Volume 10, Number 5, May 2004

Seasonal Forecast of St. Louis Encephalitis Virus Transmission, Florida

Jeffrey Shaman,* Jonathan F. Day,† Marc Stieglitz,* Stephen Zebiak,‡ and Mark Cane*
*Columbia University, New York, New York, USA; †University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA; and ‡International Research Institute for Climate Prediction, Palisades, New York, USA

Figure 5. Time series of weekly, retrospective epidemic St. Louis encephalitis virus transmission (SLEV) forecast probabilities, January 1998–June 2002, with 95% confidence intervals. Also shown are the weekly, epidemic SLEV transmission probabilities as would be predicted from climatologic features (1978–1997).

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This page last reviewed April 19, 2004

Emerging Infectious Diseases Journal
National Center for Infectious Diseases
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention