Abstract
R. Tiller and M. Welch (1994) "Predicting
the National Unemployment Rate that the "old" CPS Would
Have Produced," Proceedings of the Section on Survey
Research Methods, American Statistical Association.
In January 1994, the introduction of the redesigned
Current Population Survey (CPS) questionnaire and automation
of collection procedures was expected to affect most labor
force estimates. To help evaluate the change in the
unemployment rate attributed to these revisions, time series
models were used to extrapolate the pre-1994 series to
predict the unemployment rate estimates for 1994.
Last Modified Date: July 19, 2008
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