warring statelets ...

With Sunni areas pounded into a shambles, refugees too poor to leave Homs have few options.

Most end up in the Waar district, a jungle of concrete apartment blocks that housed the Sunni elite. Waar's affluent residents fled the city's chaos. Soon refugees broke in and took over their abandoned apartments.

All down the streets, shops have been seized by refugees. At a butcher shop, a family has hung blankets across the meat hooks outside to cover the glass storefront....

Meanwhile, Alawite areas like Farzat's Zahra district look more like army bases than residential neighbourhoods.

Artillery is no longer stored in army barracks on Homs's outskirts but in the middle of Alawite districts, and troops are at the ready to roll them out and fire at nearby rebel areas.

The army has secured the streets connecting Alawite neighborhoods. But its control of Homs is tenuous.

Soldiers dare not go into most Sunni areas, where somewhere unseen in rocket- and bullet-riddled buildings, hundreds of rebels hide, sporadically firing rocket propelled grenades

12.07pm: Libya: A group of armed gunmen stormed the Tunisian consulate in Benghazi yesterday to protest against an art exhibition in Tunisia which they said insulted Islam, Reuters reports citing a security guard who works inside the building.

Kamal al-Gehani said the group of about 20 young men carrying Kalashnikovs forced their way into the building and burned the Tunisian flag inside.

"They knocked on our gates and pushed into the building. It was a holiday so no one was working inside except security," he told Reuters.

Suleiman al-Gehani, an official with the foreign ministry who was called to help defuse the situation, said security officers had to negotiate with the group until they were convinced to leave. He said no shots were fired and no one was injured.

"We had to convince them this wasn't the civlised way to protest. They were very angry over the art work from Tunisia," he said.

Thousands of hardline Salafis rioted in Tunis last week over the exhibition which features a work that spells out the name of God using insects.

11.51am: Egypt: There is little sign yet that people have heeded the Muslim Brotherhood's call for a protest in Tahrir. But it's early and hot, as photojournalist Cliff Cheney notes.

Dutch journalist Rena Netjes expects more people to gather after work.

The April 6th Movement has called on its supporters to join the protest.

11.46am: Egypt: Some of the pressure on the Muslim Brotherhood has been lifted today – at least temporarily – with a decision by the High Administrative Court to postpone a lawsuit calling for the movement to be dissolved. The hearing has reportedly been adjourned until September.

Ahram Online explains the background to the case:

The plaintiff, Shehata Mohamed Shehata, claims the country's largest Islamist group has illegally carried out both political and social activities since the 1930's despite being an officially banned political organisation.

Moreover, Shehata says the Brotherhood has failed to abide by a 2002 law governing the functions of non-governmental organisations, which forbids such groups operating as religious-based political parties. The penalty for failing to abide by the law, claims Shehata, is dissolution of the group.

The Brotherhood has now released figures that show their candidate, Mohamed Morsi has won the presidential with 52% of the vote (13,238,298) against the military-backed Ahmed Shafik, who has 48% (12,351,184).

On Twitter, Marc Lynch suggests the Brotherhood has made a shrewd move:

... and Evan Hill points out that the gap is probably too large to be closed by the military council disqualifying some of the votes on the grounds of irregularities:

However, the independent newspaper Al-Masry al-Youm has compiled its own count which says the gap is much narrower, with 12,322,549 votes for Morsi and 12,201,549 for Shafiq.

William Hague

11.33am: Egypt: Britain's foreign secretary William Hague has expressed concern over the military council's attempts to grab power.

In a carefully-worded statement he calls for new parliamentary elections as soon as possible.

We were concerned by recent announcements of the dissolution of Parliament and the reintroduction of powers of arrest and detention for the military. The process of drafting a new, inclusive Constitution and the holding of new parliamentary elections should be taken forward as soon as possible.

The UK will continue to support the people of Egypt in their aspirations for greater economic opportunities, political participation, freedom and rights, and to that end work with the Egyptian leadership elected by the people.

11.29am: Syria: The rebel stronghold of Rastan, which has seen some of the heavy fighting between the rebel Free Syrian Army, and government troops, has come under renewed bombardment according to activists and the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

Activists from Rastan published this footage purporting to show burning flats in a residential area. They also uploaded footage showing water towers being targeted in the city.

Rastan has been under rebel control since February.

The UK-based Observatory said helicopters were used in an attack on the city today. A voice in this Bambuser footage also claimed helicopters were used, but they are not shown in the clip.

11.10am: Egypt: The Muslim Brotherhood has called for mass protests against the ruling military council today. While waiting to see if the council will confirm that its candidate, Mohamed Morsi, has won the presidential election, the movement is objecting to yesterday's constitutional declaration and to the dissolution of parliament where it held the largest block of seats.

There is speculation that MPs will attempt to hold a session of the dissolved parliament – either at the official parliament building or in another location.

Guardian journalist Jack Shenker reports from Cairo:

On Monday the parliamentary speaker, Saad el-Katatni, a Brotherhood veteran, said he did not recognise last week's decision by Mubarak-era judges in Egypt's supreme constitutional court to dissolve the legislature, a move widely viewed as highly politicised and designed to bolster the generals.

Katatni said MPs planned to attend parliament – which was surrounded by armed soldiers – as usual on Tuesday or convene in nearby Tahrir Square, setting the stage for a showdown between the generals who have held sway for six decades and the long-outlawed Islamist movement now on the brink of political control.

However, getting access to the parliament building could be difficult, as the BBC's Paul Danahar indicates in this tweet:

UK ambassador to the UN Mark Lyall Grant

10.41am: Syria: Britain and other countries question the future of the UN observer mission in Syria, Britain's ambassador to the UN Mark Lyall Grant said ahead of today's security council briefing by the head of the mission, Robert Mood.

The Turkish daily Zaman quotes Lyall Grant saying:

I think there will be a lot of member states of the council, including us, who will be questioning now what the future is for the mission and, therefore, by extension the Annan plan, in light of these recent developments on the ground.

I think we are going to have to review it in the light of what has happened.

[Syria's] brutality against their own civilian population has led to the sort of spikes in violence that we've now seen.

10.34am: Syria: Russia's naval base in the port of Tartus has become a focus of international attention amid reports that Russian marines could shortly be deployed there. But the base itself is nothing to get excited about, according to a report in the New York Times which describes it as "tiny" and "frayed".

The site, at the port of Tartus, is little more than a pier, fuel tanks and some barracks. But it is the last Russian military base outside the former Soviet Union, and its only Mediterranean fueling spot, sparing Russia's warships the trip back to their Black Sea bases through straits in Turkey, a Nato member.


View Russian naval base, Tartous, Syria in a larger map

The base (at the northern end of the port in the satellite view above) was established during the Cold War, in 1971, as a supply and maintenance base to support the 5th Mediterranean Squadron, which no longer exists. It is now under the control of the Black Sea fleet which continues to staff it with naval personnel, although there are only occasional visits from Russian naval ships.

10.04am: Syria: The Syrian government claims to be trying to evacuate civilians from Homs, as activists broadcast more live footage of the bombardment of the city.

"Contacts have been made with the leadership of the international monitors, in cooperation with the local Syrian authorities in the city of Homs to bring out these Syrian citizens," Syria's foreign ministry said, according to the state news agency.

After a decision to suspend the UN monitoring mission, Robert Mood, head of the mission, appealed to all parties to allow trapped civilians to flee areas worst hit by the violence.

"The parties must reconsider their position and allow women, children, the elderly and the injured to leave conflict zones, without any preconditions and ensure their safety," Mood said.

10.02am: Syria: Amid continuing reports of defections from the Syrian military, al-Jazeera is reporting that Adnan Sello, a leader of Syria's Chemical Warfare Division, has defected and is now in Turkey. We are unable to confirm this at present but it could be an important development if true.

There has been growing concern about Syria's stockpile of chemical weapons – not because the regime is thought likely to use them but because of fears over what might happen to them should the regime fall.

The BBC quotes Leonard Spector, a nonproliferation expert based in Washington:

Syria has one of the world's largest chemical weapon arsenals, including traditional chemical agents, such as mustard, and more modern nerve agents, such as Sarin, and possibly persistent nerve agents, such as VX.

Syria is thought to have a number of major chemical weapon complexes, some in areas of current conflict, such as the Homs and Hama regions. The bases are said to be guarded by elite forces, but whether they would stay at their posts if the Assad regime collapses cannot be predicted.

Meanwhile, one of the latest unconfirmed defection videos (above), purports to show a number of high-ranking officers switching to the opposition in Homs.

9.35am: Syria: Activists in Douma, a suburb to the north-east of Damascus, claim that 29 people were killed by government forces on Monday.

The Revolutionary Command Council in Damascus Suburb said several children and military defectors were among the victims.

It posted disturbing videos claiming to show the bodies of the children who had died.

Another clip showed the physical destruction of the area.

Video has also emerged purporting to show a tank destroyed by the rebel Free Syrian Army in Douma.

8.43am: (all times BST) Welcome to Middle East Live. Syria and Egypt remain the focal points.

The main item on today's agenda is a briefing to the UN security council and by Robert Mood, the head of the supervision mission to Syria.

The official presidential election results in Egypt are not expected until tomorrow, but the Muslim Brotherhood's candidate Mohammed Morsi is claiming victory.

Syria

Barack Obama and Russia's president Vladimir Putin issued a joint call to end the violence in Syria, but the Russian president refused to support US efforts to persuade Bashar al-Assad to relinquish power. A joint statement issued after a bilateral meeting at the G20 summit in Los Cabos, Mexico, said simply that the Syrian people should independently and democratically be allowed to decide their own future, but there was no joint call for Assad to stand down, as the White House has been urging. It said:

In order to stop the bloodshed in Syria, we call for an immediate cessation of the violence and express full support for the efforts of the UN and Arab states joint special envoy Kofi Annan, including on moving forward on political transition to a democratic pluralist political system that would be implemented by the Syrians themselves in the framework of Syrian sovereignty, independence, unity and territorial integrity.We are united in our belief that the Syrian people should have the opportunity to independently and democratically choose their own future.



The "anodyne" statement is significant for what it does not mention, according to former US diplomat Daniel Serwer.

Neither the Russian arms shipments to the regime nor the Saudi and Qatari arms flowing to the opposition are mentioned. Ditto the suspended UN monitoring mission. There is no hint of intervention other than through the Annan plan and the UN Security Council. The Americans are essentially accepting the Russian emphasis on dialogue and peaceful means, while reiterating their hope for eventually democratic ends.

Hope is not a policy ... Anodyne is not a policy either, unless you want to convey how impotent the former superpowers have become.

Norwegian Major General Robert Mood.

Robert Mood the head of the UN supervision mission in Syria is due to brief the security council after his mission was suspended over the weekend. The diplomatic blog Inner City Press says there is confusion over whether the mission activities are continuing.

Russia has raised the stakes by confirming that it was preparing to send marines to its naval base in Syria, the Telegraph reports.

The planned deployment was designed to send a powerful signal thatRussia would not tolerate foreign military intervention in Syria, according to a Western defence source. It was apparently ordered after the Kremlin came to conclusion that Western powers were preparing to circumvent the United Nations Security Council – where Russia holds a veto – by unilaterally authorising Nato military action in Syria. The source said that Russia had "completely misunderstood" Western intentions.

Up to 27 people were killed in the suburbs of Damascus on Monday as the security forces intensified a security campaign in the suburbs of the capital, according to activists. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said 19 people died including two children. The activist group, the Syrian Revolution General Commission, said 27 people were killed in the area, including four children.

Egypt

The Muslim Brotherhood has vowed to face down Egypt's ruling generals after declaring that its candidate had won the presidential election and would refuse to accept the junta's last-ditch attempts to engineer a constitutional coup, writes Jack Shenker and Abdel-Rahman Hussein in Cairo.

An 11th-hour constitutional declaration issued unilaterally by Scaf awarded the generals sweeping powers including the right to put forward legislation and an effective veto over clauses in the new constitution, and formalised the army's ability to detain civilians and sweep out of barracks at moments of "internal unrest".

Political analysts described the move as a constitutional obscenity and said it left the three major institutions of the post-Mubarak Egyptian state – the presidency (now curtailed), the parliament (now dissolved) and the constitutional assembly (now floundering in legal uncertainty) – all under the full or partial influence of the armed forces.

If, as expected, Mohamed Morsi is declared winner of the presidential election, the Brotherhood's decision not to boycott the poll will have been vindicated, says a Guardian editorial. The Brotherhood's candidate benefited from a sympathy vote following last week's decision to dissolve parliament, it says.

The biggest miscalculation that Egypt's ruling military council, Scaf, made was to have its judges on the constitutional council declare the Islamist-dominated parliament invalid. Two days before the presidential poll, this may have tipped the balance in favour of the Muslim Brotherhood's candidate, Mohamed Morsi. If the Brotherhood squandered public sympathy by doing little with its time in parliament, and losing 5m votes as a result, the court restored the Brotherhood's image as a victim of military fiat.

Besides, it became clear for all to see what the plan of the generals had been all along: to usurp parliament by giving itself legislative power; to usurp the constitution by creating its own body of authors; and to seize the presidency.

The United States expressed alarm that its protégés in the Egyptian army were abusing hopes for democracy by ordering more military rule, Reuters reports. "We are deeply concerned about the new amendments to the constitutional declaration, including the timing of their announcement as polls were closing," a Pentagon spokesman said.

State department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland added:

We call on Scaf to restore popular and international confidence in the democratic transition process by following through on their stated commitments to an inclusive, constitutional drafting process; the timely seating of a democratically elected parliament; and the swift, permanent transfer of power to a civilian government. There can be no going back on the democratic transition, and the United States stands with the Egyptian people in their aspiration to choose their own leaders.

The Egyptian blogger Zeinobia expresses fears of violence if Ahmed Shafiq is declared winner of the election at an announcement tomorrow.

She writes:

I fear Algerian scenario for real this time. You can not charge people with hope and victory like that , then give them the shock of their lives.

She also posted these images of Muslim Brotherhood supporters celebrating what they think was the victory of their candidate Mohamed Morsi.

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah, 89, has appointed his brother Prince Salman, the defence minister, as crown prince and heir apparent, ensuring a smooth succession for the world's biggest oil exporting country. The appointment, reported on state television, was announced in a royal decree one day after the burial of Crown Prince Nayef, the interior minister, who died on Saturday.

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  • BrownMoses

    19 June 2012 9:13AM

    I'm still trying to gather some information about this video, which claims to show members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard captured in Syria by the FSA. While the Arabic translation isn't a problem, the Farsi is, and the only person I know who speaks a little Farsi seems to think that at least one of the IDs belongs to a Iranian health organisations, so if anyone know any more that would be very useful.

    And this link is especially for capmint1, AFRICOM Forms Military Relationship With Libya.

  • shillsgonnashill

    19 June 2012 9:22AM

    Assad's terrorists continue to slaughter those living in areas deemed to be purged by the "surgeon." Video filmed by Syrian military shows the tortured bodies of detainees being pitched off a building. One body hangs on wire as a troop shoots it with his Kalashnikov, then two other bodies are tossed down onto the heap much to the thugs approval:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c0sgcrKV6r4

  • Atvar48

    19 June 2012 9:31AM

    Here’s a different take on what went on in Al Haffa the other week,though I am expecting some posters here to dismiss this as rubbish, but it is to prove a point on how the Western media distorts the news, for narrative of its own readers.


    Armed gangs force Syrians to protest against government: Locals


    http://www.presstv.ir/detail/2012/06/19/246877/armed-gangs-force-syrians-to-protest/


    Always two sides to a story..


    Barack Obama and Vladimir Putin seek Syria peace

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-18499777

    “In a joint statement following their first meeting since Mr Putin returned to the presidency, they said they shared a belief that Syrians should determine their own future”.

    Exactly for the Syrians to decide without western interference, though Hiliary’s views are a bit different with rhetoric she’s been saying lately. This also makes military intervention harder to implement.

  • shillsgonnashill

    19 June 2012 9:32AM

    Daily defections from soldiers, officers, public servants continue to take place in response to the horrors they are being asked to commit in the name of Syria by Assad command. Video from Homs yesterday shows a mass defection of officers along with some of their comrades who managed to break free from attacking forces:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0Qax1EqQZpA

  • shillsgonnashill

    19 June 2012 9:35AM

    A lively demonstration filmed last night 18/06/2012 in a Damascus suburb shows Syrian's will not be cowed into submission by terrorists or their foreign backers. Hundreds wave Free Syrian flags while singing for the downfall of Assad. Nonviolent protests countering the slaughter committed by regime forces:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPNXQ7subm4

  • Grant Albert

    19 June 2012 9:35AM

    Brian et al: Given that the Russians are planning to send marines by sea to Syria, using their base in the Black Sea, this presumes they would need to pass through the Turkish Straits to make it there. What, in your opinion, do you think Turkey's reaction to this? Could we see this prevented (either blatantly withholding permission or by coming up with some excuses (safety etc.))?

  • PeterBrit

    19 June 2012 9:35AM

    Not a good day in Benghazi yesterday. Britain suspended its diplomatic operations there because of worries about security problems. Salafists went round putting notices on car windscreens saying that women shouldn't drive. And a jihadist militia stormed the Tunisian embassy/consulate in anger about the art exhibition in Tunisia that has upset Salafists there.

  • BasharAssad

    19 June 2012 9:39AM

    Syrian government ready to extract the citizens besieged by armed groups without preconditions.

    Based on the Syrian government's commitment to its citizens, keeping their safety, life and properties, the competent authorities have spared no effort to extract the innocent civilians from the regions where armed terrorist groups are present, an official source at the Foreign and Expatriates Ministry announced Monday.

    "Contacts have been made with the leadership of the international monitors in cooperation with the Syrian local authorities in Homs to bring the civilians out, but the efforts of the UN monitors' mission failed in achieving this goal because of the armed terrorist groups' obstructions," the source said.

  • lavenderrose

    19 June 2012 9:41AM

    Always two sides to a story..
    From the Angry Arab concerning the strike a few weeks ago:

    Wednesday, May 30, 2012
    Was their a strike in Damascus yesterday?
    Yesterday, I woke up to the news in Qatari and Saudi media that shops in Damascus, particularly in Suq Al-Hamidiyyah, were closed in observance of a strike that was called in solidarity with Hula victims. But I was suspicious because the Al-Arabiyyah (news station of King Fahd's brother-in-law) showed shops that were clearly not in Suq Al-Hamidiyyah and the sun looked pre-8:00 AM. So I went to Facebook and asked my readers in Syria whether there was a strike in Damascus and in Suq Al-Hamidiyyah. Out of the tens of answers, I can distill those answers:
    1) Yes, there was a strike.
    2) No, there was no strike and shops were open as normal.
    3) Most of shop owners came from rural Damascus (Rif) where the armed groups are strong and they were threatened if they opened and had to comply, but later the Syrian Army came and told them to open.
    4) A known observer in Syria, having read the various responses, wrote to me and said: Well, they were forced to close early on by the armed gangs of the Free Syrian Army who threatened to kill their families, and were later forced by the Syrian Army to re-open their shops.

    http://angryarab.blogspot.co.uk/2012/05/was-their-strike-in-damascus-yesterday.html

  • ChaoLe

    19 June 2012 9:42AM

    I think defections are the key to success. As long as Assad has the army behing him, he can stay in power. It is clear that he will continue killing, because this is his policy.

    There will be no negotiations, as long as Assad is president. However there are signs that even Russians realise that his end is near.

  • NegativeCamber

    19 June 2012 9:45AM

    Here’s a different take on what went on in Al Haffa the other week,though I am expecting some posters here to dismiss this as rubbish, but it is to prove a point on how the Western media distorts the news, for narrative of its own readers.

    You do realise that Press TV is the mouthpiece for the Islamic revolution in Iran? The same Islamic Revolution who critically needs Assad as an ally in the region as a conduit to South Lebanon and Hezbollah so it can wage its proxy war with Israel.

    "Some of the weapons were reportedly Israeli-made" What a surprise!!!

    The BBC is a rigorously independent broadcaster.

    Make up your own minds. I have.

  • shillsgonnashill

    19 June 2012 9:45AM

    Mass murder and wholesale punishment of civilian populations for not obeying Assad's wishes and dying. Syrian military and militia continue to literally siege Rastan and many other areas of Syria. Video filmed yesterday 18/06/2012 shows the military attacking a neighborhood's water supplies:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qoxGdv4u3h0

    This is not a new trend but a tactic deployed previously onto other civilian populations. Bloodthirsty terrorist wants entire cities purged.

  • Atvar48

    19 June 2012 9:48AM

    @lavenderrose

    We have similar points of view and look at the bigger picture it seems.

  • Atvar48

    19 June 2012 9:51AM

    @negativecamber

    Your name here says it all "negative", nothing wrong with alternative news regardless where it comes from, but i got the re-action I expected and predictable it was to.

  • NegativeCamber

    19 June 2012 9:54AM

    nothing wrong with alternative news regardless

    There is something wrong when when the channel in question shows a confession from a torture victim and claims he was an MI6 spy.

    Sometimes you have to call a spade a spade.

  • bobfm74

    19 June 2012 9:54AM

    This comment was removed by a moderator because it didn't abide by our community standards. Replies may also be deleted. For more detail see our FAQs.

  • Atvar48

    19 June 2012 9:54AM

    With regards to defections,don't think its an issue with Army yet,unless we see major army units and armoured brigades refusing to fight or go to the FSA ,then things will change dramatically. I would assume Assad's generals will tell him in advance if there is an issue with defections.

  • shillsgonnashill

    19 June 2012 10:00AM

    If you are referring to the renewed presence in Baba Amr along with the higher attrition rate for Assad's mass murdering armor I think this has much to do with his paid thugs showing signs of strain. They simply are unable to keep the same tactics employed in all places deemed infected by Assad for an extended amount of time.

  • letsjustdoit

    19 June 2012 10:02AM

    "A joint statement issued after a bilateral meeting at the G20 summit in Los Cabos, Mexico, said simply that the Syrian people should independently and democratically be allowed to decide their own future"

    The war crazy Obama will simply just have to back off, which as the picture of him with Putin shows, he ain't to happy about.

  • lynn68b

    19 June 2012 10:12AM

    The city of Homs has been annihilated by the Syrian army, seeking a resolution through peaceful dialogue with the perpetrators of such meaningless destruction is impossible.

  • Syrianchap

    19 June 2012 10:13AM

    Russia will only stop backing Assad when syrian billions are over! We still have about 10 billion dollars! I hope Assad will send them soon to Russia so that we could finish up this dilema! The west tricked the Russian bear in Libya, but in Syria the mafia would like to suck up all the dectator's moneyand then dismantle him!

  • ChaoLe

    19 June 2012 10:23AM

    Meanwhile, one of the latest unconfirmed defection videos (above), purports to show a number of high-ranking officers switching to the opposition in Homs.

    More defections are needed! If decent people refused to obey crazy dictators, Hitler, Assad and others would not be able to massacre.
    The problem is not with the psychopaths, the problem is with decent people who obey psychopaths....

  • NegativeCamber

    19 June 2012 10:30AM

    With regards to chemical weapons, the big fear has to be whether Assad becomes desperate enough to use them. Surely the UN would have to act in such an event (although they didn't against Saddam).

    Also Israel should be worried about the passing of these weapons to Hezbollah should the regime collapse.

  • notsoeasilyfooled

    19 June 2012 10:33AM

    What is the difference between a democracy and a dictatorship???
    Answer .. In a democracy we get to vote for our leaders once every 4/5 years. Then it becomes a dictatorship for the next 4/5 years. We get the right to march with our placards but that does not guarantee the people will be listened to.
    In a dictatorship the people are dictated to ALL the time.
    Be careful what you wish for. Grass is not all that greener on the other side of the fence. People just believe it is

  • PeterBrit

    19 June 2012 10:37AM

    The Australian ICC lawyer sezed by the Zintan militia can apparently be released if the ICC apologises. Hm. So presumably this is Zintan essentially accpeting that actually the lawyer had done nothing wrong in terms of communicating with Saif, in the sense that she is his ICC defence lawyer and therefore has the right to private communications with her client. Nevertheless they still expect the ICC to grovel to them, even though it's they who seized a person with diplomatic immunity. It seems to me that it might be time somebody actually stood up to Zintan and told they they're not so big really.

  • NegativeCamber

    19 June 2012 10:38AM

    In a democracy we get to vote for our leaders once every 4/5 years. Then it becomes a dictatorship for the next 4/5 years

    I see you fundamentally do not know how democracy works in this country.

    Cameron cannot just dictate law. It needs to pass the House of Commons and Lords and the Conservatives don't even have a majority.

  • ChaoLe

    19 June 2012 10:43AM

    I would assume Assad's generals will tell him in advance if there is an issue with defections.

    If there is a lot of defections, generals surely will let him know about it, and he will reply: 'Please, don't shoot, comrades'.....

  • BrianWhit

    19 June 2012 10:43AM

    Staff

    Brian et al: Given that the Russians are planning to send marines by sea to Syria, using their base in the Black Sea, this presumes they would need to pass through the Turkish Straits to make it there. What, in your opinion, do you think Turkey's reaction to this?

    In my opinion, blocking major waterways is never a smart idea – too many potential repercussions. The Bosporus is treated as an international waterway under the Montreux Convention of 1936, which means Turkey can't legally restrict its use in peacetime – though apparently it has the right to stop ships for safety checks, etc.

  • ChaoLe

    19 June 2012 10:49AM

    With regards to chemical weapons, the big fear has to be whether Assad becomes desperate enough to use them. Surely the UN would have to act in such an event (although they didn't against Saddam).

    The UN has to act anyway, and it doesn't. Massacring civilians with guns and artillery is not better then using chemical weapons.
    It depends on the attitude of Russia and China. I think they will stop supporting this butcher only if they are sure that he is finished.....

  • MarioSavioJr

    19 June 2012 10:49AM

    So I recall videos of soldiers looting Baba Amr and others of different areas more recently, here is an interesting article on the subject:
    "These are the spoils of war. It's our right to take them"

    "Maybe I'll nab a bargain," says a 50-year-old woman wandering through a supermarket that now trades in looted furniture. "I found a really nice kitchen table set made of gorgeous old wood. But he wants $200 dollars for it!"

    "This isn't stealing, it is our right. Those people support terrorism and we have to finish them off," says Ayman, a 25-year-old youth wearing pointed black shoes and a studded belt.

  • BrownMoses

    19 June 2012 10:49AM

    The city of Homs has been annihilated by the Syrian army, seeking a resolution through peaceful dialogue with the perpetrators of such meaningless destruction is impossible.


    I think that's rather inaccurate, there's large parts of Homs unaffected by the fighting, and others heavily damaged, so to say "The city of Homs" inaccurately implies the entire city is destroyed.

  • MarioSavioJr

    19 June 2012 10:54AM

    "Many missiles are launched against Rastan"
    *crash of rocket*
    "Listen to the shells."
    "We are civilians, men women and children"
    *explosion*

    From the live feed in Rastan.

  • TheAfricanMan

    19 June 2012 10:57AM

    @Mario

    Syrian military continue to rain artillery onto the residents in Rastan, deemed infected by Assad.

    This Rastan? And these residents

    Video footage has emerged purporting to show a senior leader of the Free Syrian Army watching his troops firing automatic weapons and RPGs at government positions in Rastan (Care to wager where they are firing at the government forces from?).

    The clip shows Colonel Qassim Saadeddine (in the green camouflage) who last month defied the Turkey-based leader of the FSA by issuing the Assad regime with a 48-hour deadline to abide by the ceasefire. Since that deadline elapsed on 1 June, the FSA has stepped up its attacks on government forces.

    Yes, most governments will consider it overran by rebels fighting from residential areas, rebels that need to be taken out for internal security and territorial integrity to be restored.

  • Atvar48

    19 June 2012 10:57AM

    @negativecamber

    With regards to chemical weapons, the big fear has to be whether Assad becomes desperate enough to use them.

    I doubt that will happen,unless you know otherwise.?


    @BM

    I think that's rather inaccurate, there's large parts of Homs unaffected by the fighting, and others heavily damaged, so to say "The city of Homs" inaccurately implies the entire city is destroyed

    Indeed thats my reading of the situation also, Homs is a big ciry and I doubt Assads would be able to hold it if all areas rose up.

  • MarioSavioJr

    19 June 2012 11:08AM

    As the days go by you do less and less to hide your support for indiscriminate fire on residential populations. Your every comment lately serving as a proclamation that such acts are just. That or Assad is a leader of a sovereign nation so he can do whatever.

  • notsoeasilyfooled

    19 June 2012 11:10AM

    Whose talking about the law. To change the law in this country it has to go through an endless route from the house of commons to the house of Lords . Goodness knows how many hearings until it is watered down to suit everyone. Needless to say party politics kick in also.
    I am talking about the right to march. Apparently these people in syria are willing to die for this, As an example 2 to 3 million people marched to try to stop the war in Iraq. No one listened. We get the right to march but no one can guarantee our betters will listen. Is this worth dying for Syria ?

  • MarioSavioJr

    19 June 2012 11:11AM

    From the Rastan feed:
    "There is no safe place in Syria, wherever the people call for freedom."
    "Where is the international community for whats happening in Syria, now?"

    His point is very true. The cities with the largest acts of protests and demonstrations, those most vocal, have been shown the least amount of human rights. Those on the opposite end of this spectrum pull triggers and loot the buildings of the families and shopkeeps they murdered.

  • BrownMoses

    19 June 2012 11:18AM

    I thought this video posted yesterday was pretty interesting. It shows two tanks burning after being destroyed by the FSA, but what's interesting is they are off road, and quite some distance from any structures. It seems unlikely they could have been destroyed at that range by RPGs, and as they are off road it suggests they weren't destroyed by IEDs, so it suggests they may have been destroyed by something else, possibly some sort of anti-tank weapon.

  • BrianWhit

    19 June 2012 11:22AM

    Staff

    Massacring civilians with guns and artillery is not better then using chemical weapons.

    True, but chemical weapons are classified alongside nuclear as "weapons of mass destruction". Use of them by the Syrian regime would provoke a much stronger international response. For that reason, I think the regime is unlikely to use them.

  • comingup4air

    19 June 2012 11:22AM

    There's no shortage of armchair philosophers and keyboard pundits thinking they know the real game but where do they get their information - do they actually have access to the inner workings of the world elites? No - they obtain there information like all of us through an extremely biased, filtered and manipulated mass media. The truth is we haven't got a clue what goes on behind closed doors. The Russians, the US, the UK, Syria etc..et - all these regimes have agendas and secrets we will never know. Speculating on the motives is just a game based on the unreliable news we are given through a corporate mass media with a biased agenda.


    Flick on RT and its all about Putin the great peacemaker preventing an escalation of violence, turn over to the BBC and its Putin the stubborn Russian oaf causing the people of Syria to suffer - in between these two poles of politicized propaganda probably lies the truth - not that we can really guess what it is.


    Whatever the case I don't have any time for any politicians or world leaders but having a strong opponent to the US I think is pretty healthy. Lets not kid ourselves for a minute that the US regime are always the good guys, or for that matter Russian regime is always right - both seems heavily corrupt, brutal and overblown with their own self-righteousness.

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