Figure 4-2: Likelihood of Developing AIDS within Three Years

Figure 4-2: Likelihood of Developing AIDS within 3 Years. Three-dimensional column graph with Likelihood in percent on the vertical Y-axis with values ranging from 0% to 90%. The horizontal X-axis portrays two variables with five value ranges: VIACS bDNA (>30K, 10-30K, 3K-10K, 501-3K, >500) and RT-PCR (>55K, 20K-55K, 7K-20K, 1500-7K, <1500). For each VIACS bDNA and RT-PCR value range, the Likelihood is presented according to the patient’s Plasma Viral Load (copies/mL) divided into five groups (least severe to most acute): >750, 501-750, 351-500, 201-350, <200. For the VIACS dDNA=>30K/RT-PCR=>55K group, the plotted values are (Plasma Viral Load/Likelihood%): >750/32.6%, 501-750/32.6%, 351-500/42.9%, 201-350/64.4% and <200/85.5%. For the VIACS dDNA=10K-30K/RT-PCR=20K-55K group, the plotted values are: >750/9.5%, 501-750/16.1%, 351-500/16.1%, 201-350/40.1% and <200/40.1%. For the VIACS dDNA=3K-10K/RT-PCR=7K-20K group, the plotted values are: >750/3.2%, 501-750/8.1%, 351-500/8.1%, 201-350/8.1% and no plot for <200. For the VIACS dDNA=501-3K/RT-PCR=1500-7K group, the plotted values are: >750/2.0%, 501-750/2.0%, 351-500/2.0%, and no plots for 201-350 or <200. For the VIACS dDNA=>500/RT-PCR=<1500 group, the only plotted value is: 501-750/3.7%.

Source: Adapted from Mellors, 1997. Copyright American College of Physicians. Reprinted with permission.