NHC Publications
Here are details on NHC publications and how to find them:
We have begun to offer recent publications in a .pdf format for
immediate download, and links to these documents will appear below as they
become available.
Annual Hurricane Season Articles
NHC publishes three annual summaries of tropical cyclone activity in
its area of responsibility. These include: 1)
The Atlantic Hurricane
Season, 2) The Eastern North Pacific Hurricane Season, and 3) Atlantic
Tropical Systems. The Hurricane Season summaries include descriptions
of named storms along with pertinent meteorological data and satellite
imagery. The Atlantic Tropical Systems article gives a description of
tropical disturbances in the Atlantic (especially tropical waves) and
provides information on non-developing cyclones.
The annual summaries can be found in the following periodicals:
These journals can be found in your public library or university library, and are also available to NOAA staff via the
NOAA Libraries per licensing agreements. The Monthly Weather Review and Weatherwise are found in the science section, while the
Mariner's Weather Log is found in the Government Documents section under the Department of Commerce. To find a NOAA library,
please visit http://www.lib.noaa.gov/docs/lib_network.html.
Atlantic Hurricane Season Summaries can be found in the Monthly Weather Review back to the 1930's, with descriptions of individual
storms available back to the journal's beginnings in 1886. They are found in the other journals for a similar length of time.
Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Summaries (including those from the former Eastern Pacific Hurricane Center in Redwood City, CA) are
available in the journals dating back to the early 1960's.
The Atlantic Tropical Systems article dates back to the 1970's, with a
break in the publication from 1980 to 1988. It is found only in the
Monthly Weather Review.
NHC Technical Memoranda/Reports
Many NHC publications are found in the NOAA/ESSA Technical
Memorandum Series published by the Department of Commerce. These
should be available in the Government Documents section of your public
or university library. Memoranda starting with WBTM SR 38 are also
available from the following:
National Technical Information Service
Technology Administration
U. S. Department of Commerce
Springfield, VA 22161
Phone: 703-487-4650
Please check with NTIS for the latest prices. The accession number for
ordering is given in parentheses at the end of the entry when
available.
ESSA Technical Memoranda
SRTM 28: The Weather Distribution with Upper Tropospheric Cold
Lows in the Tropics - Neil L. Frank - September, 1966.
WBTM SR 38: Florida Hurricanes - Gordon E. Dunn and Staff NHC -
November, 1967. (PB 182 220)
WBTM SR 42: Memorable Hurricanes of the United States Since 1873 -
Arnold L. Sugg and Robert L. Carrodus - January, 1969. (PB 182 228)
WBTM SR 44: Climatology of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones by Two and
One-Half Degree Latitude-Longitude Boxes - John R. Hope and Charles J.
Neumann - February, 1969. (PB 183 308)
WBTM SR 45: On the Maximum Sustained Winds Occurring in Atlantic
Hurricanes - Charles Holliday - May, 1969. (PB 184 609)
WBTM SR 46: Hemispheric Circulation and Anomaly Patterns Observed
When Tropical Storms Reach Hurricane Intensity - Paul J. Hebert and
Banner I. Miller - May, 1969. (PB 184 610)
WBTM SR 47: Disturbances in the Tropical and Equatorial Atlantic
- Robert H. Simpson - June, 1969. (PB 184 740)
WBTM SR 49: A Mean Storm Surge Profle - Arnold L. Sugg - December,
1969. (PB 188 422)
WBTM SR 50: A Reassessment of the Hurricane Prediction Problem -
Robert H. Simpson - February, 1970. (PB 189 846)
WBTM SR 51: The Satellite Applications Section of the National
Hurricane Center - Robert H. Simpson and D. C. Gaby - September, 1970.
(COM 71 00005)
NOAA Technical Memoranda NWS
NWS SR 53: The Decision Process in Hurricane
Forecasting - Robert H. Simpson - January, 1971. (COM 71 00336)
NWS SR 55: Digitized Atlantic Tropical Cyclone
Tracks - John R. Hope and Charles J. Neumann - February, 1971. (COM 71
00984)
NWS SR 56: Memorable Hurricanes of the United
States Since 1873 - Arnold L. Sugg, Leonard G. Pardue, and Robert L.
Carrodus - April, 1971. (COM 71 00610)
NWS SR 58: Atlantic Hurricane Frequencies Along
the U.S. Coastline - Robert H. Simpson and Miles B. Lawrence - June
1971. (COM 71 00796)
NWS SR 62: An Alternate to the HURRAN (Hurricane
Analog) Tropical Cyclone Forecast System - Charles J. Neumann -
January, 1972. (COM 72 10351)
NWS SR 63: A Statistical Method of Combining
Synoptic and Empirical Tropical Cyclone Prediction Systems - Charles
J. Neumann, John R. Hope, and Banner I. Miller - May, 1972. (COM 72
10553)
NWS SR 69: Statistical-Dynamical Prediction of
Tropical Cyclone Motion - Charles J. Neumann and Miles B. Lawrence -
April, 1973. (COM 73 10728)
NWS SR 71: A Decision Proceedure for Application in
Predicting the Landfall of Hurricanes - Robert H. Simpson and Brian R.
Jarvinen - August, 1973. (COM-73-11663/AS)
NWS SR 72: Objective Analysis of the Sea Surface
Temperature - Brian R. Jarvinen - August, 1973. (COM 73-11643)
NWS SR 81: The Effect of Initial Data
Uncertainties on the Performance of Statistical Tropical Cyclone
Models - Charles J. Neumann - March, 1975. (COM 75-10483/AS)
NWS SR 82: A Statistical Study of Tropical
Cyclone Positioning Errors with Economic Applications - Charles J.
Neumann - March, 1975. (COM 75-11362/AS)
NWS SR 83: A Satellite Classification Technique
for Subtropical Cyclones - Paul J. Hebert and Kenneth O. Poteat -
July, 1975. (COM 75-11220/AS)
Documents digitized by the NOAA Miami Regional Library
NWS NHC 1 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification Tabulation of
Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1974 - John R. Hope and Staff, NHC -
March, 1976. (PB285261/AS)
NWS NHC 2 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification Tabulation -
Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1975 - Paul J. Hebert and Staff, NHC -
January, 1977. (PB285263/AS)
NWS NHC 3 (PDF): Intensification Criteria for Tropical
Depressions in the Western North Atlantic - Paul J. Hebert - April,
1977. (PB285415/AS)
NWS NHC 4 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification Tabulation of
Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1976 - Paul J. Hebert and Staff, NHC - May,
1977. (PB285262/AS)
NWS NHC 5 (PDF): Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks by 5-, 10-,
15-, and 30-Day Periods - Brian R. Jarvinen and Charles J. Neumann -
May, 1978. (PB284009/AS)
NWS NHC 6 (PDF): A Tropical Cyclone Data Tape for the North
Atlantic Basin, 1886-1977; Contents, Limitations, and Uses - Brian R.
Jarvinen and Eduardo L. Caso - June, 1978. (PB285504/AS)
NWS NHC 7 (PDF): The Deadliest, Costliest, and Most Intense
United States Hurricanes of the Century (And Other Frequently
Requested Hurricane Facts) - Paul J. Hebert and Glenn Taylor - August,
1978. (PB286753/AS)
NWS NHC 8 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification Tabulation of
Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1977 - Miles B. Lawrence, Paul J. Hebert
and Staff, NHC - March, 1979. (PB295702)
NWS NHC 9 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification Tabulation of
Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1978 - Paul J. Hebert and Staff, NHC -
April, 1979. (PB296323)
NWS NHC 10 (PDF): Statistical Forecasts Of Tropical Cyclone
Intensity for the North Atlantic Basin - Brian R. Jarvinen and Charles
J. Neumann - April, 1979. (PB297185)
NWS NHC 11 (PDF): A Guide to Atlantic and Eastern Pacific
Models for The Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Motion - Charles J.
Neumann - April, 1979. (PB297141/AS)
NWS NHC 12 (PDF): Modificantion of NMC Analyses and Prognoses
for Use in Statistical Tropical Cyclone Prediction Models - Preston W.
Leftwich, Jr. - May, 1979. (PB297190)
NWS NHC 13 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification Tabulation
Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1979 - Paul J. Hebert and Staff, NHC -
June, 1980.
NWS NHC 14 (PDF): A Statistical Tropical Cyclone Motion
Forecasting System for the Gulf of Mexico - Robert T. Merril - August,
1980.
NWS NHC 15 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification Tabulation
Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1980 - Glenn Taylor and Staff, NHC - June,
1981.
NWS NHC 16 (PDF): A Compilation of Eastern and Central North
Pacific Tropical Cyclone Data - Gail M. Brown and Preston W. Leftwich,
Jr. - August, 1982. (PB83115444)
NWS NHC 17 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification Tabulation
Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1981 - Staff, NHC - November, 1982.
NWS NHC 18 (PDF): The Deadliest, Costliest, and Most Intense
United States Hurricanes of the Century (And Other Frequently
Requested Hurricane Facts) - Paul J. Hebert and Glenn Taylor, NHC -
January, 1983. (PB83-163527)(Revised as NOAA TM NWS NHC 31)
NWS NHC 19 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification
Tabulation Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1982 - Gilbert B. Clark and
Staff, NHC - February, 1983. (PB83184077)
NWS NHC 20 (PDF): The Miss/Hit Ratio - An Estimate of
Reliability for Tropical Cyclone Track Prediction - Preston W.
Leftwich - April, 1983.
NWS NHC 21 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification
Tabulation Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1983 - Gilbert B. Clark and
Staff, NHC - January, 1984.
NWS NHC 22 (PDF): A Tropical Cyclone Data Tape for the
North Atlantic Basin, 1886-1983; Contents, Limitations, and Uses -
Brian R. Jarvinen, Charles J. Neumann, and Mary A. S. Davis - March,
1984.
NWS NHC 23 (PDF): Frequency and Motion of Western
North Pacific Tropical Cyclones - Congyuan Xue and Charles J. Neumann
- May, 1984. (PB85106466)
NWS NHC 24 (PDF): Hurricane Experience Levels of
Coastal County Populations Texas to Maine - Paul J. Hebert, Glenn
Taylor (Retired), and Robert, A. Case - June 1984.
(PB85111383)(Revised as NOAA TM NWS NHC 46)
NWS NHC 25 (PDF): A Tropical Cyclone Data Tape for the
Eastern and Central North Pacific Basins, 1949-1983: Contents,
Limitations, and Uses - Mary A. S. Davis, Gail M. Brown, and Preston
Leftwich - September, 1984. (PB85110054)
NWS NHC 26 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification
Tabulation Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1984 - Gilbert B. Clark and
Robert A. Case, NHC - February, 1985.
NWS NHC 27 (PDF): A Storm Surge Atlas for Corpus
Christi, Texas - Brian R. Jarvinen, A. Barry Damiano, and Gloria J. D.
Lockett - August, 1985.
NWS NHC 28 (PDF): A Statistical Model for the
Prediction of Western Pacific Tropical Cyclone Motion - Yimiing Xu and
Charles J. Neumann - November, 1985.
NWS NHC 29 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification
Tabulation - Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1985 - Gilbert B Clark and
Robert A. Case - March, 1986.
NWS NHC 30 (PDF): A Storm Surge Atlas for the Sabine
Lake (Texas/Louisiana) Area - Victor Wiggert and Brian Jarvinen -
April, 1986.
NWS NHC 31 (PDF): The Deadliest, Costliest, and Most
Intense United States Hurricanes of This Century (and Other Frequently
Requested Hurricane Facts) (Revision of NOAA TM NWS NHC 18) - Paul J.
Hebert (WSFO Miami); Glenn Taylor and Robert A. Case (NHC) - Revised
March, 1990.
NWS NHC 32 (PDF): Comparison of Observed Versus SLOSH
Model Computed Storm Surge Hydrographs Along the Delaware and New
Jersey Shorelines for Hurricane Gloria, September, 1985 - Brian
Jarvinen (NHC) and Jeff Gebert (Army COE, Philadelphia, PA) -
September, 1986.
NWS NHC 33 (PDF): Hurricane Tracking Using an Envelope
Approach - Impacts Upon Forecasts - Robert C. Sheets - October, 1986.
NWS NHC 34 (PDF): An Experiment in Statistical
Prediction of Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change - Robert T. Merril -
February, 1987.
NWS NHC 35 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification
Tabulation - Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1986 - Gilbert B Clark and
Robert A. Case - March, 1987.
NWS NHC 36 (PDF): Observed Versus SLOSH Model Storm
Surge for Connecticut, New York, and Upper New Jersey in Hurricane
Gloria, September, 1985 - Brian Jarvinen and Jeff Gebert - August,
1987.
NWS NHC 37 (PDF): Observed Versus SLOSH Model Storm
Surge for North Carolina in Hurricane Gloria, September, 1985 - Brian
Jarvinen and Alan McDuffie - August, 1987.
NWS NHC 38 (PDF): The National Hurricane Center Risk
Analysis Program (HURISK) - Charles J. Neumann - November, 1987.
NWS NHC 39 (PDF): Satellite Interpretation Messages -
A User's Guide - James S. Lynch - May, 1987.
NWS NHC 40 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification
Tabulation - Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1987 - Gilbert B Clark and
Robert A. Case - March, 1988.
NWS NHC 41 (PDF): The National Hurricane Center NHC83
Model - Charles J. Neumann - May, 1988 - Robert A. Case and Gilbert B.
Clark - March, 1988.
NWS NHC 42 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification
Tabulation - Atlantic Tropical Cyclones 1988 - Gilbert B Clark and
Robert A. Case - October, 1988.
NWS NHC 43 (PDF): Annual Data and Verification
Tabulation - Eastern Pacific Tropical Cyclones 1988.
NWS NHC 44 (PDF): A Revised National Hurricane Center
NHC83 Model (NHC90) - Charles J. Neumann (Science Applications
International Corporation) And Colin J. McAdie (NHC) - November, 1991.
NWS NHC 45 (PDF): Hurricane Gilbert (1988) In Review
and Perspective - Edward N. Rappaport and Colin J. McAdie - November,
1991.
NWS NHC 46 (PDF): Hurricane Experience Levels of
Coastal County Populations from Texas to Maine - Jerry D. Jarrell,
Paul J. Hebert, and Max Mayfield - August, 1992.
Download NWS NHC 46 data in (XLS) format,
updated March 25, 2008. You may need to install the free Microsoft Excel viewer
to access this file.
NWS NHC 47 (PDF): The Deadliest Atlantic Tropical
Cyclones, 1492-1994 - Edward N. Rappaport and Jose Fernandez-Partagas
- January, 1995.
NWS TPC 1 (PDF): The Deadliest, Costliest, and Most
Intense United States Hurricanes of This Century (and Other Frequently
Requested Hurricane Facts) (Revision of NOAA TM NWS NHC 31) - Paul J.
Hebert (NWSFO Miami), Jerry D. Jarrell, and Max Mayfield - Updated
February, 1996.
NWS TPC 2 (PDF): Tropical Cyclone Intensity
Climatology of the North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of
Mexico - Paul J. Hebert (NWSFO Miami) and Colin J. McAdie - December,
1997.
NWS TPC 3 (PDF): The Deadliest, Costliest, and
Most Intense United States Tropical Cyclones From 1900 to 2000 (and other
Frequently Requested Hurricane Facts) - Jerry D. Jarrell (NHC Miami, retired), Max Mayfield (NHC Miami),
Edward N. Rappaport (NHC Miami), and Eric S. Blake (NHC Miami) - October,
2001.
NWS TPC 4
(PDF): The Deadliest, Costliest, and Most
Intense United States Tropical Cyclones From 1851 to 2004 (and other
Frequently Requested Hurricane Facts) - Eric S. Blake (NHC Miami),
Edward N. Rappaport (NHC Miami), Jerry D. Jarrell (NHC Miami, retired),
and Christopher W. Landsea (HRD Miami) - Updated August, 2005.
NWS TPC 5
(PDF): The Deadliest, Costliest, and Most
Intense United States Tropical Cyclones From 1851 to 2006 (and other
Frequently Requested Hurricane Facts) - Eric S. Blake, Edward N. Rappaport,
and Christopher W. Landsea - Updated April, 2007.
NOAA Technical Reports
NOAA Technical Report NWS 37: The National
Weather Service Hurricane Probability Program - Robert C. Sheets,
1984. (PB84 182757)
Other Technical Memoranda/Reports Related to NHC Duties
This section includes a list of publications from
outside of NHC that relate to NHC duties.
National Hurricane Operations Plan FCM-P12-2006: Office of the Federal Coordinator For Meteorological Services and Supporting Research - May, 2006.
ESSA Technical Report WB 6: Climatology of
Atlantic Tropical Storms and Hurricanes - M. A. Alaka - May, 1968.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NESDIS 5: A Tropical
Cyclone Precipitation Estimation Technique Using Geostationary
Satellite Data" - LeRoy E. Spayd Jr. and Roderick A. Scofield - July,
1984.
NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS SR 152: A Simple
and Practical Computerized Parametric Wave/Swell Forecast Model -
Steven W. Lyons - March, 1994. (PB 94-144524)
NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 11: Tropical
Cyclone Intensity Analysis Using Satellite Data - Vernon F. Dvorak -
September, 1984 reprinted October, 1985. (PB85 112951)
NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 57: Water Vapor
Imagery: Interpretation and Applications to Weather Analysis and
Forecasting - Roger B. Weldon and Susan J. Holmes - April, 1991.
NOAA Technical Report NESDIS 63: A Systematic
Approach for Estimating Central Pressures of Mid-Latitude Oceanic
Storms - Frank J. Smigielski and H. Michael Mogil - December,
1992.
NOAA Technical Report NWS 15: Some
Climatological Characteristics of Hurricanes and Tropical Storms, Gulf
and East Coasts of the United States - Francis P. Ho, Richard W.
Schwerde, and Hugo V. Goodyear - May, 1975. (COM-7511-88)
NOAA Technical Report NWS 17: Estimation of
Hurricane Storm Surge in Apalachicola Bay, Florida - James E. Overland
- June 1975. (COM-75-11132)
NOAA Technical Report NWS 32: Pertinent
Meteorological and Hurricane Tide Data for Hurricane Carla - Frances
P. Ho and John F. Miller - August, 1982. (PB83 118240)
NOAA Technical Report NWS 35: Pertinent
Meteorological Data for Hurricane Allen of 1980 - Frances P. Ho and
John F. Miller - September, 1983. (PB84 104322)
NOAA Technical Report NWS 38: Hurricane
Climatology for the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts of the United States -
Marshall Hansen - April, 1987. (PB88 114657)
NOAA Technical Report NWS 48: SLOSH: Sea, Lake,
and Overland Surges from Hurricanes: Chester P. Jelesnianski, Jye
Chen, and Wilson A. Shaffer - April, 1992.
Peer Reviewed Scientific Journal Articles
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
C. Velden, B. Harper, F. Wells, J. L. Beven Jr., R. Zehr, T. Olander, M. Mayfield, C. Guard,
M. Lander, R. Edson, L. Avila, A. Burton, M. Turk, A. Kikuchi, A. Christian, P. Caroff, and P. McCrone. 2006:
The Dvorak Tropical Cyclone Intensity Estimation Technique. Bulletin
of the American Meteorological Society: Vol. 87, No. 9, pp. 1195-1214.
R. A. Pielke Jr., C. Landsea, M. Mayfield, J. Laver, and R. Pasch. 2005:
Hurricanes and Global Warming. Bulletin of the American
Meteorological Society: Vol. 86, No. 11, pp. 1571-1575.
Christopher W. Landsea, James L. Franklin, Colin J. McAdie, John L.
Beven II, James M. Gross, Brian R. Jarvinen, Richard J. Pasch, Edward N.
Rappaport, Jason P. Dunion and Peter P. Dodge. 2004:
A Reanalysis of Hurricane Andrew's Intensity. Bulletin of the American Meteorological
Society: Vol. 85, No. 11, pp. 1699-1712.
James L. Franklin, Colin J. McAdie and Miles B. Lawrence. 2003:
Trends in Track Forecasting for Tropical Cyclones Threatening
the United States, 1970-2001. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: Vol. 84, No. 9, pp 1197-1203.
Colin J. McAdie and Miles B. Lawrence. 2000:
Improvements in Tropical
Cyclone Track Forecasting in the Atlantic Basin, 1970-98. Bulletin of
the American Meteorological Society: Vol. 81, No. 5, pp. 989-997.
Christopher S. Velden, William L. Smith and Max Mayfield. 1984:
Applications of VAS and TOVS to Tropical Cyclones.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: Vol. 65, No. 10, pp. 1059-1067.
Weather and Forecasting (American Meteorological Society)
Robert C. Sheets. 1990: The National
Hurricane Center – Past, Present, Future. Weather and Forecasting: Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 185-231.
Natural Hazards Review
Pielke, R. A., Jr., J. Gratz, C. W. Landsea, D. Collins, M. A. Saunders, and R. Muslin, 2008:
Normalized hurricane damage in the United States: 1900-2005. Natural Hazard Review, 9, p.29-42.
NOAA Historical Climatology Series
Historical
Climatology Series 6-2: Tropical Cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean, 1871-1998 - Charles J. Neumann,
Brian R. Jarvinen, Colin J. McAdie and Joe D. Elms - October, 1999.
The document above has been digitized by the NOAA
Miami Regional Library, but is also available in traditional format from:
National Climatic Data Center
Federal Building
151 Patton Avenue
Asheville, NC 28801-5001
Phone: 828-271-4800
Fax: 828-271-4876
TDD: 828-271-4010
Email: orders@ncdc.noaa.gov
The Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch (TAFB) is an integral part of the National
Hurricane and performs a number of functions. TAFB products include: marine High Seas Forecasts over the tropics and
subtropics, Offshore Waters Forecasts over the tropics and subtropics, Tropical Weather Discussions over the tropics
and subtropics, and surface weather analyses and forecasts over the tropics, subtropics, and mid-latitudes.
Please browse our staff's many publications regarding marine forecasting and tropical weather.
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