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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Current Version Previous Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FNUS54 KMEG 062024
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
324 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008
.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID SOUTH
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BRINGING INCREASED CHANCES FOR RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE DEPARTING UPPER LOW
WITH A RETURN TO DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-071115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
324 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 70 90 70 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+5) 73 (-10) 58 71
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+5) 75 (+37) 89 51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 6-10 W 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SE 4-8 S 7-11 SW 5-9 NW 7-11
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.10 0.88 0.29 0.05
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 4 10 9 3
PRECIP BEGINS 1 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 966 1618
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3170 5309
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1052 1704
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3452 5591
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 10 N 4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 22 N 9
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10520 6816
CATEGORY DAY 4 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 71
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 N 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 22 N 10
DISPERSION INDEX 12 62 15 31
LASI 4 3 3 2
STABILITY E C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-071115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
324 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 60 90 70 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 62 (+2) 76 (-9) 61 73
RH % (24H TREND) 97 (+8) 70 (+31) 85 48
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 5-9 W 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SE 5-9 S 6-10 SW 2-6 NW 6-10
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.06 0.65 0.50 0.08
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 4 10 9 2
PRECIP BEGINS 1 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1118 1626
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3667 5333
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1180 1688
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3871 5537
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 9 N 5
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 20 N 10
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10620 8440
CATEGORY DAY 4 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 72
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 N 5
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 21 N 10
DISPERSION INDEX 14 67 15 28
LASI 3 3 3 3
STABILITY E C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-051-071115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...NORTHERN WEST TENNESSEE
324 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 90 90 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+5) 77 (-8) 62 69
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (+3) 64 (+34) 94 64
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SE 4-8 W 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5-9 S 3-7 W 5-9
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.53 0.92 0.24
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 12 3
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 759 1346
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 2491 4416
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 880 1466
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 2887 4809
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 12 SW 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 26 SW 5
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10560 2932
CATEGORY DAY 4 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 72
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 12 SW 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 27 SW 8
DISPERSION INDEX 7 71 18 20
LASI 4 3 3 3
STABILITY F C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH
BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
TNZ048>050-052>055-088>091-071115-
CHESTER-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LAUDERDALE-
MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...SOUTHERN WEST TENNESSEE
324 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 90 80 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (+10) 78 (-7) 63 70
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+1) 69 (+36) 95 61
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SE 5-9 W 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SE 2-6 S 6-10 S 3-7 W 6-10
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.48 1.00 0.33
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 12 3
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 917 1199
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3009 3934
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1040 1321
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3411 4335
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 11 W 1
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 25 W 2
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11440 1321
CATEGORY DAY 4 1
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 75 71
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 12 SW 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 26 SW 6
DISPERSION INDEX 9 65 15 16
LASI 4 3 3 3
STABILITY E C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-071115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
324 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 50 90 80 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+5) 78 (-6) 63 74
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+3) 69 (+30) 90 49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 5-9 W 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SE 4-8 S 6-10 S 2-6 NW 6-10
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.01 0.48 0.94 0.17
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 1 9 12 3
PRECIP BEGINS 1 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1318 1503
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 4323 4931
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1390 1575
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 4559 5167
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 N 3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 N 6
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11120 4725
CATEGORY DAY 4 3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 77 73
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 N 3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 20 N 6
DISPERSION INDEX 14 59 17 17
LASI 3 3 3 3
STABILITY E C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0 2
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
54 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-071115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
324 PM CDT MON OCT 6 2008
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 90 90 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+4) 79 (-5) 64 73
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+6) 69 (+33) 98 54
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SE 5-9 SW 5-9
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) SE 2-6 S 6-10 S 2-6 W 6-10
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.36 1.06 0.45
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 9 12 3
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1058 957
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 3471 3141
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1182 1081
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 3878 3548
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 9 SE 2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 21 SE 3
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10638 2162
CATEGORY DAY 4 2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 76 71
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 SE 4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 23 SE 8
DISPERSION INDEX 11 63 33 32
LASI 3 3 3 3
STABILITY E C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
56 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
$$
JLH
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