US withdrawal from Iraq is a beginning, not an ending

Unfinished business in the Middle East will be brought sharply into focus as the sound of American boots fades away

    • guardian.co.uk,
    • Article history
Barack Obama  Michelle Obama depart Washington
Barack and Michelle Obama depart Washington to visit troops at Fort Bragg in North Carolina. Photograph: Kevin Lamarque/Reuters

The idea that the Iraq war is over is attractive but deeply misleading. Barack Obama, visiting the troops at Fort Bragg today, will scatter soil on the coffin of a conflict he never supported. The remaining US troops will be home for Christmas, thankful not to be carried back along with 4,500-plus American dead. British forces and other coalition allies have long since departed – or given up the ghost. For the record, the gravestone marking this calamitous misadventure will duly read: "Iraq, 2003-2011. RIP."

But as Americans breathe a sigh of relief, the Iraqi reality is radically different. In Baghdad and Basra, in Ramadi and Mosul, and in Tehran, Riyadh, Damascus and Tel Aviv, unfinished business, much of it explosively dangerous and dating back to the era of Saddam Hussein, will come more sharply into focus as the clump-clump of retreating American boots fades away.

The US withdrawal, while hugely welcome, is inherently destabilising. It is not an ending, any more than was imperial Britain's exit from its African colonies. Rather, it marks the beginning of, and a possible spark for, the next stage of struggle. Iran's rulers understand this historic truth very well. And their view matters since, as many regional analysts believe, it was Tehran, not Washington, that "won" the war in Iraq.

Looming post-occupation flashpoints include endemic political division and economic weakness in Baghdad, the questionable capabilities of Iraq's rebuilt army and police forces amid ongoing security threats, the new Shia ascendancy and rising tensions with the previously dominant Sunnis, Kurdistan's de facto unilateral declaration of independence, intractable disputes over territory and oil and gas revenues, and the possible resurrection of al-Qaida in Mesopotamia. All these issues were created, or exacerbated, by George W Bush's decision to invade. And all continue to be ruthlessly exploited by Shia Iran, Iraq's historic enemy and now its daunting, over-bearing neighbour.

Iran's tentacles extend into the heart of the Iraqi political establishment, starting with the prime minister, Nouri al-Maliki, once a sheltered exile on Iranian soil and an advocate of close fraternal ties. Iran's interests are faithfully represented in parliament by the Sadrist followers of the hardline Shia leader Moqtada al-Sadr, and on the streets by his Mahdi army militia.

Iran is thought to run hundreds if not thousands of operatives inside Iraq, ranging from bone fide diplomats to spies and agents provocateurs. Its interest, the opposite of Washington's, is to keep Iraq weak, dependent and submissive. Its achievement, with a massive assist from the US, is to have eliminated Iraq as an obstacle or potential rival to its drive for regional superpower status.

At a White House meeting with Obama this week, Maliki vowed to rebuild Iraq's sovereignty and signalled interest in continuing American arms sales and military-to-military collaboration. In comments apparently aimed at Iran, he said Iraq would pursue a foreign policy "which does not intervene in the affairs of others and does not allow the others to intervene in its own affairs".

But it was this same Maliki who, egged on by Tehran, torpedoed US plans to maintain military bases in Iraq after 2011. And it is Maliki who now leads a country whose 700,000-strong security forces are incapable, according to US assessments, of defending it against external foes, principally Iran but also Turkey and an increasingly unpredictable Syria.

The Iraq war's unfinished business stretches way beyond its national boundaries. Its many disastrous miscalculations and negative consequences continue to reverberate around the world. The Bush administration's ill-founded insistence that Saddam colluded with al-Qaida, and even with the 9/11 attacks, seriously undermined whatever legitimacy the "war on terror" might have had. By creating a lawless Iraq, Bush allowed al-Qaida a foothold that Saddam had always denied it.

Bogus US claims about Saddam's weapons of mass destruction have had a similarly chilling impact on counterproliferation efforts. When Washington denounces Iran's nuclear activities, its words are greeted with undeserved scepticism in many quarters. The Iraq war's undermining of the cause of human rights and universal justice has also had a lasting effect. The Abu Ghraib torture and prisoner abuse smashed American credibility on this subject, at least for a time. It set a terrible double standard that has heartened anti-democrats everywhere, from Russia's Vladimir Putin to Syria's Bashar al-Assad.

The Iraq war continues, by proxy, in other theatres – for example, in the way the Sunni-led monarchies of the Gulf are consolidating their ties with Washington in opposition to what they see as a nascent Shia-dominated alliance embracing Iraq, Iran and Syria. The war continues for Turkey, too. Ankara refused in 2003 to allow US invasion troops to cross its territory. Since that watershed moment, Turkey has increasingly distanced itself from western and Israeli policy, notably on Iran and Palestine. Turkish forces regularly invade northern Iraq in pursuit of Kurdish militants. With the Americans gone, such confrontations may escalate.

The $700bn Iraq war, coming in tandem with Afghanistan and the financial crisis, decisively tipped the balance of power and advantage from the US to China. It split the EU, creating divisions that have hardened into permanent positions, as seen in Germany's Iraq-style refusal to support Nato's Libya campaign. But most damagingly of all, perhaps, the war's acid legacy continues to corrode belief in western democracy.

When Bush and his loquacious frontman, Tony Blair, made the case for the war, they repeatedly strained the truth, and sometimes lied outright. In betraying the public trust, they did incalculable harm to the western democratic tradition that is held up as a model for the rest of the world. This damage has not been repaired. Fault has not been fully admitted. Apologies have not been tendered. It's another reason why the Iraq war is not over and why, for generations living now, it possibly never will be.


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222 comments, displaying oldest first

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  • Whitt

    14 December 2011 4:27PM

    "For the record, the gravestone marking this calamitous misadventure will duly read: "Iraq, 2003-2011. RIP."
    *
    As often is the case, Kipling had the right of it long ago:

    "And the end of the fight
    is a tombstone white,
    with the name of the late deceased,
    And the epitaph drear:
    'A fool lies here
    who tried to hustle the East.' "

  • Strummered

    14 December 2011 4:28PM

    The Iraq war has left a festering sore in the region, a neocon debacle that truly represents all that is hideous in the hypocritical politics of greed that fuels the military industrial complex.

  • benad361

    14 December 2011 4:32PM

    They've technically still got the "contractors" in there (cough cough mercenaries), no doubt some secret facilities still operational, a largely pro-American government in place...so not overly much changes does it?

    Besides, this was a pointless war. Far from diminishing Iranian hegemony in the region, they actually exacerbated it and now Iran has potentially more influence there than the US. The fighting has killed tens of thousands of civilians, no WMD's found, terrorism actually increased, and more Arabic people hate the US for the actions of their elite.

    This was a war to eliminate Saddam Hussein's government all along, to secure oil supplies and strengthen US strength in the region. It was never about anything else. But it has caused thousands of deaths, untold misery and instability. Even the covert aims didn't work, let alone what the public believed.

  • anarchoscience

    14 December 2011 4:36PM

    When, oh when, will Bush and Blair face war crimes trials in The Hague?

  • tutut

    14 December 2011 4:38PM

    No mention of Sadaams invasion of Iran?No mention of who funded a war that lasted eight years?.No mention that this war was the start of the recent Shia/Sunni divide?And a number of other important omissions,like who provided the gas that killed and injured so many Kurds and Iranians.It certainly didn't come from "mobile gas works".
    Both Sadaam and Bin Laden were on "our side" for a while,but how strange neither of them got to tell their tale of what it was like to be working on behalf of others.
    Millions of Shia have died since 1980, yet Simon ignores their deaths and not just the the manner in which they died, but who was ultimately responsible.
    It was not Iran!

  • doughcnut

    14 December 2011 4:39PM

    Everything was so groovy in the middle-East before the Yanks turned up

  • Whitt

    14 December 2011 4:43PM

    "They've technically still got the "contractors" in there (cough cough mercenaries), no doubt some secret facilities still operational, a largely pro-American government in place...so not overly much changes does it? " - benad361
    *
    "A largely pro-American government"??? Have you been keeping up on recent events? That "largely pro-American government" just turned us down flat on keeping combat troops in Iraq past the end of 2011. That "largely pro-American government" has been evicting US businesses from the Green Zone and arresting many of the Sunni Awakening leaders that we recruited and backed during the Surge. Most of the leaders in that "largely pro-American government" are Iranian-backed and have been running interference for Iranian agents in Iraq for some time now.

    To paraphrase the immortal Douglas Adams, evidently this is some strange usage of the term "largely pro-American" that I wasn't previously aware of.

  • Strummered

    14 December 2011 4:44PM

    That's as maybe, but they sure as hell didn't make things any better - Their actions were tantamount to pouring petrol on a previously smouldering fire to kick start it.

  • Wittmont

    14 December 2011 4:45PM

    This comment was removed by a moderator because it didn't abide by our community standards. Replies may also be deleted. For more detail see our FAQs.

  • EgonRonay

    14 December 2011 4:50PM

    doughcnut

    Everything was so groovy in the middle-East before the Yanks turned up

    Did you read the article before making a sarcastic post?

    The whole point is that it wasn't 'groovy' before the war, and that massive lack of 'grooviness' is about to become very important.

  • Greencourt

    14 December 2011 4:56PM

    Iran were looking after their own interests though weren't they?

    There is no possible way Bush and his muppets could NOT have realised Iran stood to gain so much from the US invading Iraq. It's just too obvious. The only logic that can be applied to it as far as I can see is that Iran was next on the list, the Iranians knew it, and they had to make sure Iraq never became a launching pad for the US to attack them.

    Mind you, I don't think Iranian influence in the Iraqi government is as dominant as suggested. The Iraqi people certainly don't want that, but there is enormous trade potential between the two.

  • stevetyphoon

    14 December 2011 4:59PM

    You never know but maybe one day politicians of whatever colour will learn from history that war doesn't solve anything.
    All it does is bring misery to millions and vast profits to a very few.

  • Mulefish

    14 December 2011 4:59PM

    Nah, It is simpler than that:

    Stupid boys playing at being men.

    Wisdom resides in the East, Greenhorns in the West.

  • moretorybullshit

    14 December 2011 5:03PM

    In betraying the public trust, they did incalculable harm to the western democratic tradition that is held up as a model for the rest of the world.

    Held up by whom?

    In the last 60 years, we have bombed and maimed civilians all over the globe, always in the name of peace, of course. We have manufactured evidence to justify illegal wars, invasions and bombings. We have destroyed vast areas of the environment in an insatiable drive to possess other peoples resources. We have overthrown governments, killed their leaders and backed regimes that have tortured, assassinated and imprisoned their own people by their millions. We have sold arms to any tin pot dictator who wanted them, but once they stepped out of line, we destroyed them.

    Some model.

  • Berchmans

    14 December 2011 5:04PM

    doughcnut

    ## Everything was so groovy in the middle-East before the Yanks turned up##

    Sarcasm.. always helpful when higher forms of wit have fled US bombardment.

    The ME had many many problems ..none of them helped by the most powerful nation in the world and the most intractable made even more so.

    B

  • Valten78

    14 December 2011 5:04PM

    stevetyphoon

    You never know but maybe one day politicians of whatever colour will learn from history that war doesn't solve anything.

    Oh please. As misguided as the Iraq war was let’s not pretend that there haven’t been plenty of other justifiable wars.

  • holdingonfortomorrow

    14 December 2011 5:09PM

    "45 minutes..."

    Iran: as Shirley Bassey sang " It's all just a little bit of history repeating"

  • daffers56

    14 December 2011 5:18PM

    Anarchoscience

    Absoulutely agree with you! There can be no authentic closure until these criminals are confronted with their crimes. My own fear is that those same American boots will be diverted to Iran given the level of 'sabre rattling' by the usual suspects. When it comes to foreign policy in the US it is the Military who make the decisions. In the case of Iran it is given the seal of approval by Israel who have many Nuclear weapons.

  • CAPLAN

    14 December 2011 5:18PM

    At least we in Israel are sure that when the chips are down the buck stops here and taking chances with arab partners that wish your destruction based on apparent superior military strength is a dangerous game AND POSSIBLY A FALLACY..........tangible gains not promises or worthless words for territory.

  • bailliegillies

    14 December 2011 5:19PM

    Well you can't say that the likes of Blair, Bush, Cheney et al weren't told that the likely outcome was that Iraq would descend into chaos, internecine warfare and that Iran would emerge as the real victor of the Iraq farrago. Many voices tried to warn them but they let their egos get in the way. America "won" the war but lost the subsequent conflict with the people of Iraq.

  • stevetyphoon

    14 December 2011 5:20PM

    My point is that war is in itself not a solution.
    I will agree that if others have been misguided enough to go to war then there may be justification to go to war to end that war as in WW2.
    But my main assertion is that war doesn't solve anything.
    I doubt that there has ever been a justifiable war in itself.

  • kendrew

    14 December 2011 5:21PM

    Interesting to see that there is someone, almost a visonary given the usual take on the subject, using the 'B' word.

    Since Churchill and 'This is not the end' the 'beginnings' are usually misread and misinterpreted.

    Morons make ' mission accomplished' speeches for affect with little or no knowledge of the fact that it is other peoples business to decide on what happens in the longer term after we have come home.

    The US is used to walking away from futile causes and post WW2 their foreign policy file does not stand up to close scrutiny.

    I was naive enough, for a while, to believe that Vietnam cast too long a shadow on the American appetite for exported wars.

    The fact that the UK was on the coat tails of Uncle Sam in Iraq will remain a blot on our record for years to come. We had been there before and we should have known better. Naive its true because every generation of politicians is destined to fuck up and learning from history is simply not included in the curriculum.

    Watch this space; Now this is not be the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is perhaps the end of the beginning.

  • PaulLambert

    14 December 2011 5:27PM

    A disaster from pretty much every aspect you can think of.

    Anti-terrorism? It made the terror threat to the country worse, as Blair was warned it would by his own Intelligence agencies.

    Human rights? The death toll is now almost certainly in the hundreds of thousands - at least; around 15% of the total pre-war population, or 3-4m people, were displaced, many by deliberate acts of ethnic/sectarian cleansing; torture is still rife and systematic; it's hard if not impossible to get a fair trial, and the justice system shows 'disturbing continuity' with Saddam's system; not to mention the 'coalition' atrocities like Falluja, Haditha, Abu Ghraib, Isharqi, the El Salvador Option, and the general and daily mistreatment and killing of ordinary Iraqis.

    Economic Development? According to Amnesty International in 2010, 'A senior government official told the UN in October that 5.6 million Iraqis were living below the poverty line, said to be a 35 per cent increase compared with the period before the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003', and in 2011 'Shortages of water and electricity supplies were chronic, and unemployment was above 50 per cent'.

    Democracy Promotion? One of the most under reported aspects of the Arab Spring has been the Iraqi governments own brutal and deadly crackdown on protesters there (including shoot to kill orders from the very top). Human Rights Watch have reported how 'Increasingly, journalists find themselves harassed, intimidated, threatened, arrested, and physically assaulted by security forces attached to government institutions and political parties. Senior politicians are quick to sue journalists and their publications for unflattering articles'. This suppression of peaceful protest, and intimidation of the press, when taken in conjunction with the widespread torture and repression being carried out by the state, points to the reality that Iraq is far from being the picture perfect democracy supporters of the aggression against Iraq would like you to believe.

    International Law? The invasion was blatantly illegal, and so says the U.N. Secretary General at the time, the Foreign Offices senior legal advisor at the time, the Foreign Offices deputy legal advisor at the time, and the U.K.'s senior law lord at the time. It had the effect of undermining the absolute prohibition on aggression. The disastrous results seen in Iraq since 2003 are living proof for why such aggression was prohibited in the first place. It set a dangerous precedent, and one that some of it's more crazed supporters are keen to repeat in Iran.

    For these reasons and more, I think the whole thing has been of the most disgraceful episodes, and worst war crimes, of the early 21st century.

  • BABELrevisited

    14 December 2011 5:28PM

    No doubt the private security firms will remain to hold up the puppets.

  • Corvid

    14 December 2011 5:28PM


    And their view matters since, as many regional analysts believe, it was Tehran, not Washington, that "won" the war in Iraq.

    To be frank, I don't think any of us have much of a clue as to what's really going on within this murky world of realpolitik...

    The military-industrial complex has its grubby hands in the mix, as does BigOil, and who else... who knows!?

    It wouldn't surprise me in the least if the CIA didn't give the Iranians the RQ-170 Sentinel, so as to justify lobbying for increased defence expenditure...

    During the height of the Cold War, the US and Soviets were quite happy to continue meeting up in space... and during the Cuba Missile Crisis, the supposed arch-enemy of the US continued to maintain their military presence at Guantanamo Bay.

    Akin to Britain maintaining a Naval Base on the Jade Bight during WW2.

    The international community effectively handed control of Iraq over to the Iran backed Shia community, so whatever is going on, it's with the wholehearted support of the US.

    As long as we continue to allow our supposed democracy to be undermined by corporate interests and other shady lobbyists then we better get used to this surreal 'Alice in Wonderland' reality...

  • Whitt

    14 December 2011 5:29PM

    "Pity our politicians don't seem to have read Kipling. What do They larn 'em at them posh public schools?" - delphinia
    *
    In fairness to our public schools, I would point out that Bush and Obama both mainly attended private schools.

  • MarkThomason

    14 December 2011 5:33PM

    economic weakness in Baghdad, the questionable capabilities of Iraq's rebuilt army

    Compared with pre-sanctions Iraq, the economy has been smashed flat, totally destroyed, and there has been no recovery. That is not mere "economic weakness."

    The army has not be "rebuilt". It was 50 divisions, ten of them heavy mechanized. There was advanced artillery. There was an air force of hundreds of aircraft. Now there is a rabble, a militia that is divided among various warlords.

    The US leaves behind devastation. Millions are refugees abroad, and millions more are internally displaced. Medical care, electricity, and clean water are gone.

    The whole Arab world sees it. That is the price. The West is stuck with a clear vision of what it has done. Only the West refuses to see it, and makes weaselly excuses like those quoted here.

  • yesyesnoyes

    14 December 2011 5:35PM

    Iraq will be a stain on America until those who launched the war are held accountable and punished for their actions.

    There are so many unanswered questions. One thing I would know is what were the civilian casualty estimates given to Bush prior to the invasion. There is no doubt some were given, either on or off the record. If the number was say between 10,000 and 20,000, then he should recieve 20,000 charges of pre meditated murder. He can be charged with 200,000 plus counts of negligent homocide for the rest of the deaths.

    Bush executed numerous convicted murderers as Texas governer. Probably the most deaths any of them were responsible for were a dozen, which mean Bush has the worst of em beat by a couple hundred thousand. How this man sleeps at night is beyond me.

  • alexcox

    14 December 2011 5:39PM

    How likely do Guardian readers think it is that the US, having invaded Iraq to secure permanent access to its oil, and having changed the country's constitution so as to make trade unions (especially oil company unions) illegal, is packing up and going home?

    Just do an internet search for US bases in Iraq. Today CNN reports four US bases still operational - their names are Kalsu, Echo, Basra and Adder, which it says are staffed by 6,000 US troops. The site militarybases.org reports more than a dozen US bases still functioning.

    We have wrecked our own economy, caused massive environmental damage and killed hundreds of thousands of people to secure that petrol. It's ours.

  • LakerFan

    14 December 2011 5:50PM

    Strummered
    14 December 2011 4:28PM
    The Iraq war has left a festering sore in the region, a neocon debacle that truly represents all that is hideous in the hypocritical politics of greed that fuels the military industrial complex.

    I have to wonder whether a perceptive Roman citizen said the same thing in the Third Century after Valerian was trounced.

  • SvQMedia

    14 December 2011 5:55PM

    Of course this is a bogus story! The US leaving Iraq - I don't think so!

    As alexcox points out above the US will maintain Iraqi operational capabilities in anticipation of the invasion of Iran which must be on the cards in the next 90 days or so given that Iran are talking about shutting down the Straits of Hormuz. It will be a two pronged attack from Iraq, Afghanistan and possibly continuing harassment from Israel.

    As I've said before keep don't let your gas/diesel tanks go below half...

  • logos

    14 December 2011 5:57PM

    How can the US withdrawal be " hugely welcome" if it leaves behind massive destabilisation? Likewise how was it wrong to get rid of Saddam if leaving him in power would have resulted in the continuing repression of his people?

    One can only conclude that massive destabilisation and brutal dictatorships are always preferable to people like you where Bush and Blair have been involved.
    Never mind the suffering, feel the righteous indignation.

  • GKJamesq

    14 December 2011 6:01PM

    Aside from the maimed and psychically scarred, the most toxic legacies are (i) grim affirmation of might-makes-right (a/k/a international law is for chumps); (ii) torture, including its rendition cousin, is acceptable; (iii) as long as their burdens fall on a minuscule few, wars of choice will continue to be the preferred policy tool for resolving geopolitical disputes; and (iv) proof that an elected leader's deity-inspired obsession -- expressed as the noble-sounding "it is my firm personal belief" -- is enough to take countries to war and to exculpate him from responsibility its consequences.

  • Trotsky1917

    14 December 2011 6:04PM

    Colin Powell was one of the very few American's that seemed to know his arse from his elbow concerning Iraq - then he sold out. Imagine if Powell had kept to his principles. I recently read Normain Mailer's excellent book concerning Iraq:
    Why Are We At War?

  • brianboru1014

    14 December 2011 6:05PM

    You say Iran...

    achievement, with a massive assist from the US, is to have eliminated Iraq as an obstacle or potential rival to its drive for regional superpower status.

    Drive you say. What drive is this.
    Just because of Bush's abject stupidity and Blair's vanity Iran was made stronger.
    You have got to stop blaming Iran for Western hubris.

    It was handed on a plate

  • Trotsky1917

    14 December 2011 6:07PM

    After the end of Persian Gulf War in 1991, Colin Powell, then chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, outlined his vision for efficient and decisive military action. His plan is now referred to as the Powell Doctrine, although there is not an actual formal document named as such. Powell, currently the U.S. secretary of state, has recently invoked the Doctrine in articulating the justifications for the Bush administration's preparations for war in Iraq. Essentially, the Doctrine expresses that military action should be used only as a last resort and only if there is a clear risk to national security by the intended target; the force, when used, should be overwhelming and disproportionate to the force used by the enemy; there must be strong support for the campaign by the general public; and there must be a clear exit strategy from the conflict in which the military is engaged.

    Powell based this strategy for warfare in part on the views held by his former boss in the Reagan administration, Secretary of Defense Caspar Weinberger, and also on his own experience as a major in Vietnam. That protracted campaign, in Powell's view, was representative of a war in which public support was flimsy, the military objectives were not clear, overwhelming force was not used consistently, and an exit strategy was ill defined.

  • Pindi

    14 December 2011 6:08PM

    Mr Tisdal, this is an abysmal piece of "journalism" by a typical stenographer to power.

    You know perfectly well that the US has no intention of leaving Iraq to its own devices, it still has enormous military bases which will be manned by US personnel after the US "withdraws", only these personnel will not be called troops, they will be called "security personnel", "advisers", "aid agents" or some such euphemism, in the creation of which US have become masters.

    The US has the largest "embassy" in the world there, manned by some 20,000 "diplomats", it even has an airfield, as opposed to Iraq which still has no air force. The US surrounds Iraq and can step in at a moment´s notice. It has not spent 2 trillion dollars to go in, just so that the Iraqis could vote.

    You say Bogus

    US claims about Saddam's weapons of mass destruction have had a similarly chilling impact on counterproliferation efforts. When Washington denounces Iran's nuclear activities, its words are greeted with undeserved scepticism in many quarters.

    UNDESERVED? It is completely deserved, and the western media would be incandescent with rage had any official "rouge state" or Russia done the same thing. This is the sort of thing you would expect to have read in Pravda, now sadly its commonplace in the msm.

    And, in summarising the balance at the end of the "withdrawal", you might have spared a sentence for the hundreds of thousands (by a very conservative estimate) killed by western sanctions, shock and awe, etc. Or the millions of refugees and orphans and widows created by the "war". Or that the country´s infrastructure has been destroyed, as has its society, the country is uninhabitable owing to the use of DU and cluster bombs, lack of water and electricity because the west, in its concern to bring peace and security to Iraq, took care to first bomb its utilities and hospitals.

    You also might have mentioned that Blackwater, who have created such terror there, have profited obscenely, and are hated by the Iraqis, are now going back under a new name.

    This is a dreadful peace of "journalism", which is not fit for publication in Pravda or Izvestia. Why do I have to learn about facts (such as Blackwater´s return) from Russian Television (RT, now my source for proper information) rather than the msm?

  • yesyesnoyes

    14 December 2011 6:08PM

    SVQ.....Attack Iran, and Bushs big Iraqi experiment goes up completely in flames(even more so than it has). While attacking Iran from Iraq, better leave behind a pretty large contingent to deal with the raging insurgency there that will result.

    Its really simple, you can have at least the hope of an economic recovery from the Bush depression, or you can have a war on Iran. You cannot have both.

    Attack Iran, wreck the economy. Its fairly simple. Bush knew this, and Obama knows this, thats why its unlikely there will be an attack.

  • chet380

    14 December 2011 6:09PM

    And not a word about the motivation of the US neocons who led the idiot Bush into this disastrous war...

  • Berchmans

    14 December 2011 6:16PM

    yesyesnoyes

    ##Iraq will be a stain on America until those who launched the war are held accountable and punished for their actions.##


    Forever then. Cheney yesterday was calling Obama a wimp for not doing a lightning raid to get the spyplane back. How on earth did get so powerful... why wasnt he stopped by some socially responsible homocidal maniac? :)


    B

  • houses

    14 December 2011 6:18PM

    They will no doubt be leaving behind a large garrison of 'security contractors'.

  • GrahamRounce

    14 December 2011 6:22PM

    You underestimated the number of mad people this time. Do it better next time.

  • Saintslad

    14 December 2011 6:24PM

    What's the so-what in all this? If Saddam had remained in place, he would still at some point have gone, and all that you have described would've happened any way.

  • hubbahubba

    14 December 2011 6:26PM

    It's a bit a bit like a surgeon carrying out an unnecessary operation, bodging it up, and then buggering off to leave everyone else to clear up the mess.

    Then patting himself on the back for a job well done on the way out.

  • Kaczynski

    14 December 2011 6:36PM

    One factor that may indirectly save Iraq from future strife is the probability of civil war / revolution in neighbouring Syria. The black market price of munitions has increased dramatically with tons of arms being smuggled out of the country. A similar situation occured in Lebanon in the early 90s as tons of arms were smuggled out to fuel the war in Yugoslavia.

  • Trotsky1917

    14 December 2011 6:36PM

    Why Are We At War?

    “I must say it again: In a country where values are collapsing, patriotism becomes the handmaiden to totalitarianism. The country becomes the religion. We are asked to live in a state of religious fervor: Love America! Love it because America has become a substitute for religion. But to love your country indiscriminately means that critical distinctions begin to go. And democracy depends on those distinctions”

    (p. 108).

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