Abstract
Edwin L. Robison and Martha Duff (2004)
"A Proposed Estimation Procedure for CPS Gross Flows."
Gross flows estimates describe the month-to-month transitions from
one labor force status to another. The method currently in use for CPS
data applies a simple ratio adjustment forcing the weighted sum of
matched cases (same person in sample two consecutive months) to
duplicate overall male and female control totals for the current month.
The current month margin of a gross flows table does not match the
current month stock estimate. Subtables do not add up to known
population controls for the current month, excepting male and female
totals. An alternate gross flows weighting procedure for labor force
estimates is proposed. Control totals are created for consecutive months
by gender/race/labor force state by summing the full-sample CPS
microdata weights for each month; adjustments account for persons
flowing in-scope and out-of-scope between months. Matched cases are
weighted, then raked and reweighed, to produce estimates that match
controls for both months.
Last Modified Date: July 19, 2008
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