SciGuy

A science blog with Eric Berger
Jul 22, 2011

Good news Friday: Join in

Everything in the news is bad, right? America loses its human spaceflight capacity. Russia declares the era of the Soyuz has begun. We’re spiraling toward an economic default.

Need I go on?

I won’t. I want people to be happy going into the weekend so I want only good news shared on the blog today.

I’ll start: The World Health Organization says the number of countries collecting all their blood supplies from voluntary unpaid donors increased by more than 50% between 2002 and 2008. One reason is that younger people are giving more.

So good on ya, kids.

Your turn.

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Jul 21, 2011

Shuttle program manager on the silver lining to the orbiter’s end

The space shuttle program ended today as the wheels of Atlantis stopped on the runway at Kennedy Space Center. This is a truly momentous day for Houston’s space and science community for many reasons, and my time will be spent working on our Final Mission blog.

In the meantime, I offer a full transcript of an interview I did with space shuttle program manager John Shannon this week. He’s got some interesting thoughts at the end on how the shuttle’s retirement may finally spur the nation’s leadership to develop a successor.

In the past you’ve said you weren’t ready to talk about emotions, because you were focused on the missions. Now that we’re really at the end, how do you feel?

I’ve been much more reflective on this flight than in the past. Normally, while flying the shuttle, I’m busy running control boards and having engineering and budget meetings and all the things to keep the program going. And all that has pretty much disappeared. I’ve been really lucky to be able to go to the control center, and spend a lot of time there, and with the engineering and integration teams, and it’s just been really nice. I would just say I feel blessed to be a part of this program that I think really shows this nation at its best. To be with these people has just been a blessing.

I walk around and people are still completely focused on the mission and finishing strong, and since it was the U.S. space policy that we would retire the space shuttle once the International Space Station was complete, we put together a plan to do that. And the plan has come off exactly like we had hoped. So I do have an immense feeling of satisfaction that, if we had to end this program, this is the way we wanted to end it.

John Shannon, center, and Juan Garriga, a shuttle training team lead, during training for Atlantis' crew for the final time in the shuttle Motion Base Simulator a Johnson Space Center. (Smiley N. Pool/Chronicle)

Most of your people will lose their jobs in the next month. How have they maintained their focus?

The professionalism of this team is incredible. People just love what they’re doing. They love working in this environment and doing things that are difficult.

It’s got to be hard for you to see them go.

My goal has been to really try and keep as many of the contractors and civil servants in the space community as we can. If we can do that it will make us that much more successful in the future. But it’s hard. They are highly sought after technical experts in all kinds of different specialties.

What are their options? Are there openings in the Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle program?

It’s tough right now because the new program is not really well defined, and the MPCV program came out of Constellation so it was already fully populated. So we’re not seeing a lot of movement there. A lot of the civil servant folks will go into the technology development programs that will look at the beyond-Earth projects that have been spelled out. You know of course funding is a big issue right now, and there’s a significant amount of uncertainty.

We went from probably the most certain of environments, how to fly a space shuttle, to a very uncertain environment that’s what we’re doing next. I have a lot of optimism that it will be defined over the coming months, but it’s not yet and that gives people some anxiety.

What’s next for you?

I have no idea. It really is up in the air right now. I asked my team to stay with me through the final landing, and so because of that, when asked about other jobs I’ve said after we land I will put my head up and look around. I want to do something to help the agency. I think that’s true of the entire shuttle leadership team. I didn’t think it would be right for me, asking everyone to stay with me and finish this right, to be out lobbying for different jobs. So it has been totally on hold until after we land.

Shannon shakes hands with shuttle commander Chris Ferguson. (Smiley N. Pool/Chronicle)

Have you had any regrets as you’ve gone through the last several flights?

I tell you, it couldn’t have gone any better. The contractor leadership has done a tremendous job of treating their people with respect, and that’s what we really required of them. What I think is amazing, as big as this program is, you really don’t see reports of people complaining or whining, even though they’re being laid off in a difficult economy. As far as the missions, we planned some pretty aggressive missions. I was pretty worried back in January when we still had three flights ahead of us and a limited budget horizon, and we were still struggling with the external tank. But then it all just came together extremely well and that was because of the dedication of the team. It was pretty amazing to me.

I was sitting in the ISS mission management and each of the international partners, like ESA, JAXA, Canada, they all talked about the shuttle and what the shuttle has meant to them and the international space station. It was pretty overwhelming. At Kennedy as well, it was really tough walking out of the launch control center for the last time and then going to talk to all the workforce at the VAB. The team deserved to finish up this way because they have really earned it.

How confident do you feel about the future of Johnson Space Center?

I have absolutely no doubts at all. It’s tough, because we’re in the midst of change, and we don’t totally … there isn’t a lot of clarity to the vision. But if you can see where we’re heading by turning the low-Earth orbit activities over to the commercial guys, I think it’s time to do that, and we have a lot of knowledge to do that, and we can let NASA focus on beyond-Earth activities. The risk is that the nation will decide they don’t want to fund those activities. So everyone is kind of treading lightly. I think the commercial guys are going to be successful. I think they’re going to keep ISS supplied and get crew there. But because we don’t have the design and budget completely solidified and where we want it to be it’s hard.

Do you think NASA will be given the resources it needs to build a shuttle successor?

I think one of the silver linings of retiring the shuttle is that it should drive some urgency in both NASA and the administration and Congress that will say we really need to commit now. In the past we’ve made half steps and then we quit. But now that we don’t have the shuttle any more, we really need to commit to the next program. I think there are enough lessons learned out of the shuttle and canceled programs that we can really make a go of it this time. That’s my hope anyway, that the urgency will be built from the shuttle’s retirement, and it will carry us through.

That’s a good point.

We always had the shuttle. Once it gets hard or expensive, when it gets over budget or the schedule slips, it was easy to say, “Well let’s just continue flying the shuttle, then. We’ll come tackle this at a later date when the economy’s better, or XYZ problem is solved, or we’re not engaged in this other activity nationally.” We always had the shuttle to fall back on. You get three big things from retiring the shuttle. The first is that sense of urgency, the I-don’t-have-a-domestic-vehicle-that-I can-launch-astronauts-and-do-the-beyond-Earth-orbit-activities-we-would-like-to-do vehicle. The second thing you get is a little bit of money back. The shuttle program pays for a lot of infrastructure around the space agency, so the savings from ending the shuttle is only about $1 billion a year to invest in something else. And you’ll get the people. And I think this is huge.

One of the things we probably did not do right when we were doing new human spaceflight programs is we didn’t take the ones that had really made the shuttle program work and make them move over to the new programs. I think you’re going to have people who are used to doing things, and getting things accomplished, and working under tight schedules and budgets. I think those three things are really going to help NASA, the urgency, the budget back and the people.

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Jul 20, 2011

The tropics come alive: Bret, Cindy and then what?

The tropics have woken up this week.

Fortunately the tropical storms that have developed during the last couple of days, Bret and just this afternoon Cindy, do not pose a significant threat to any landmasses. In other words, they’re fish storms that will dissipate over the open Atlantic.

However the same cannot be said for a system I mentioned yesterday, which continues to track across the central Atlantic about 10 degrees north of the equator.

You can see it in the lower center of the water vapor image below:

Water vapor image from 12:45 p.m. CT (NOAA)

I asked forecaster Joe Bastardi, now at Weather Bell, earlier today for his thoughts on the system, which does not yet have a name or even a designation. He replied that he thinks the system will probably track toward Florida:

Two things that we can be thankful for: 1) It’s early. If its a month later, uggh. 2) This has a chance to come out far enough north so Florida gets in its way if turns back west.  If its a month, or even two weeks later… I would be a rabid dog.  As it is, I think this is going to be a problem… Bahamas, Florida  first.

That’s if it develops. As I wrote yesterday there are no certainties in long-range forecasts, but hurricane forecasters continues to view this one with interest and some concern.

Joe also mentioned he’s following yet another system behind the one mentioned above. You can see it in the center of this water vapor image coming off the coast of Africa.

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Hubble telescope finds another moon around Pluto

It turns out Pluto has quite the little planetary system for being just a dwarf planet.

Astronomers using the Hubble Space Telescope discovered a fourth moon around Pluto, which they have temporarily designated P4. They found the fourth moon while searching for rings around Pluto.

Two Hubble images taken a week apart. (NASA, ESA, and M. Showalter (SETI Institute))

With the addition of P4, estimated to be 8 to 21 miles in diameter, Pluto now has Charon (648 miles in diameter), Nix and Hydra (about 20 to 70 miles across) in its system.

In a news release, astronomer Mark Showalter said of the discovery:

“I find it remarkable that Hubble’s cameras enabled us to see such a tiny object so clearly from a distance of more than 3 billion miles.”

I find it remarkable too.

And I can hardly wait until 2015 to see what the New Horizons mission finds at the solar system’s former ninth planet.

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Potato chips: Here’s why you can’t eat just one

We love fat, and there’s good reason why.

Scientists are beginning to understand the the ways in which our bodies react biochemically to fat, and it may lead to new ways to curb our addictions to unhealthy foods.

In a new study (see abstract), published recently in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, California researchers have discovered that receptors in our mouths, upon coming into contact with fat, triggering a powerful addiction-type mechanism in our guts.

Essentially it activates cannabis-like compounds in our body. Fat, therefore, makes us happy and we want more.

Dr. Arya Sharma, a Canadian obesity researcher, describes the study thusly:

This study shows that oral sensing of fat sends a signal to the brain, which in turn sends a signal to the gut leading to formation of endocannabinoids, which in turn re-enforce fat eating.

This is probably why, just eating one piece of fatty food (say one potato chip or French fry) is so hard. Simply eating one makes you want to continue eating till the whole bag or plate is empty.

Unfortunately, the drug rimonabant, used to effectively block this effect in this study, is no longer available for obesity management (it was withdrawn due to its negative impact on mood), but it may well be that other CB-1 inhibitors that do not enter the brain may prove to be effective to reduce fat intake.

Perhaps drug researchers can identify CB-1 inhibitors like rimonabant that do not have similarly bad side effects.

For now your best bet to combat this mechanism is some sort of portion control: Put some chips in a bowl, and then put the bag away, or likewise don’t eat from the carton of ice cream but instead scoop some out.

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Jul 19, 2011

Taking a look at a potential threat deep in the tropics

You want some fear mongering? I got yer fear mongering right here…

Seriously, this is a blog about hurricanes. It contains speculations. It’s an attempt to give people who are interested in the tropics a heads up. This is not meant to scare anyone. If this scares you please return to this super-dee-duper web site.

Alright, with that being said, what may be this hurricane season’s first African wave to develop into a  Caribbean or Gulf  hurricane is on the horizon.

The current satellite image of the “threat,” which doesn’t have a name or even a designation yet, does not show an impressive amount of thunderstorms:

Infrared image from 11 a.m. CT (EUMETSAT)

Nevertheless, Chris Hebert of ImpactWeather says this is a system to watch as we move closer to the end of July and the beginning of August because it has a decent circulation and is embedded in a moist atmosphere.

The the video below Chris discusses further why he thinks this system may become a threat next week.

Now bear in mind it is of course challenging to forecast things a week in advance, but this is the first real tropical system that’s come off Africa this season that we’ve seen that might become something. It may also be nothing. But it’s worth watching.

And it’s a good reminder that we’re approaching the time of year we really need to pay attention to the tropics.

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China at work on finding the IQ genes. And then what?

Although gene sequencing was born in America, and indeed Houston played a seminal role in its development, the future may be in China.

That’s because the large Asian country is positioning itself to be the leader in the field of genomics.

The llumina HiSeq 2000 can output data up to 200 G/run. (BGI)

As seen in some science fiction movies, like Gattaca, genetics could become a powerful tool to control societies when fully realized.

With that in mind, consider this recent article in the South China Morning Post, tranlated by physicist Steve Hsu:

Some of the world’s fastest supercomputers are being set up in Hong Kong to address the age-old mystery of human intelligence.

The study of intelligence quotient (IQ) is being conducted by BGI Hong Kong, [formerly] known as the Beijing Genomics Institute. It will survey DNA samples from 1,000 child prodigies from China’s best high schools, comparing them with samples from 1,000 children of average intelligence, searching for genetic variations.

The study will examine protein coding genes of the extremely smart children, many of whom are expected to enroll at Harvard, Yale or Cambridge. The results will be correlated with each youngster’s school test scores, in hopes of learning how specific genetic variations affect intelligence.

The study, which started in 2009 in Shenzhen, is moving to a new facility in Tai Po. By the end of this month, 115 of the world’s fastest sequencers – the HiSeq 2000 – will have relocated to the city. They will be able to sequence the equivalent of 1,000 human genomes a day, and soon surpass the entire sequencing output of the United States to become the world’s largest sequencing centre.

The study by BGI, which receives strong financial backing from the Shenzhen and mainland governments, will be the largest-scale examination of its kind. Ethical and privacy concerns have hindered such work in America and Europe.

It’s an interesting study precisely because studies linking IQs to specific genes has largely been taboo in the United States.

I don’t know how far along China is with this work, nor what the intent of the project really is. But one can easily speculate how it might be used.

So have at it.

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Jul 18, 2011

Behold: First close-up image of Vesta revealed today

NASA released the first close-up image of the asteroid Vesta today which was taken by the Dawn spacecraft on Sunday. It’s the first time a human spacecraft has taken up an orbit around an object in our solar system’s asteroid belt.

Vesta: Each pixel corresponds to roughly 0.88 miles. (NASA)

According to NASA:

“We are beginning the study of arguably the oldest extant primordial surface in the solar system,” said Dawn principal investigator Christopher Russell from the University of California, Los Angeles. “This region of space has been ignored for far too long. So far, the images received to date reveal a complex surface that seems to have preserved some of the earliest events in Vesta’s history, as well as logging the onslaught that Vesta has suffered in the intervening eons.”

The asteroid is about 330 miles across and is the second largest object in the asteroid belt after the dwarf planet Ceres. Dawn will spend a year in orbit around Vesta before traveling to Ceres and arriving there in February, 2015.

The goal is to learn more about asteroids and the nature of the early solar system. Additionally, this mission may lay the ground work for a human mission to an asteroid in the next decade or two.

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