Population and Economic Projections for the State of Hawaii to 2035
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This report presents the results and methodology of the 2035 Series of the DBEDT’s Population and Economic Projections for the State of Hawaii and its four counties. This is the seventh in a series of long-range projections dating back to the first report published in 1978.
The impetus for the updated projections was the availability of updated input-output (I-O) tables based on the 2002 Economic Census. The updated series is notable for the refinement of the methodology by adopting the original formulation of the Hawaii long-range projection model as used in the 2020 Series, while continuing the use of an inter-county I-O table introduced in the 2030 series.
It should be noted that, consistent with previous DBEDT’s long-range series, these projections are neither targets nor goals. They are DBEDT’s best estimates of likely trends in important population and economic indicators based on currently available information and are intended primarily for use as baselines for long-term development and infrastructure planning. Whether these projections prove to be close to the values observed in the future would depend on the degree to which historical trends provide a guide to the future and the influence of unforeseen external factors.
Section 1 of this report summarizes the population and economic projections for the state and counties. Section 2 describes the methodology and assumptions that were used to produce the projections. The appendix contains tables of detailed projections.
