Flood Warning
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
801 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BOEUF RIVER NEAR FORT
NECESSITY AFFECTING FRANKLIN PARISH...
SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS ROADWAYS! THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DON`T DROWN!
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED,
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12
HOURS.
THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
LAC041-210701-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NECL1.1.ER.080904T0652Z.080911T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
801 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE BOEUF RIVER NEAR FORT NECESSITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 7:00 PM FRIDAY...THE STAGE WAS 52.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 50 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 52.1 FEET
BY SUNDAY MORNING.
&&
FLOOD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM CREST
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME SAT SUN MON CREST DAY TIME
BOEUF RIVER
FORT NECESSITY 50 52.3 FRI 7 PM 52.3 52.1 51.9 SLOW FALL
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
743 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
...FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK...THE FLOOD
WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ARKANSAS...
OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION AFFECTING
BRADLEY...CALHOUN AND UNION COUNTIES
OBSERVED AND FORECASTED STAGE DATA PLOTS ARE AVAILABLE ON
OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE WEB PAGE AT...
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LZK
UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS...SELECT RIVER AND LAKES AHPS.
ARC011-013-139-201543-
/O.CON.KLZK.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CALA4.2.ER.080903T2351Z.080912T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
743 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE OUACHITA RIVER AT THATCHER LOCK AND DAM NEAR CALION.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 AM FRIDAY THE WATER ELEVATION WAS 84.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD ELEVATION IS 79.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AN ELEVATION OF 82.9
FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
925 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
ARC139-201425-
/O.CON.KSHV.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FELA4.1.ER.080905T2330Z.080918T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE OUACHITA RIVER AT FELSENTHAL ARKANSAS.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 900 AM FRIDAY THE POOL STAGE WAS 76.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD POOL STAGE IS 70 FEET.
* FORECAST...EXPECT A VERY SLOW FALL THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
AS THE OUACHITA RIVER HAS CRESTED NEAR 76.6 FEET.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
852 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...
CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR KINDER
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
LOUISIANA...TEXAS...
CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR GLENMORA
CALCASIEU RIVER AT OLD TOWN BAY
CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER
MERMENTAU RIVER NEAR MERMENTAU
PINE ISLAND BAYOU NEAR SOUR LAKE
LAC079-200352-
/O.EXT.KLCH.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-080922T1200Z/
/GLML1.1.ER.080914T1737Z.080919T1800Z.080922T0000Z.NO/
852 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR GLENMORA.
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING TODAY AND IS FORECAST TO FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...SOME ROADS UPSTREAM FROM GLENMORA...
INCLUDING STROTHERS CROSSING ROAD NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF CALCASIEU
AND PRICE CROSSING ROAD NEAR HINESTON HAVE WATER ON THEM AND ARE
SUBJECT TO BEING CLOSED. ALSO...FLOODING OF FORESTED AREAS NEAR THE
RIVER WILL OCCUR.
$$
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
851 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
TXC001-073-225-201351-
/O.EXT.KSHV.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-080923T1800Z/
/NCST2.1.ER.080916T0615Z.080919T1245Z.080923T0000Z.NO/
851 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
THE NECHES RIVER NEAR NECHES TEXAS.
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 815 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE TO VERY SLOW FALLS THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING AS THE NECHES RIVER CONTINUES TO CREST NEAR 13.4 FEET.
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
640 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-201200-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-
ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-
UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
640 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF COASTAL WATERS
OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WHILE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD.
OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.
SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...NO HAZARDS.
EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY SATURDAY
BEFORE SHIFTING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY IN FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...BUT DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL MUCH OF
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL ENTER THE FORECAST
AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT TRIES TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.
$$
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-201300-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1115 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVENT THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.
PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT SATURDAY SEP 20.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...ZERO PERCENT.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
NONE.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX MAY DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND MOVE
INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA SUNDAY NIGHT.
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
AND MOVES INTO THE AREA. OTHERWISE... DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE.
OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
PATCHY DENSE FOG MAY FORM NEAR AND ALONG RIVER AND CREEK BEDS BY
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ANY FOG THAT FORMS WILL DISSIPATE BY
MID MORNING.
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7AM
SATURDAY.
$$
SIX
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
559 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-201100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
559 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AND
THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER IS
LOW.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST INTO THE
WEEKEND. THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
$$
13
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
800 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
ARZ030-037-038-040-041-052-053-200205-
CLARK-LOGAN-MONTGOMERY-PIKE-POLK-SCOTT-YELL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ARKADELPHIA...BOONEVILLE...DANVILLE...
DARDANELLE...MENA...MOUNT IDA...MURFREESBORO...WALDRON
800 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
.NOW...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTH
ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS THROUGH 9 PM. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF LOGAN AND CLARK COUNTIES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE 1/10 INCH PER HOUR.
$$
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
728 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
ARZ050-051-059>061-OKZ077-200145-
HEMPSTEAD-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-MCCURTAIN-NEVADA-SEVIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHDOWN...DE QUEEN...HOPE...IDABEL...
NASHVILLE...PRESCOTT
728 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
.NOW...
AT 725 PM...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR...IN
SHREVEPORT...INDICATES ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING
BETWEEN CLOUDY OKLAHOMA AND ARKADELPHIA ARKANSAS...MOVING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AT 5 MILES AN HOUR. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
LINGER THROUGH THE EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND
SPOTTY.
$$
16
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
728 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ028-029-031>033-041>045-051>055-
200230-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...MARKSVILLE...OAKDALE...
VILLE PLATTE...OPELOUSAS...LAKE CHARLES...JENNINGS...CROWLEY...
LAFAYETTE...ST. MARTINVILLE...CAMERON...ABBEVILLE...NEW IBERIA...
MORGAN CITY
728 PM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
.NOW...
SPRINKLES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA. LIGHT RAIN IS
MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST THIS EVENING.
$$
