FXUS61 KLWX 200759 AFDLWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 359 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2008 .SYNOPSIS... CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA BRINGING DRY AND PLEASANTLY COOL CONDITIONS. A DRY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT THRU MIDWEEK. && .NEAR TERM /TODAY/... "GOOD FOOTBALL WX.." THAT'S HOW I DESCRIBE GREAT FALL (OK..LAST DAYS OF SUMMER) WKND WX. STRONG HIGH PRES OVER ALONG THE ME CST PUSHING DOWN THE ERN SEABOARD COMBINED W/ LOW PRES WELL OFF THE CST W/ KEEP AREA IN ERLY FLOW. CLR MRNG SKIES WL GIVE WAY TO LATE MRNG/AFTN CU. VERY PLSNT TEMPS - M70S THIS AFTN. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/... AND THAT HIGH LOOKS TO CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TNGT. IF WE'RE GOING TO USE A DESCRIPTOR "GOOD SLEEPING WX" PRBLY APPLIES. 50S E OF I-95...40S W. PSBLY SOME LGT FOG IN THE W PRIOR TO SUNRISE. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... THE EXTENDED IS BASICALLY A REPEAT OF THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. SFC HIGH SLIDES SE/WRD OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST...GETS ELONGATED AND STRETCHED EAST/WEST SANDWICHED BTWN AN APRCHG UPPER TROF AND ATLNC UPPER RIDGE. AFTER A WEAK COLD FRONT DISSIPATES JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE MID ATLNC LATE SUN/EARLY MON...THE CYCLE REPEATS OVER THE COURSE OF THE COMING WEEK. NE/RLY FLOW SETS UP ACROSS THE ATLNC AGAIN ON MON/TUES. GFS SPREADS AN AREA OF ONSHORE LIGHT PRECIP/DZ FROM NYC DOWN ACROSS THE CHESPKE /FOR NOW...LEAVING POPS OUT AND INCRD CLOUD COVER/. AGAIN...THE SFC HIGH SLIDES SE OF THE NORTHEAST COAST AND ELONGATES...DIRECTING MORE E/RLY FLOW ACROSS THE MID ATLNC...KEEPING TEMPS MODERATED AND A DECENT WIND SPEED STRATIFICATION ACROSS THE BAY AND LAND AREAS /MUCH LIKE THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS/. EVEN THE SOLN OF THE SFC LOW OF THE CAROLINA COAST HAS MOVED FURTHER OUT TO SEA AND LESS ORGANIZED TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK. && .AVIATION /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... LGT FOG PSBL THIS MRNG AT CHO AND MRB...THEN VFR CONDS XCPTD THRUT THE DAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF LGT FOG PSBL TNGT. ANOTHER WEEK OF NE-E/RLY FLOW...STRONGER CLOSER TO THE BAY THO STILL FAIRLY LIGHT OVERALL. THE MAIN CONCERNS WOULD BE FOR MRNG MARINE LAYER LOW STRATUS/FOG EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND AGAIN LATE IN THE WEEK. && .MARINE... A PROLONGUED NERLY FLOW IS XPCTD WHICH WL LAST THRUT THE WKND. CHES BAY DRUM TO SMITH PT WL COME CLOSEST TO SCA CONDS...BUT WL CAP THESE AT 15 KT. LITTLE CHANGE TO CURRENT DAILY WX FOR NEXT WEEK...W/ NEAR SCA NE-E/RLY WINDS. AFTER A WEAK COLD FRONT DISSIPATES JUST TO THE NORTH EARLY MONDAY...A DECENT PRES GRADIENT FROM ANOTHER NORTHEAST SFC HIGH PUSHES STEADY 10-15KT WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS EACH DAY...GENERALLY NEARING OR INCRG INTO SCA CONDS EACH AFTN/EVNG. && .TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING... IN LAST TIDAL CYCLE HIGH TIDES WERE STLY BELOW MINOR FLD VALUES. DAYTIME HIGH TIDE CYCLE WL BE THE LOWER HIGH TIDE SO THAT SHOULD NOT CREATE ANY PROBLEMS. DAYSHIFT CAN TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT THE SAT EVE CYCLE AND ISSUE ANOTHER FLD ADVSRY IF NEEDED. && .LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... DC...NONE. MD...NONE. VA...NONE. WV...NONE. MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR ANZ534. && $$ PRODUCTS...WOODY!/GMS