NHC Forecast Model Background and Information
The National Hurricane Center does not generate a graphic of the guidance models it uses to produce its
forecasts. Such graphics have the potential to confuse users and to undermine the effectiveness of NHC
official tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings. NHC's Tropical Cyclone Discussion
product, issued with each advisory package, contains a description of the reasoning behind the official
forecast, including discussion of the specific models considered in the preparation of the official forecast.
Some users may desire more information on the
characteristics of these models, and for their benefit we have prepared a Technical Model Summary.
Technical Model Summary (updated 12 Sept 2007): HTML –
MS-Word – PDF
Other model background information:
Read about the Inland Wind Model and the Maximum Envelope Of Winds (MEOW)
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