Experimental NOAA/ESRL PSD and CIRES/CDC Forecast of NTA Index in Global Tropics Domain
Tables:
 Verification
history |
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Forecasts, Lead = 3 months |
| Forecasts,
Lead = 6 months |
| Forecasts,
Lead = 9 months |
| Forecasts,
Lead = 12 months |
Predictions of NTA Index (blue solid line) and verification (solid red line). Dashed lines indicate one standard deviation confidence intervals appropriate to the LIM forecast.
Time series of actual forecast errors normalized by one standard deviation of the total forecast uncertainty. Given the dynamical assumptions of the prediction model, forecast errors are Gaussian, and the horizontal lines indicate 95% confidence interval.
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