Title: Effects of land use change on soil carbon cycling in the conterminous United States from 1900 to 2050

Author: Woodbury, Peter B.; Heath, Linda S.; Smith, James E.

Year: 2007

Publication: Global Biogeochemical Cycles. 21: GB3006. [unpaginated].

Abstract: We developed matrices representing historical area transitions between forest and other land uses. We projected future transitions on the basis of historical transitions and econometric model results. These matrices were used to drive a model of changes in soil and forest floor carbon stocks. Our model predicted net carbon emission from 1900 until 1982, then sequestration until 2030, with little subsequent change. However, the northeast region showed substantial carbon sequestration from 1900 to the present.