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Hurricane KATRINA
ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KATRINA SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT TUE AUG 30 2005
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.0N 89.0W 39 X X X 39 MOBILE AL X 12 7 1 20
29.0N 89.8W 10 17 1 X 28 GULFPORT MS 1 16 5 1 23
31.0N 89.8W X 13 8 1 22 BURAS LA 6 19 1 1 27
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 NEW ORLEANS LA 2 20 3 X 25
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 4 4 NEW IBERIA LA 1 17 3 1 22
SAVANNAH GA X X X 4 4 PORT ARTHUR TX X 8 5 1 14
CHARLESTON SC X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X 5 4 1 10
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X 2 3 1 6
WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X 1 X 1 2
TAMPA FL X X 1 1 2 GULF 29N 85W 1 4 3 2 10
CEDAR KEY FL X X 2 2 4 GULF 29N 87W 6 11 2 X 19
ST MARKS FL X 1 3 5 9 GULF 28N 89W 26 4 X 1 31
APALACHICOLA FL X 3 5 3 11 GULF 28N 91W 17 10 X X 27
PANAMA CITY FL X 5 5 3 13 GULF 28N 93W 3 12 1 X 16
PENSACOLA FL X 9 7 2 18 GULF 28N 95W X 3 2 1 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
C FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON
D FROM 7PM MON TO 7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER KNABB
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