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October 10, 2006
 

Leaders should negotiate with North Korea, expert says

DENTON (UNT), Texas -- North Korea claims it has tested a nuclear weapon -- a move that was inevitable but needs to be dealt with through negotiations, says Dr. Geoffrey Wawro, director of the University of North Texas' Military History Center and the Major General Olinto Mark Barsanti Professor of Military History.

"The North Korean regime will not bend in the face of the sanctions and pressures that we put on normal countries. This is an absolutely abnormal country, and you could see this coming from a long way off," Wawro says. "The great danger is the unpredictability and the volatility of this regime. The Kim regime's likely willingness to share or sell this technology with troublemakers is most troubling."

The United States' military efforts in Iraq have shown North Korea that "we are quite mortal and we have real limitations," Wawro said. "Bringing on a military conflict is not really sensible," he says. "We should sit down and talk with these people and understand in the backs of our minds that North Korea is an eccentric country, but it's an eccentric country that needs to be dealt with. No regime that has gone nuclear has ever been persuaded to disarm. North Korea will be no different, obviously.

"The Kim regime may be willing to commit suicide -- that is, inflict massive casualties on Seoul and U.S. installations in Korea before eventually being defeated," he says. "The biggest winner in such a situation will not be the U.S., but China, which will watch us suffer, lose casualties and spend billions invading and reconstructing Korea, and then step in to harvest all of the benefits, cost-free."

Wawro also says the Bush administration lacks a credible plan for Korea, creating a situation as worrisome as the question of nuclear weapons.

"No one there wants a reunited Korea, least of all the South Koreans, who do not want to take on East German-sized liabilities. In fact, only the U.S. is pushing for a unified peninsula," he says. "Ingenuous in Iraq, Bush appears positively naïve in Korea."

Wawro joined UNT's Military History Center in the fall of 2005 after serving as the professor of strategic studies at the Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island. Wawro is also host and anchor of the History Channel and History International programs Global View, History's Business and History in Focus. Wawro can be reached by cell phone at (214) 514-7224.

UNT News Service Phone Number: (940) 565-2108
Contact: Ellen Rossetti (940) 369-7912
Email: erossetti@unt.edu

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