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Energy Analyses
Benefit Analysis
Benefits analyses assess how the advanced energy technologies being developed at NETL compete in the marketplace, both in the near term and over the next several decades. OSAP analysts exercise economic models including NEMS and MARKAL to forecast the market penetration of advanced energy systems. They quantify the associated societal benefits in terms of reduced cost of energy, reduced environmental impacts, and improved energy security. Benefits analyses are used to justify the federal investment in energy R&D and also to advise funding priorities within the research portfolio.
A large part of benefits analysis involves translating the cost and performance results from technology analyses to a representative set of model inputs. NETL's systems analysis team is an important source of technology analyses. The benefits team also interfaces with DOE's Energy Information Administration and investigates instances where the technology characterizations contained in the Annual Energy Outlook are inconsistent with the results from OSAP's technology analysis efforts.
The benefits team uses information and understanding from OSAP's situational analysis team to construct relevant policy scenarios within the economic models, and also to refine the models to robustly characterize the objectives and priorities of decision makers within the energy industry.
Publications:
Advanced Coal Power Systems
Retrofitting and Repowering PC Power Plants for CO2 Capture
Fossil Fuel Resources
- Electricity Use of Enhanced Oil Recovery with Carbon Dioxide [PDF-980KB] (Jan 2009)
This report examines the the electricity requirements of carbon-dioxide enhanced oil recovery technology and provides a range of estimates, expressed in kWh of electricity consumed per Bbl of incremental oil produced.
- Storing CO2 and Producing Domestic Crude Oil with Next Generation CO2-EOR Technology [PDF-787KB] (Jan 2009)
This report examines and quantifies the benefits of integrating CO2 storage with “next generation” enhanced oil recovery practices. Four “next generation” CO2-EOR technology options are identified and described, and the potential additional amounts of oil recovered and CO2 stored by using these technologies are quantified.
- Assessing Future Supply Curves for Coal In Light Of Economic, Technological and Environmental Uncertainties [PDF-1.8MB] (Nov 2008)
This study provides an analysis of the costs to continue mining in the U.S., as well as discussion of supply availability and environmental costs. To better understand these costs, it is imperative to better understand unit operations timing, individual mine plans, productivity and costs, and to obtain more detailed and thorough measurements of coal reserves in all coal basins regardless of whether it is producing. It is also of importance to better develop a better understanding of coal mining’s interaction with the surrounding ecosystem.
- Multi-Seam Well Completion Technology Implications for Powder River Basin Coalbed Methane Production: 2008 Update [PDF-4.3MB] (Oct 2008)
This study shows that MSC Technology can appreciably improve the outlook for CBM development in the Powder River Basin, by improving reserves-per-well and reducing environmental impact. The challenge is to capture the “lessons learned” from successes, treat new wells/reservoirs as unique and to utilize different completion technologies as needed, such as slotted liners, to maximize success.
- Storing CO2 with Enhanced Oil Recovery [PDF-1.7MB] (Feb 2008)
This study examines and quantifies the benefits of integrating CO2 storage with enhanced oil recovery (EOR). It also estimates the size of the U.S. CO2 market available from enhanced oil recovery and how this market could support “early market entry” of carbon capture and sequestration (CCS) technology.
- Primer on CO2 Enhanced Oil Recovery [PDF-5MB] (Apr 2008)
This slide presentation contains an overview of enhanced oil recovery (EOR). Topics such as recovery mechanisms, sweep efficiency, CO2 sources and fluid properties, injection techniques, and more are covered.
Transportation Fuels
GHG Emissions Scenario Analysis
- Spreadsheet Tool for Calculating the Material Flows in a PHEV-CO2EOR-CCS-CBTL System [XLS-217KB] (Jan 2009)
Companion Slides for Spreadsheet Tool [PDF-340KB] (Mar 2009)
This tool models two systems where plug-in hybrid electric vehicles are fueled by electricity from a coal-fired power plant with CO2 capture and storage (CCS) and either (1) gasoline refined from petroleum or (2) diesel fuel produced from a coal and/or biomass to liquids plant with CCS. Each scenario allows use of the captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery. The model determines the life cycle greenhouse gas emissions and compares this value to a conventional vehicle powered solely by petroleum-based fuels.
- CarBen Wedge-based Spreadsheet Tool for Analyzing U.S. GHG Emissions Scenarios [XLS-6MB] (May 2008)
CarBen is a tool for determining the reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by sector based on user-supplied changes to the baseline such as electricity supply options, transportation sector fuel demand and fuel use, non-CO2 GHG emission abatement, carbon pricing, and international offsets.
Water Issues
GPRA Analyses
- Economic Impacts of Increased Domestic Oil and Gas Production [XLS-6MB] (Dec 2008)
Spreadsheet-based tool uses input/output modeling methods to estimate the regional and national economic impacts of domestic production of crude oil and natural gas versus imports. Assesses the application of advanced exploration and production technology to the Marcellus Shale, the Bakken Shale, the Barnett Shale and other plays of interest. Associated Methodology Document [PDF-1.6MB]
- Impact of Cost Escalation on Power System R&D GPRA Goals [PDF-1.2MB] (Aug 2008)
This report recommends updates to goals for three technology areas in the Clean Coal R&D Program: Advanced Power Systems (APS); Carbon Sequestration (CS); and Fuel Cells (FC) to account for cost escalation, and it contains a definition of the baseline used to set these goals. Slides [PDF-310KB]
- Deployment of Advanced Coal Power in the U.S. under a Range of Carbon Tax Scenarios [PDF-1.1MB] (Jan 2008)
The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) was exercised to forecast market penetration for advanced coal power with CO2 capture under a range of CO2 emission tax scenarios, considering market-based incentives for low carbon emission power and improved technology performance consistent with the DOE/FE research portfolio.
Benefit Analysis Archive >
Key Analyst: Phil DiPietro, 412.386.5853
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