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Fire Weather Forecasts |
Day 1 Outlook | Day 2 Outlook | Printable Version | Fire Wx Graphics | Links | Product Info
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Please refer to local WFO fire weather forecasts for specific fire
weather watches and red flag warnings.
Fire Weather Composite Maps (updated 4 times daily)
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlooks became official on June 12, 2007.
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Day 1 FireWX (print version) |
Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
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ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
FNUS21 KWNS 080716
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EXTREME SRN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
IN CALIFORNIA...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WEST...PRIMARILY ZONAL FLOW/VERY WEAK UPPER RIDGING WILL
EXIST FOLLOWING A SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE
NRN/CNTRL PLAINS AND TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AT THE
SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE SRN DESERTS OF CA/AZ WILL RESULT IN A VERY STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS MUCH OF CA...WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS LIKELY IN SRN
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY.
FARTHER E...A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE SWD THROUGH THE CNTRL/SRN
PLAINS...WHILE THE MAIN SURFACE LOW WILL BECOME CENTERED ROUGHLY
OVER NWRN TX BY LATE AFTERNOON. A DRYLINE WILL EXTEND SWD FROM THE
LOW...WITH VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS W OF THIS ACROSS MUCH OF SWRN
TX AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
IN FLORIDA....SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERMUDAS WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO THE CNTRL/SRN PORTIONS OF THE
PENINSULA.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - EXTREME SRN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY IN
CALIFORNIA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...WARM
TEMPERATURES...MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
05Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A STRONGER PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS CA
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...WITH CURRENT MESOWEST OBSERVATIONS SHOWING
TEMPERATURES LINGERING IN THE LOWER 80S IN LOCALIZED/FAVORED AREAS
IN DOWNSLOPE WINDS...WHILE RHS REMAIN IN THE TEENS. RECENT VAD WIND
PROFILER DATA AT 07Z IN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SHOWS WINDS OF 20 TO 30
KT JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE...WHICH GIVEN LINGERING WARM
TEMPERATURES...THESE WINDS SHOULD EASILY MIX TO THE SURFACE.
TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM INTO THE 90S AND 100S AGAIN TODAY IN
STRONG DOWNSLOPE/NLY WINDS...WITH RHS IN THE TEENS. NORTH WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH THROUGH FAVORED
PASSES AND CANYONS IN THE SANTA YNEZ RANGE AND THE SOUTH COAST OF
SANTA BARBARA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN SOMEWHAT BY LATE
EVENING...BEFORE INCREASING ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY MORNING.
HOWEVER...SATURDAY MORNING WINDS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE AS STRONG
AS THIS MORNING.
...MUCH OF AZ/NM AND SWRN TX...
EXTREMELY DRY CONDITIONS ARE PERSISTING THIS MORNING...WITH WARM
TEMPERATURES AND LITTLE RH RECOVERY. VERY DRY AIR...HOT SURFACE
TEMPERATURES...AND DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS WILL ALLOW GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
TO MIX TO THE SURFACE. GIVEN HOT/DRY CONDITIONS...THIS MAY CAUSE AN
ELEVATED FIRE THREAT...THOUGH SUSTAINED WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
LIGHT. LITTLE RH RECOVERY CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY MORNING.
...FLORIDA...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BAHAMAS WILL LEAD TO ANOTHER DAY OF
HOT/DRY CONDITIONS OVER FLORIDA...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO WARM
INTO THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S STATEWIDE. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR
30 PERCENT CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SRN
FLORIDA. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE WEAK...LOCALIZED STRONGER
WINDS/GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE WEST AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZES
BEGIN TO PUSH INLAND BY AFTERNOON. AS THIS OCCURS...COOLER
TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE SEA BREEZES WILL TEMPER THE THREAT ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COASTS.
..HURLBUT.. 05/08/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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Day 2 FireWX (print version) |
Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product
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ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
FNUS22 KWNS 080833
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EXTREME SRN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY
IN CA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN CA/SRN NV/SRN UT/SWRN CO/N
AND CNTRL AZ/WRN NM...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WEST...WEAK RIDGING OVER SRN CA AND A RELATIVELY TIGHT
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO A BRIEF WINDOW OF CRITICAL
CONDITIONS IN DOWNSLOPE WINDS OVER SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...ALTHOUGH A
SHIFT TO WLY WINDS BY LATE MORNING WILL SLOWLY BEGIN TO TEMPER THE
THREAT. WEAK TROUGHING AHEAD OF THIS AND A 50 TO 60 KT MID LEVEL JET
WILL LEAD TO THE DEEPENING OF A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE SERN UT/SWRN CO
BORDERS. STRONG SWLY/SLY WINDS WILL ALIGN WITH HOT/DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHWEST.
FARTHER E...BY LATE AFTERNOON A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM COASTAL
NEW ENGLAND SWWD THROUGH THE APPALACHIANS AND WWD INTO CNTRL TX.
MEANWHILE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER FLORIDA...WITH
HOT/DRY CONDITIONS LIKELY ACROSS INLAND FLORIDA BY AFTERNOON.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - EXTREME SRN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY IN
CA...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...WARM/HOT
TEMPERATURES...MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
DESERTS OF SRN CA/AZ WILL MAINTAIN A TIGHT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
OVER CA SATURDAY MORNING...ALBEIT SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN D1. CRITICAL
CONDITIONS WILL PRIMARILY EXIST IN THE MORNING AS NLY/DOWNSLOPE
WINDS ALLOW LITTLE RH RECOVERY AND MAINTAIN WARM TEMPERATURES
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE CRITICAL AREA. BY
LATE MORNING...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO WLY...AND THE OVERALL
THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE/BECOME LESS FOCUSED OVER THE AREA.
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA - SERN CA/SRN NV/SRN UT/SWRN CO/N AND
CNTRL AZ/WRN NM...
PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS...LOW RH...WARM/HOT TEMPERATURES
A SURFACE LOW WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN NEAR THE SERN UT/SWRN CO
BORDERS AS WEAK TROUGHING AND A 50 TO 60 KT MID LEVEL JET PASS
OVERHEAD. SWLY/SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS A WIDESPREAD AREA IN
RESPONSE. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE LOWER 100S WITH RHS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE S...WHILE UPPER 70S AND RHS IN THE TEENS
CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NRN AREAS. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED CLOSER TO THE SURFACE LOW. ALTHOUGH WINDS MAY BE MARGINAL
ACROSS THE S...GIVEN HOT TEMPERATURES/LOW RH AND DROUGHT
CONDITIONS...A HEIGHTENED THREAT WILL EXIST.
...FLORIDA...
SIMILAR TO D1...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE
BAHAMAS...WITH HOT/DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS OVER FLORIDA.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE LOWER 90S STATEWIDE. INLAND PORTIONS
OF THE CNTRL/SRN PENINSULA CAN EXPECT RHS TO DROP INTO THE LOWER
30S. LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WEST/EAST COAST SEA
BREEZES BEGIN TO MOVE INLAND BY THE AFTERNOON...WHILE THE IMMEDIATE
COAST WILL SEE A TEMPERED THREAT FOLLOWING THIS. GIVEN VERY HIGH
KBDI...A HEIGHTENED THREAT WILL EXIST...REGARDLESS OF RELATIVELY
LIGHT WINDS.
..HURLBUT.. 05/08/2009
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
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