Employment Projections

Current

• 2010-11 Editions of the Occupational Outlook Handbook and the Career Guide to Industries Available on the Internet
• Employment Projections: 2008-18

Archived

• Economic and Employment Projections
• Occupational Outlook Handbook Published

Database searches

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Selected Occupational Projections Data
Search by Education or Training Category
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National Employment Matrix
Search by Occupation
Search by Industry

• About the Numbers
• Related Information

Detailed Data for Researchers

• Labor force (Demographics)
• Aggregate Economy (Critical Variables)
• Industry Output and Employment
• Inter-industry relationships (Input-Output Matrix)
• Employment Requirements Matrix
• National Employment Matrix
• Factor Analysis
• Education and Training Data

OCCUPATIONS

• 1.1 Numerical and percent change, by major occupational group [PDF] [XLS]
• 1.2 Numerical and percent change, by detailed occupation [PDF] [XLS]
• 1.3 Fastest growing occupations [PDF] [XLS]
• 1.4 Occupations with the largest job growth [PDF] [XLS]
• 1.5 Occupations with the largest job decline [PDF] [XLS]
• 1.6 Occupational employment, job openings data and worker characteristics [PDF] [XLS]
• 1.7 Employment in 2008 for detailed occupations excluded from the National Employment Matrix [PDF] [XLS]
• 1.8 Industry employment by occupation
• 1.9 Occupational employment by industry
• 1.10 Replacement needs [PDF] [XLS]
• 1.11 Education and training measurements for workers 25 years and older by detailed occupation, 2008 [PDF] [XLS]

• All occupational tables in a single Excel workbook

INDUSTRIES

• 2.1 Employment by major industry sector [PDF] [XLS]
• 2.2 Output by major industry sector [PDF] [XLS]
• 2.3 Fastest growing and declining employment by industry [PDF] [XLS]
• 2.4 Industries with the largest wage and salary employment growth and declines [PDF] [XLS]
• 2.5 Industries with the fastest growing and most rapidly declining output growth [PDF] [XLS]
• 2.6 Largest output growth and declines by Industry[PDF] [XLS]
• 2.7 Employment and output by detailed industry [PDF] [XLS]

• All industry tables in a single Excel workbook

LABOR FORCE

• 3.1 Civilian labor force by sex, age, race, and ethnicity [PDF] [XLS]
• 3.2 Civilian noninstitutional population by sex, age, race, and ethnicity [PDF] [XLS]
• 3.3 Civilian labor force participation rates by sex, age, race, and ethnicity [PDF] [XLS]
• 3.4 Civilian labor force by sex, age, race, and ethnicity [PDF] [XLS]
• 3.5 Civilian labor force entrants and leavers by sex, race, and ethnicity [PDF] [XLS]
• 3.6 Median ages of the labor force, by sex, race, and ethnicity [PDF] [XLS]
• 3.7 Economic dependency ratio by age [PDF] [XLS]

• All labor force tables in a single Excel workbook

AGGREGATE ECONOMY

• 4.1 Major assumptions affecting aggregate projections [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.2 Real gross domestic product by major demand category [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.3 Nominal gross domestic product by major demand category [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.4 Personal income [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.5 Personal consumption expenditures [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.6 Gross private domestic investment [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.7 Exports and imports of goods and services [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.8 Federal Government receipts and expenditures [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.9 Government consumption expenditures and gross investment [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.10 State and local government receipts and expenditures [PDF] [XLS]
• 4.11 Labor supply and factors affecting productivity [PDF] [XLS]

• All aggregate economy tables in a single Excel workbook

FACTORS AFFECTING INDUSTRY EMPLOYMENT AND OCCUPATIONAL UTILIZATION

• 5.1 Factors affecting industry output and employment [PDF] [XLS]
• 5.2 Factors affecting occupational utilization [PDF] [XLS]

• All factors tables in a single Excel workbook

EDUCATION AND TRAINING

• Education pays ...

2008-18 projections

• Kristina Bartsch, "The employment projections for 2008–18" (PDF)
• Ian D. Wyatt and Kathryn J. Byun, "The U.S. economy to 2018: from recession to recovery " (PDF)
• Mitra Toossi, "Labor force projections to 2018: older workers staying more active " (PDF)
• Rose A. Woods, "Industry output and employment projections to 2018 " (PDF)
• T. Alan Lacey and Benjamin Wright, "Occupational employment projections to 2018" (PDF)
• Charting the projections, from the Winter 2009 Occupational Outlook Quarterly.

Projections analyses

• Recent Analyses
• Employment by occupation
• Education and training
• Employment and output by industry
• Labor force
• Aggregate economy
• Other articles or bulletins

People Are Asking...

1. How often are the projections updated and where are they published?
2. What is the time horizon for BLS projections?
3. What are the fastest growing jobs?
4. What are the occupations adding the most jobs?

Frequently Asked Questions

1. Does BLS project future labor shortages or surpluses?
2. How often are the projections updated and where are they published?
3. What is the time horizon for BLS projections?
4. What are the fastest growing jobs?
5. What are the occupations adding the most jobs?

All EPP FAQs »

• BLS has proposed a new classification system for assigning education and training categories to detailed occupations.

• Data from the National Employment Matrix, beginning with the 2008-18 projection series, are subject to a new rounding convention. Employment statistics are rounded to the hundred and presented in thousands. Please see the Definitions and Concepts page for more information.

Other BLS Programs

• Occupational earnings data from the household-based Current Population Survey (CPS) —Median weekly earnings of full-time wage and salary workers by detailed occupation and sex, annual average.
• Occupational earnings data from the establishment-based Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Survey —Median hourly and annual earnings of wage and salary workers, by detailed occupation.
• Jobs for kids who like — BLS career information for young people.
• Standard Occupational Classification— The SOC system is used by government agencies to classify workers into occupational categories for the purpose of collecting, calculating, or disseminating data.

What BLS does not have

• Earnings and wage rate projections
• Inflation projections
• Short-term forecasts
• Lists of colleges or sources of other training, but see America's Career InfoNet
• Jobs available, but see America's Career InfoNet
• Regional, State, and area projections
• Self-assessment inventories and other career exploration tools
• Employment information by size of firm
• Projections of the number of retirees or the average age of retirement
• Projections of the number of unfilled jobs

Other Useful Links

• Career OneStop — comprehensive source of employment and career resources.
• Bureau of Economic Analysis—source of GDP and National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA) information .
• State employment projections
• Occupational Information System (O*NET ^TM)
• North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).