Ninety-degree revolution

Right and Left are fading away. The real question in politics will be: do you look to the earth or aspire to the skies?

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Villagers stand on top of a crashed rocket in the Altai territory, where fuel is a major pollutant. Photo by Jonas Bendiksen/Magnum

Villagers stand on top of a crashed rocket in the Altai territory, where fuel is a major pollutant. Photo by Jonas Bendiksen/Magnum

Steve Fuller is a social epistemologist at the University of Warwick. His book The Proactionary Imperative, co-authored with Veronika Lipinska, is due out in spring 2014.

The ideological dichotomy of ‘Right-’ and ‘Left-wing’ has had a good run. The ‘wing’ metaphor itself dates from the seating arrangements in the postrevolutionary French National Assembly, where supporters of King Louis XVI gathered to sit on the president’s right side and revolutionaries sat on his left. The scheme also recalls a traditional association of the left hand with suspicion (sinister is Latin for ‘left’) and the right with trust — in this case, trust in established authority. More than 30 years ago, a jet-setting Iranian playboy, transhumanist author and corporate consultant argued that this divide was due for a 90-degree rotation. F M Esfandiary — or ‘FM-2030’ as he began calling himself in the 1970s — predicted an axial shift to ‘up-wing’ and ‘down-wing’ political priorities. The directional associations in this new scheme were quite literal: ‘up‑wing’ meant looking toward the heavens, and ‘down-wing’ was looking toward the Earth.

FM-2030 was an inveterate up-winger whose vitrified corpse awaits resurrection at the Arizona cryonics mecca, Alcor. However, even as the ecology movement was gathering steam, FM-2030 failed to see that the down-wing tendency could generate at least as much passion as his own political faith. Nowadays, down-wingers proudly self-identify as ‘Greens’. As for the up‑wingers, they have begun to be colour-coded as ‘Blacks’ — and not simply because of their 1980s dress sense. The phrase ‘Black Sky Thinking’ was coined in a 2004 study by the centre-left UK think-thank Demos, and over the past decade it has increasingly been used to refer to schemes to make the whole inky expanse of the universe fit for human habitation.

FM-2030 himself understood this prospect in a rather abstract way. His chief preoccupation before he died in 2000 was the power to access information from any place at any time — the sort of ubiquity to which today’s smartphone owners can relate. His focus, in other words, was on communication not transportation. Nowadays, Black Sky researchers at the Lifeboat Foundation in the US and at the Icarus Interstellar foundation worldwide aim for something considerably more flesh-and-blood: to incorporate aspects of Earth’s natural habitat into vessels capable of an indefinite journey through space. This goal is almost the exact opposite of the aims of the Greens, who want to curb human aspirations to fit within what nature, in its Earthbound form, can reasonably be expected to sustain.

If FM-2030 was correct that the political landscape is gradually making that 90‑degree axial rotation, what would count as evidence that the ideological colour scheme is changing from red and blue (the traditional colours of the European Left and Right) to black and green? We can begin with the well-known disaffection of young people with politics as defined in Right-Left terms and their spontaneous visibility in key Black and Green projects.

On the Black side, we have the DIYbio (Do-It-Yourself Biology) movement that tries to reverse-engineer organisms in much the same way that one might convert an ordinary car into a drag racer. George Church, the Harvard medical geneticist who promotes the resurrection of extinct species, sees in DIYbio the first truly grassroots-advanced science, or ‘synthetic biology’. DIYbio enthusiasts happily transfer already existing DIY ‘open source’ attitudes from computer code to genetic code, which renders the organism a site of tinkering and troubleshooting. Their default stance is libertarian, evading and sometimes even mocking the scientific short-sightedness of conventional morality. However, unlike libertarians, they also generally believe in grand ‘technological fixes’ for the world’s problems — an attitude that the scourge of Silicon Valley, the technology writer Evgeny Morozov, regularly derides as ‘solutionism’. In this guise, often conspicuous in TED talks, Black-siders look less like Friedrich Hayek-style Right-wingers and more like social engineers in the 19th-century socialist tradition of Henri de Saint-Simon and Auguste Comte.

On the Green side, we have the original calls for ‘animal liberation’ that date from the 1970s, when a radical offshoot of the environmental movement began to break into laboratories that housed animals for use in medical and cosmetics tests. The activists lumped the two kinds of research together as evidence of humanity’s selfishness and delusion. For them, the ultimate value of humanity lay in our Earthly nature. Our focus should not be on what distinguished us from other forms of life, they believed, but on what united us.

In this context, the threat of a global ecological crisis has served the Greens well. It has given them a normative rubric according to which our sacrifice of animals reflects a more general disregard for the planet, one that could undermine life itself. The old Left’s rhetoric of justice is apparent in the Green movement. At the same time, by removing the idea of human privilege, the Greens find allies on a traditional Right that resonates to the idea of a natural order ultimately reasserting itself.

So far I have portrayed this ideological rotation from the standpoint of a younger generation that accepts it as a given — often, to be sure, having been guided by prescient elders. But what is the evidence that the traditional Right and Left are dividing in ways that matter in this new down-up orientation? As I have already suggested, the up-winging Blacks combine the old libertarian Right and the old technocratic Left, while the down-winging Greens bring together elements of the old conservative Right and the old communitarian Left.

For some readers — again, perhaps, younger ones — the Black and Green political alignments might appear clearer and more intuitive than the original Red and Blue ones. Here it is worth recalling that the main bone of contention between Left and Right in the modern era has been the state’s prerogative to deliver social justice. On the whole, this is a duty that the Left recognises but the Right does not. Even so, the reasons for taking either position have varied significantly within each camp. The technocratic Left has seen social justice as part of a larger agenda of social progress, whereas the communitarian Left has tended to focus on the need to secure a decent quality of life. The libertarian Right has dismissed the very idea of social justice as inherently authoritarian, while the conservative Right has sought a more ‘natural’ form of justice in such pre-modern institutions as the church and the family.

In the old Left-Right dialectic, the ‘state’ stands for a peculiarly modern corporate agent that has been granted perpetual authority to make laws, administer to basic needs, and promote prosperity for a human population living within a generally recognised territory. To older readers, this point will seem obvious. However, I spell it out because in a world where people are increasingly affiliating across national borders and species boundaries, and where some even aspire to discover extraterrestrial intelligence, the state might seem much less salient, even an outright obstacle. From this perspective, the basic dilemma that has defined the Left-Right divide for the past two centuries — to extend or limit state power? — starts to look a bit stale.

And this is before we consider the state’s striking failure to deliver on its own promises of social justice — what Marxists, in a great piece of rhetorical distancing, have dubbed ‘the fiscal crisis of the welfare state’. The persistence (if not resurgence) of poverty, inequality and ethnic discrimination, despite a succession of well-intentioned, often well-financed and indeed sometimes partly successful welfare programmes has put the Left on the defensive since the 1980s. The situation here recalls one that the precursors of the modern Right faced in the 1780s, when the long-term viability of the Church-backed monarchies of Europe came into serious question. That loss of faith resulted in the French Revolution and the advent of the aforementioned Left-Right divide. The 1980s were likewise marked by widespread scepticism of the dominant narrative — no longer the providential hand of God but rather the march of human progress. And in both cases, the leading political response was a paternalistic attitude toward the poor that focused on securing their material existence in what was increasingly presented as a high-risk environment, rather than aiding their passage up any spiritual or social ladder.

Informing this sensibility is a more general metaphysical belief that there are objectively ‘natural’ and ‘unnatural’ ways of being human

Karl Polanyi’s classic The Great Transformation (1944) provides a rich sense of the affinities between classic ‘Tory’ paternalism and the modern welfare concerns of the communitarian Left. Indeed, these tendencies are due for a formal reunion within the Green movement in the impending rotation of the ideological axis. Sophisticated conservative thinkers such as the English philosopher Roger Scruton have already made the connection. The shift from Red to Green can also be seen in the curious revival of Aristotelian modes of thought in thinkers who identify with the Left. Here, ‘Aristotelian’ refers to an emphasis on ‘human nature’ as both a biological and a normative entity that requires specific sorts of environments for its full realisation. Informing this sensibility is a more general metaphysical belief that there are objectively ‘natural’ and ‘unnatural’ ways of being human, for which history is our most reliable source.

Among elements of the contemporary Left who have made the turn to Aristotle, consider these three high-profile cases. First is the ‘capacities’ approach to ‘quality of life’ promoted by the Indian economist Amartya Sen and the American philosopher Martha Nussbaum. This shifts the justification of the welfare state away from the rational assent of its potential members — as in John Rawls’s A Theory of Justice (1971) — and offers instead a social scientist’s inventory of the necessary attributes of a decent human life, regardless of assent. Second is the American political philosopher Michael Sandel’s proposition that most features of social life possess intrinsic virtues developed through their traditions of practice, but that these virtues are compromised if standards borrowed from science, technology or the market are used to reform their spheres. Lastly, there is the German sociologist Jürgen Habermas, who has come to share the Roman Catholic Church’s view that genetically based interventions in the unborn, even when they don’t threaten life, nevertheless abrogate the natural basis of human autonomy.

I have characterised the turn to Aristotle on the part of the Left as ‘curious’ because it flies in the face of all modern biological science, which from the 19th-century naturalist Jean-Baptiste Lamarck onward has increasingly stressed the conventionality of species categories and the plasticity of organisms. Of course, it does not follow that we can now reverse-engineer any species as we please. Nevertheless, as the DIYbio movement suggests, scientists are spontaneously taking us along that trajectory, which draws us further away from Aristotle’s metaphysical starting point. More importantly, a hallmark of the modern Left’s political commitment to large-scale, long-term social transformation has been a belief that human beings can be substantially changed for the better under the right circumstances. Indeed, this belief has been common to all the social sciences in the modern era from psychology and economics to sociology and political science. That belief is still carried forward by the up-wingers. It appears to have been abandoned by the down-wingers, including those of the communitarian Left, who subscribe to the idea of ‘natural limits’ to human self‑transformation.

Where should we look to see the libertarian Right and the technocratic Left making common cause in support of that great up-winging tendency championed by FM-2030? One place is the Breakthrough Institute, a US-based environmental think-tank that sees capitalist investment in advanced science and technology as the key to humanity’s survival on Earth, and possibly beyond. Most of its members appear to be Left-leaning, but whatever commitment to socialism they might have, it is one that sees itself as building upon — not abandoning — capitalism, very much as Saint-Simon and Karl Marx once did. Their various cases for experimental approaches to new energy sources reveal a fundamental optimism about the human condition, whereby every new existential threat is an opportunity in the making.

Following the wording used by Max More, the transhumanist philosopher and president of Alcor (where FM-2030’s body is kept on ice), I have described the underlying ethic of this approach as proactionary: it actively seeks calculated risks, rather than avoiding them in accordance with the opposing ‘precautionary’ principle. To be sure, the bracing character of the proactionary ethic is the very opposite of the default paternalism of down-wingers. Nevertheless, it might provide the more convincing account of our distinctiveness as a species, whether or not we survive in the long run.

With thanks to Emilie Whitaker for inspiration.

Comments

  • Gyrus

    Thanks, some interesting perspectives. But of course the idea that, when one dualism begins to break down, another dualism will fare better, is questionable. At best it shakes things up a little (always welcome!).

    Tim Leary, an early up-winger, wrote this while in Folsom Prison in '73:

    When mankind discovered the function and infinite capacities of the nervous system, a mutation took place. The metamorphosis from larval earth-life to a higher destiny. The person who has made this discovery becomes a time-traveler. A Psi-Phy entity. When Astronaut Mitchell saw the green jewel of earth against the black velvet expanse of interstellar distance, he became Psi-Phy. Ecology is a low-level distraction. Psi-Phy boy scouts picking up trash.

    The problem with this simple "psy-phi" vs. "ecology" thing is that Edgar Mitchell, when he returned to Earth from his 1971 mystical experience contemplating the planet from Apollo 14, became a very early adopter of ideas about sustainability. He raised concerns in a speech in Switzerland about fossil fuel consumption. Today he is unequivocal: “We are overwhelming our planet’s nonrenewable resources with our numbers and consumption patterns.” “We must act rapidly to bring our human penchant for viewing material abundance as a panacea for happiness, under control.” (from 'The Way of the Explorer'). I wonder if the philosophy of up-wingers has much more to do with Earth-bound fantasies than the real impacts of off-planet experience.

    Another complexification of the up/down dualism comes in Ken McLeod's brilliant Fall Revolution series of novels. They're unabashedly up-wing for the most part - environmentalists are depicted as "barbarians" sabotaging launch sites. Of course the upward revolution doesn't go smoothly, and at one point some characters find themselves on the run in the wilds of northern England, where some "barbarians" rescue them, tending their injuries with low-tech medical knowledge that these up-wingers have long since neglected in their symbiosis with neat tools.

    Switching dualisms may be a useful little exercize, but in the end it will just necessitate more hard lessons in complexity. Why not get ahead of the curve and embrace complexity? I know, bums on seats, ticks on ballot papers, traffic on blogs...

  • Lester

    Umbrella labels have the tendency to allow a lot of rain through, being that they are blunt instruments of definition and inclusion. Perpetual blurriness in complex shifting patterns tends to work better but as Gyrus rightly says simplicities are always more marketable.

    In Einsteins beautiful book of essays "Ideas and Opinions" the opening essay relates to his initial impressions of the US in 1919. Interestingly the characteristics he ascribes to the American character such as an emphasis on the "we" rather than the "I" or a strong leaning toward social justice whether applied privately or publicly, are extremely pliable. Both the (so-called) Left and Right can appropriate these themes and weave them into justification for totally different outcomes, and both the Left and the Right can use these values to prop up "a cult of individuals" (Einsteins phrase) that tends toward similar outcomes.

    Take this sentence for example: More importantly, a hallmark of the modern Left’s political commitment to large-scale, long-term social transformation has been a belief that human beings can be substantially changed for the better under the right
    circumstances.

    Naturally this implicitly implies a fixed human nature that can be adjusted and to some degree there is evidence it has a certain resonance - after all it might be argued that humans can be transformed for the worse under the right circumstances - just ask a Greenland Whale about human behaviour in a blubber based market environment. And naturally it illuminates a hallmark of the Right as well, depending on how one defines "better".

    But a more complex and satisfactory idea is one that suggests that there exists a feedback system between human and environment that makes both co-dependent and perpetually changes both. There is then a constant evolving pattern of behaviours and events rather than a fixed human nature and a desired goal.

    I suppose I'd tend to characterize "Up-Wingers" as modern millenarians less willing to take note of evidence.

    But, finally, the question that jumps out is about the application of power. Why is it that there has to be a forced cleavage between those who recognize the environmentally/socially destructive consequences of industrialized economies, and those who believe _ like modern millenarians - that as of yet unknown technologies may come to the rescue? Why not "fit in with nature" in a sustainable and far far less destructive manner whilst encouraging the growth of new and powerful technologies?

    Because, as usual, hidden behind the explanations and definitions is the demand to own and manage reality - to utilize power.

    • drokhole

      Love this:

      "But a more complex and satisfactory idea is one that suggests that there exists a feedback system between human and environment that makes both co-dependent and perpetually changes both. There is then a constant evolving pattern of behaviours and events rather than a fixed human nature and a desired goal."

      A few of my favorite clips from Alan Watts really drive this point home:

      Organism-Environment, the transactional nature
      http://youtu.be/nLI54vXxfic

      It all goes together
      http://youtu.be/qml1-xzPpxY

      • Lester

        Thanks for those links drokhole. Really fantastic! That is precisely what I was hoping to articulate and Alan Watts certainly did it much more fluently and much more beautifully :)

  • Guest

    "We know how to go to the moon, but the tragedy is that we still do not know how to live on planet earth." - Sadhguru

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1364224013 Chris Groves

    Further to Gyrus' post: a less dualistic and more complex perspective on the centrality of uncertainty (including, but not limited to, risk) to politics was provided by Peter Marris, nearly twenty years ago: http://bit.ly/1cfRB4v

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1364224013 Chris Groves

    Further to Gyrus' post: a less dualistic and more complex perspective on
    the centrality of uncertainty (including, but not limited to, risk) to
    politics was provided by Peter Marris, nearly twenty years ago: http://bit.ly/1cfRB4v

  • http://profiles.google.com/barry.kort Barry Kort

    Both the left and the right still believe in the Rule of Law -- a concept that's been around for roughly 4000 years.

    The problem with the Rule of Law is that our regulatory system is crafted out of rules and laws (rather than out of functions). That's why it's so bloody dysfunctional.

    This is the 21st Century. If you want to craft a high-functioning regulatory structure, you craft it out of functions. What we have today is an increasingly dysfunctional government, paralyzed in antinomy and antagony.

  • http://thewayitis.info/ Derek Roche

    I think there's a lot of merit in this if you retain both axes.

    There's no going past the traditional polarities defined by the perennial tension between the good of the individual (the 'right') and the common good (the 'left'). It's the fundamental ethical dilemma that underlies all political philosophy and practice. But if, instead of labelling them Left and Right you call them North and South, then their very polarity sets up a kind of all-inclusive magnetic field with what you've labelled Green and Black becoming East and West.

    You could call the Greens conservative or inward-looking because they are quite literally conservationists, seeking to protect our natural heritage and environment, and you could call the Blacks progressive or outward-looking not only because they dream of conquering space and colonizing the solar system but because they dare to dream of progress in general.

    The more I think about this, the more I like it. Is it possible to imagine a four-party system evolving, I wonder, a kind of quadri-partisan parliament? Is this what's happening in Europe?

    • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1364224013 Chris Groves

      Isn't the right-left dichotomy better defined as one between those who defend hierarchy and those who desire equality, however? If this is the case, then the kind of 'field' you're after was already outlined by Douglas and Wildavsky in 'Risk and Culture' back in 1982.

      Another example (as with the work of Peter Marris, which I cited in an earlier comment) of how the idea that politics and ethics are fundamentally about how we deal with uncertainty has been around for a long time, and expressed in theoretical positions much more sophisticated than the one Steve Fuller is sketching here.

      • http://thewayitis.info/ Derek Roche

        Well, I think the thing is that if you only have one axis you get these muddied definitions: "compassionate conservative" to name one egregious example. Whereas if you have two you can capture the whole field of political positioning and posturing not on a one-dimensional spectrum but in the two-dimensional complex plane, so to speak.

        • Chris Groves

          From Douglas and Wildavsky you get a two-dimensional, 'grid-group', space
          for thinking about different cultures of risk beyond Fuller's dualism - see here:
          http://fourcultures.com/a-short-summary-of-grid-group-cultural-theory/

          • http://thewayitis.info/ Derek Roche

            Thanks for the link. Much obliged.

          • Steve Fuller

            The Douglas-Wildavsky scheme is only persuasive to those who are anchored in the right wing -- both its libertarian and its conservative modes. There's no place for genuine progress in their scheme. That people of the communitarian left find it persuasive simply confirms my general argument.

          • http://thewayitis.info/ Derek Roche

            It's the grid idea I like. I have my own thoughts on the categories and labels as expressed above.

  • Alex Evans

    Oh for goodness' sake. This up/down typology may be snappy in messaging terms, but it's also a completely false dichotomy. Three examples:

    - It was the first images of earth from space that launched the modern environmental movement, with Earth Day in 1970. Or look at http://www.overviewinstitute.org/ for an application of similar thinking today.

    - The author of the 2004 Demos pamphlet 'Black Sky Thinking' referred to above was James Wilsdon - a leading green thinker who worked at Forum For the Future before he went to Demos.

    - This year's most interesting environmental book - Annalee Newitz - is both emphatic on the need for far more serious environmental policies, and deeply enthusiastic about the prospect of extending human civilization into space.

    • http://www.aeonmagazine.com/ Ed Lake

      The green movement doesn't fit neatly into the downwing camp: it has a relatively gung-ho, tech-optimistic stream (Stewart Brand, Mark Lynas etc). But that doesn't obviate the idea that the environmental movement is the source of a lot of downwing thought, or that attitudes to the environment and technology are likely to dominate political discussion, especially where traditional projects have stalled (as, for instance, Henrery Farrell argues they have here: http://www.aeonmagazine.com/living-together/henry-farrell-post-democracy/

    • Steve Fuller

      Has it crossed your mind that maybe 'Green' in its current usage covers too much ground because many of its members can't see themselves clearly in terms of the Red-Blue distinction? In other words, some of today's 'Greens' may be closet 'Blacks'.

  • Gyrus

    A real issue with the up/down dichotomy, despite the modern sheen this piece gives it, is its inheritance from religion. Probably since the early Neolithic there has been a significant focus on the image of ascent to the heavens, associated with spiritual power (e.g. shamanism) and political power (e.g. the royal cults of Egypt and China), with lowly Earth becoming (e.g. in Aristotelian / Christian cosmology) a nadir, a corrupted and detestable place. I guess many transhumanists would see this mythical current as some kind of pre-rational intuition of our correct goals. I would contend that aside from the many vital aspects of technology and space exploration, transhumanism has inherited a great deal from this current, which to a large extent has been based on a pathological disconnection from and disgust for the body and emotional life. I'm not saying that means we all need to live happy and naked in the mud, just that "up-wingers" who fail to confront this legacy will probably be heavily derailed by it.

    • Steve Fuller

      In fact, in The Proactionary Imperative, I deal with the theological side of the issue. While transhumanists like to present themselves as atheists, in fact you're basically right that the movement trades on heretical Christian 'gnostic' ideas of transcending the body. However, I don't see this quite as negatively as you seem to. In any case, the emerging Black/Green polarity really needs to reconnect with theology to be fully articulated (since there is also clearly an implicit Green theology). In this context, I see atheism as little more than a symptom of the current ideological crisis, not a substantive position, let alone an ideology in its own right.

      • Gyrus

        What do you see as positive aspects of pathological disconnection from and disgust for the body? ;-)

        • Steve Fuller

          Clearly you're begging the question. What you call 'pathological disconnection and disgust' may be -- and has been -- seen as open-mindedness to self-improvement. Only those who believe that there is a 'natural state' to the human body can get very upset by what the 'Blacks' are saying, and that's why the 'Back to Aristotle' stuff is so telling. Of course, issues arise about new inequalities that might arise from denying the very idea of a 'natural human', but that doesn't seem to be your objection.

          • Gyrus

            No, I don't object to bodily mutation. I just question motivations. It's not simple of course. In the subcultures where these issues are really being processed you'll find plenty of people who approach the mutation of the body after coming through an intensive process of lovingly exploring the erotic, embodied state. Indeed, mutation is often part of that process. But equally, there are plenty of people for whom bodily mutation is an extension of their disgust for flesh. And I don't think mutation per se is a healthy thing to focus on when your motive is disgust. (Though of course there's plenty of grey areas here.)

  • Mark Gubrud

    Maybe the real dichotomy is between those who know which planet they're living on and those who try to forget.

    • Cahokia

      Yet somehow we still have higher living standards than any past generation.

      That includes both the West + Japan, the middle income nations of Latin America, Asia, and the FSU, and the lower income countries of Africa.

      Virtually across the board life has never been better.

      Yet for some odd reason, techno-pessimism, dressed up in the green foliage of the Garden of Eden, is fashionable today.

      • Mark Gubrud

        If you're accusing me of "techno-pessimism," well, I'm really not sure what you mean by that, but it sounds kind of negative.

  • rameshraghuvanshi

    Capitalism as well as communism are out of death now.New generation want adventure more freedom.Social network change the face of earth.Youngsters are want now new humanism. Rat race capitalism killed man`s initiative made man machine.Youngsters hated communism because too much restriction murdered man`s adventure.Younger generation want new principal new norms to inspire their telent.

  • reason60

    I know that Steve Fuller is trying hard to popularize new terms- "Upwing, Downwing", "Black/ Green", but this article only repackages Silicon Valley libertarian anarchist thinking in new clothes.
    The people who are championing the technology as a fix for social ills are only trying to evade the difficult work of reaching consensus and stakeholder equity in the society we all live in.
    Consider that behind all the breathless talk about the possibilities of space travel, boi-engineering and such, is this intended to be universally accessible, on equal terms to all of societies inhabitants? Or will it only be accessible to those with means? Will technology be held as common property, or privatized?
    I think it is telling that those who speak scornfully of the need for the state, nonetheless insist upon the monopoly of the state in enforcing their property protections of patents and intellectual property. In other words, socialism for me, capitalism for thee.
    .

    • Steve Fuller

      This is a seriously problem and one that I address in the book 'The Proactionary Imperative' due out next year. I actually see here the opportunity for a renewal of the welfare state. Admittedly I don't develop this in the article because I'm just charting the ideological terrain here. But for me the technocrats play just as much a role as the libertarians in the 'up wingers'. But you're right, it means that we'll need to revisit Fabianism and even eugenics.

      • G

        To my mind, the up/down dichotomy is as pernicious as, if not more so than, the left/right dichotomy. Up is traditionally Heaven; Down is traditionally Hell, and that is just the beginning.

        There will be no interstellar civilisation without first a sustainable civilisation on Earth. How long do you think it will take before we go to Mars, to the moons of Jupiter and Saturn, and finally to the stars? How long do our climate scientists say that we have, to give up 19th-century energy sources and take up 21st century energy sources, else we run the risk of darwinizing ourselves as a species? See the problem?

        If there is any real political dichotomy it is between selfishness and selflessness. Selfishness the ethic of the two-year-old translated to the language of the adult, with weaponised tantrums. Selflessness is an ethic that understands and practices the very virtues that we are supposed to understand in primary school, also translated to the language of an adult. By the time we learn what adjectives and verbs are, we are supposed to have made at least a partial transition from selfishness to selflessness, but alas, many do not, and many of those find their way to the pinnacles of power.

        Thus we presently contemplate +2 Celsius as the next new normal, with the prospect of +6 as penalty for failure to comprehend what we contemplate.

        To reach for the stars, we must first reach for the Earth; and if we truly care about the life of Earth, we must find a way to carry it to the stars.

  • Trimegistus

    So the political divide of the future will be between Big-Science totalitarians trying to control every aspect of our lives vs. Green totalitarians trying to control every aspect of our lives. Why do I not find this an appealing choice?

  • Nom de Plume

    The two poles of any dichotomy oppose one another, in principle, but
    they must also share a set of characteristics. Were it not so,
    propositional logic, for example, would be impossible: if A were a
    proposition to which you may associate a truth value, then not-A would
    NOT be a proposition, let alone one that may be corresponded to truth
    values. Not-A is only opposite to A if you acknowledge what they have in
    common in the first place: that they're both propositions, that you may
    give propositions truth values, etc.

    My problem with this piece is that it appears to be unaware of how restrictive a set of commonalities it imposes upon the up/down dichotomy. A salient example: "Down" ideologies aim to bind society to the earth, their "up"
    counterparts to propel it into the heavens; so both take on the responsibility to set the course for civilization rather than just keep it from collapsing in on itself or whatever else you may believe to be the purpose of government. Government here is conceived as a motor of progress, and the purpose of ideology is then to set where we should progress towards. This implies that any ideology that is unconcerned with progress will be necessarily left out of the up/down axis. In contrast, the left/right dichotomy doesn't leave ideologies out: any ideology may be said to be more concerned or less concerned with tradition or social welfare, because those are qualities we pin on the ideology after the fact, not goals the ideology sets out explicitly. So the up/down axis will do a much worse job of sorting through ideologies than the left/right axis ever would. As far as axes go, left/right seems as good as it gets, even if not as intuitive as it gets. The better question: if the left/right divide is so inadequate, could it not be because dichotomies (or axes) are themselves inadequate tools for political discussion?

    • Steve Fuller

      If all you want to do is to foster 'political discussion', then every statement about 'false dichotomies' will imply 'dichotomies are false'. Ideologies are more than talking points. They are rallying posts for political action. At some point, a cut needs to be made -- and historically cuts have been made -- between X and not-X; hence, the various ideologies in terms of which people continue to position themselves. I am simply suggesting the emergence of one more such distinction.

      • Nom de Plume

        My long-windedness may have obscured my point. I'm not claiming it's a false dichotomy; I'm claiming it's a true dichotomy for a false (or incomplete) political landscape: if you glue X and not-X back together, it won't span all legitimate ideologies (because, as I said, both up and down, and therefore all the ideologies in the up-down axis, are concerned with setting a "straight line" course for civilization, which isn't true of all ideologies); hence, ideologues unable to position themselves in terms of X and not-X. This is a problem regardless of whether we're fostering political discussion or political action. We'd be in effect ostracizing legitimate participants.

        • Oliver Milne

          It seems like you're claiming both 'up' and 'down' have to be statist, but I don't see why that should be true. Silicon Valley up-libertarians, for example, would much rather see a small state in an upward-facing capitalist society, whereas green-anarchists want something like small, voluntary, cooperating collectives to replace the state in a downward-facing society. That this political axis could extend beyond government styles is an interesting strength.

  • Matt Baen

    'Black sky thinking' and Up-wing are just a new gloss on old, creaky, calcified techno-utopianism, as old as industrialism. The Technocracy movement. Haeckel's Monism. The Fabianism of HG Wells. Yes, and the nightmare of eugenics. So now it's the crossover of Randian extropians and transhumanist leftists who want liberation from humdrum reality in shared dreams of high-tech body mods, space exploration, and gushing over the latest 3D printer.

    Get a reality check, up-wingers. What you think is the imminent Singularity is the sucking sound of the economy collapsing in on itself because the internet, outsourcing, apps, and soon, robotics have destroyed the value of labor and hence the demand side. Your onanistic fantasies about space colonization are made more ridiculous by the reality of marine life choking on plastic and acidified oceans. Those are the kind of things that need solutions, not these birdbrained fantasies indulged in by dance clubbers in sci-fi drag and parasitic techno-plutocrats.

    • Steve Fuller

      Well, at least you confirm my argument. I don't deny the stereotypes you're alluding to. I differ from you merely in thinking that one can't ignore that 'gimmicky sophistry' to solve the world's problems.

    • Cahokia

      That techno-utopian mode of thinking brought us the Industrial Revolution.

      If our forebears did not have that kind of optimistic faith in technology and human potential, you might not be here.

  • Adam

    one nit to pick. you write:
    " a hallmark of the modern Left’s political commitment to large-scale, long-term social transformation has been a belief that human beings can be substantially changed for the better under the right circumstances. Indeed, this belief has been common to all the social sciences in the modern era from psychology and economics to sociology and political science. That belief is still carried forward by the up-wingers. It appears to have been abandoned by the down-wingers,"

    but Sen and Sandel and other down-wing-lefties wouldn't disagree that humans can be substantially changed for the better in the right circumstances. Indeed, isn't that the whole point of being a left-leaning Aristotelian - that you have some normative standard that makes that word "better" possible? I mean, these up-wining transhumanist types speak of improvement and progress, but by what standard? Nothing fixed, only preference? only fad? Or maybe liberation - but liberation for or to what?

    • Steve Fuller

      The issue here boils down to whether there are 'natural limits' to what human beings can be reasonably expected to become. Up-wingers hold that not only the means but also the ends of humanity might be substantially changed over time, perhaps in light of political experience. The down-wingers believe that there is a limit to how much our ends can change and we still remain human.

      • Gyrus

        Is there any contradiction there? The label "transhumanist" certainly implies that up-wingers also believe there is a limit to how much our ends can change and still remain human. Obviously the difference is in whether becoming something other than human is desirable or not. Now, any good Green will know ecology well enough to know that eventually, some of the flows of human being are bound to become something else. Actually, since we're so adaptable, we're unlikely to be like sharks and go on for that much longer without all our flows becoming something else.

        So: what to become, and how fast should it happen? In both these instances, the issue is, who's making the decisions? Us "taking control of our evolution" is a standard up-winger doctrine I guess. But "us" basically means our conscious, "rational" selves. And I don't see the evidence for the ability of this creature to make good decisions on such fundamental, large-scale, long-term things. I don't think opposing up-winger self-directed evolution means opposing us becoming something other than human. It merely means leaving it - as far as we're able - up to less conscious, more robust evolutionary processes. We're too advanced now to not interact with these processes, but an attitude of management and mitigation seems wiser than one of control. The desire for the latter seems to bore down to contemporary individuals who are impatient for more, more, more - regardless of the long-term consequences.

        • Steve Fuller

          I realize that 'transhumanism' now has a libertarian edge that wasn't present when Julian Huxley coined the term in the 1950s. He was a eugenicist and basically interested in reasserting human distinctiveness in light of Darwin. So he said we're the only species who can understand evolution as a whole and that brings a collective responsibility to administer to it. You might say that homo sapiens = the mind of life. We can now consciously direct a process that previously was driven by the blind forces of natural selection. This is much closer to my own normative starting point. In a sense, evolution has smartened up its act as it has been allowed to unfold.

          • Gyrus

            But this is faith. By definition, there's no evidence for the idea that we can consciously direct evolution in any meaningful sense, because we can't see into the future. We can affect evolution tremendously. And we might have a rough idea of the near-term effects. But as time unfolds, the blindness of our actions will also unfold.

            I appreciate it's a dilemma if you take on board the fact that we also can't foresee the effects of not trying to "direct" evolution. This is the standard knot of self-awareness and imperfect awareness of the future, magnified to the species-scale. We just need to look at how these knots play out in our personal lives, and ask ourselves what risks do we want to magnify that much? And if some risks are magnified to the species (or biosphere) scale - who's taking those risks on everyone's behalf? What are their motivations and profit incentives?

          • Steve Fuller

            You're exactly right -- it's faith. But this is why I stress (more in the book than in this article) that the big existential and political question will be about attitude toward risk: avoid it or embrace it -- precautionary or proactionary.

          • Gyrus

            Definitely. And as long as we're needing to ask the question (which I can't see an end to), precautionary wins.

            The problem is that many people seem to conflate precautionary attitudes to large-scale issues with precautionary attitudes to small-scale issues. Like green politics being labelled "hair-shirt". The full-time eco-activists I know are the most hedonistic, generous, adventurous people I know. Incredibly proactionary people - obviously, look at their actions. There are inhibited greens, but I think the coincidence between those personal issues and political outlook is contingent - or at least, very complex. The appeal of up-wing politics is heavily influenced by the mistaken belief that bold risk-taking with the promise of transcendence on the large-scale means something about personal life. Up-wingers should get back to real gnosticism - head to the desert for 40 days and nights, be really bold, get some proper transcendence, and own it rather than projecting it into the political sphere! ;-)

          • Lester

            I totally agree with you Gyrus. It's a pleasure to read such a lucid and perceptive view.

            Thanks

          • Chris Groves

            I don't understand what we gain from this moralistic framing, though. 'Risk or no risk? Choose your values!'

            If it's a political framing of risk you're after, then surely the proper questions are 'which risks?' and, more emphatically, 'whose risks?'

            Which risks? Not all risks are created equal. Calculable versus incalculable? Hazards that pose reversible harms versus irreversible ones? Is proaction meant to be a decision principle that can decide whether entertaining particular *kinds* of risks is rational/right or not?

            Whose risks? Some risks are run (i.e. we voluntarily accept them); while others are imposed by an agent or agents on others, often to offload uncertainty onto someone else. This redistribution of uncertainty can be a result of proactive risk-taking (e.g. by businesses) or precautionary risk-avoiding (e.g. by public bureaucracies).

            A further question would then be: what accretions of power might a moralistic 'risk-no risk' framing serve?

          • Matt Baen

            One problem - of many - with transhumanism and eugenics (even soft, voluntary* eugenics): even now we barely understand these systems. Genomic imprinting, endogenous retroviruses, the role of hydrization in evolution, junk genes, genetic parasites, the chemical messengers that reallocate resources under changing conditions these are all barely understood by us today much less in Huxley's time.

            It's not just a vague timeless admonition about hubris but a very practical matter that we hardly know what the hell we are doing. Just a few years ago we learned that placentation was made possible by a virus. But again and again aggressive technophiles insist that we know enough to permanently mess with these systems that have been shaped over eons. And no, they're not perfect by any means. But they are the only hereditary substrate we have. And no, sequences aren't enough (epigenesis) nor can any computer model these systems. (They're maps, not territories.)

            I'm reminded of mid-20th century researchers who thought that science had replicated all of the essential components of breast milk - even improved on them - before anything was understood about the immunological significance of breast milk.

            *Of course it's not voluntary for succeeding generations who are affected (I'm not talking about Tay-sacs and cystic fibrosis either)

  • Cahokia

    Thank you for this wonderful essay.

    Frankly, you describe a major reason why I abandoned the left.

    I was an old-fashioned Marxist - a Trotskyist actually - and suddenly I realized that all my supposed comrades shared none of the optimism, the belief in technology and human reason, and in the potential for developing the forces of production that Marx, Engels, and their followers did.

    The left has become almost universally *green* under your rubric. It's very rare today to come across a left-wing person, let alone a political current, which hasn't bought into techno-pessimism and primitivism.

    Much of the right shares these prejudices. But it has to be said - the libertarian right is the least likely of all political persuasions to dismiss visions of the future.

  • kristoferpettersson

    Ignoring the Pirate Party and its pro-transhumanistic agenda seems a bit ignorant. After all it is a political movement which holds a seat from every position of power i Europe and is present in 50 countries. The colour is purple; not black.

  • RedneckCryonicist

    I slightly knew FM-2030 from his writings, correspondence, occasional phone calls and the opportunity to meet him at a conference in 1995. He meant well, but like most intellectuals of his generation who came of age around the middle of the 20th Century, he absorbed a blank-slate model of human nature which modern cognitive science no longer supports.

    For example, FM assumed that the social upheavals he witnessed in the late 1960’s signaled some permanent change into the human condition, when from hindsight they looked more like random noise as a larger than average cohort of youngsters from the Baby Boom engaged in novelty seeking before the reality principle of adulthood asserted itself over them in the 1970’s and 1980’s.

    And in general FM assumed that the social philosophy we’ve inherited from the Enlightenment in the 18th Century, based on equality, democracy, tolerance, secularism, universalism and feminism, has somehow gotten locked in as a permanent feature of the human condition and can’t change.

    I wouldn’t assume anything of the sort, especially because the effort to live according to this philosophy concocted by long-dead European intellectuals tends to conflict with human nature. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the restoration of societies in “the future” rather like the ones which existed before the 18th Century – many enjoying the advantages of higher technology and living standards, perhaps, but based on hierarchy, aristocracy/monarchy, intolerance, religiosity, tribalism/nationalism and patriarchy.

    In other words, those science fiction novels set in “the future” which postulate technologically advanced societies with quasi-feudal social structures might have gotten things more right than their authors realized.

    So from the perspective of people living 300 years from now, they might categorize the world views of their time as Vertical versus Horizontal: Hierarchy versus Equality, in other words, with the Vertical-thinking people in the ascendancy.

  • Ryan

    I think you miss a key element of Aristotle's attractiveness to Left political thought. It's his emphasis on habit, rather than nature, that I think is relevant to Green or progressive social theory. The idea that human nature is shaped by habituated action provides some with an explanation for evolutionary change and variability. This sense of the short-term (personal virtue) or long-term (institutional) mutability of human nature meshes with both technological-libertarian and ecological-communitarian politics, depending on whether the focus is on personal or collective management of habits, rituals, practices, etc.