Long Distance Transportation Patterns: Mode Choice
Americans total 1.3 trillion
person-miles of long distance travel a year on about 2.6 billion long-distance
trips. Long-distance trips are journeys of more than 50 miles from home to the
furthest destination. More than half of long-distance trips are taken for
pleasure, while fewer than one out of five long-distance trips is for business.
While most long-distance trips are made by personal vehicle, the National
Household Travel Survey (NHTS), conducted in 2001 and 2002, explored the
choices that travelers make for their long-distance travel.
Among the key findings are:
- Long-distance trips originating in urban and metropolitan areas are more
likely to use public transportation modes than trips originating in rural and
non-metro areas.
- About 8 percent of long-distance trips that use a public transportation
mode[1] use a different mode
in each direction of travel.
- Almost 90 percent of long-distance trips are by personal vehicle.
- Mode choice varies somewhat by trip purpose and distance.
- Personal vehicle is the most frequent mode used to initially access long
distance public transportation, but on the arrival end a greater mix of modes
is used.
A more detailed discussion of these
findings follows.
Long Distance Travel Mode
Based on the 2001–2002
NHTS data, Americans take 2.6 billion long-distance trips per year, or 7.2
million trips per day. Almost 9 out of 10 long-distance trips are taken by
personal vehicle,[2] and about 10 percent
use public transportation modes. Over 7 percent of long-distance trips are
taken by air, while 2 percent are by bus (including scheduled, charter, and other
bus trips). Train travel represents almost 1 percent of long-distance trips.
Table 1 in the Appendix shows the breakdown by mode.
Mode by Trip Purpose
More than half of long-distance trips
(56 percent) are taken for pleasure, 16 percent for business, 13 percent each
for commuting and for personal business,[3] and 3 percent for other reasons. Regardless of trip purpose, driving is the
primary travel mode, accounting for 89 percent of all trips. Contrary to the
popular vision of business travelers flying off to their meetings, nearly 80
percent of all business trips are done by driving. Personal vehicle travel
accounts for 96 percent of commuting trips and about 90 percent of pleasure and
personal business trips. Air travel accounts for only 18 percent of business
trips, overall. About 7 percent of pleasure trips are by plane, and air
accounts for only about 5 percent of personal business trips. Rail travel
accounts for about 2 percent of all business trips and commute trips, but less
than 1 percent of pleasure trips.
While personal vehicle and air are
the primary and secondary modes for all other trip categories, bus is as
important as air as the secondary mode for personal business trips.[4] Table 2 in the
Appendix shows the modal breakdown of long-distance trips by trip purpose.
Figure 1 (and table 3 in the Appendix) shows the modal breakdown by purpose for
trips made by public transportation modes (personal vehicle trips excluded).
Mode by Trip Distance
Mode choice changes with trip
distance. Trips of 50 to 499 miles, each way, account for 90 percent of
long-distance trips. About 5 percent of long-distance trips are to destinations
500 to 999 miles away, and another 5 percent are 1,000 miles or longer. At
shorter distances most trips are by personal vehicle, but the percentage of
trips taken by public transportation increases with trip distance. For trips of
less than 250 miles, 97 percent of trips are by personal vehicle, but once the
trip distance is 750 miles or greater, travelers are more likely to use one of
the public transportation modes.
At distances of
1,500 miles or more, only 15 percent of trips are by driving, with the large
majority of trips (82 percent) being by air. Figure 2 shows how as trip
distances increase, personal vehicle is replaced by air as the primary
transportation mode. Because the share of trips using any of the other public
transportation modes (bus, rail, and “other”) never exceeds 3.3 percent, and in
many cases the sample is too small to be reliable, they are not shown on figure
2. Table 4 in the Appendix gives detailed information for all modes.
Mode Choice for International Trips
It is not surprising that U.S.
residents’ choice between the two primary modes (air and personal vehicle) is
much different for international trips than it is for domestic trips. Slightly more than half of international
trips are by air, compared to only about 7 percent of domestic trips. Virtually
all international trips to destinations outside of North America are by air.
Within North America, about 86 percent of Caribbean trips are by air, and 29
percent of trips to both Canada and Mexico are by plane.
Personal vehicle, which accounts for
over 90 percent of domestic trips, still accounts for 42 percent of
international trips due to the volume of driving trips to Mexico and Canada.
Those two countries account for 65 percent of international trips; driving
accounts for about two-thirds of the trips to both of those countries.
Appendix table 5 compares mode choice
for international and domestic trips. Table 6 shows mode choice for
international trips by various destination areas of the world. The sample size
for bus, train, and other modes is too small to be reliable.
Trips Using Different Modes in Opposite Directions
Not all travelers use the same mode
for their going and return trips. About 8 percent of long-distance trips that
involve travel on one of the public transportation modes will be made using a
different transportation mode in the opposite direction. Among public
transportation users, air and bus travelers are least likely to use a
combination of modes, with only about 6 percent of air travelers and 10 percent
of bus travelers using a second mode in the opposite direction.[5] About 17 percent of
rail trips use a different mode in the other direction, although there is not a
statistically significant difference between the percentage of bus, train, or
“other” [6] trips that are likely
to use a different mode in each direction. The sample size in the NHTS for the
“other” modes is not large enough to provide a reliable estimate. Personal
vehicle is the second mode of transportation for 79 percent of the
multiple-mode long distance public transportation trips. Twenty-one percent of
multiple-mode public transportation trips use another public mode in the
opposite travel direction.
Because personal vehicles are used
for 90 percent of all long-distance trips, multiple-mode trips represent a
considerably lower percentage of personal vehicle trips than for the public
transportation modes. Less than 1 percent of long distance personal vehicle
trips use a different mode in the opposite travel direction.
Table 7 of the Appendix shows for
each mode the percentage of trips that use the same mode and the percentage of
trips that use a different mode in the opposite directions. Table 8 shows the
percent of trips in the opposite direction that are via personal vehicle, for
trips that use a public transportation mode in at least one direction. Table 9 shows the detail of return mode usage by going mode for all trips.
Mode Choice by Geography
There is a difference in intercity
travel mode choice depending on where the traveler resides. While all groups
rely predominantly on personal vehicles, those who live in urban areas are more
likely than those who live in rural areas to use public transportation for
their long-distance trips.
While the personal vehicle is the
predominant mode for all travelers, those who live in rural areas use it for 95
percent of long-distance trips, while the personal vehicle is used for only 87
percent of trips originating in urban areas. Nine percent of long-distance
trips originating in urban areas are made by air compared to only 3 percent by
air from rural areas. Similarly, 1 percent use rail from urban areas, compared
to about one-half of 1 percent in rural areas. There is no statistically
significant difference between the use of bus in rural or urban areas, with
about 2 percent of trips from both rural and urban households using that mode.
Table 10 shows the urban/rural breakdown by mode.
Mode choice varies even between
metropolitan areas of different size. Those living in Metropolitan Statistical
Areas (MSAs) of 1 million or more population are more likely to use public
transportation modes for long-distance trips than those who live in smaller
metro areas. Those living in the smaller metro areas in turn use public
transportation for a higher percentage of long-distance trips than those living
outside of metropolitan areas. For example, in MSAs of more than 1 million
residents, 85 percent of long-distance trips are made by driving and 15 percent
are made using public transportation. In MSAs of less than 1 million, the
percent of trips made by personal vehicle increases to 92 percent with the
percent made by public modes dropping to 8 percent. Outside of metro areas, 96
percent of long-distance trips are made by personal vehicle, with only 4
percent using public modes. See table 11 in the Appendix for a breakdown of
personal vehicle and public transportation long-distance trips by the MSA size.
Demographics and Mode Choice
Across all age groups, the personal
vehicle accounts for about 90 percent of long-distance trips. The remaining 10
percent of long-distance trips are made via public transportation modes. Air
service is the most frequently used public mode for long-distance trips by all
age groups except those age 65 and above.
Among that age group there is no
statistical difference between the percentage of trips made by air and the
percentage made by bus.
Mode choice by age group is shown in
Appendix table 12.
While driving is the dominant mode
across all income levels, household income has an influence, especially at the
upper and lower levels, on mode choice. While personal vehicle is the dominant
mode for all long-distance travel, the percentage of trips made by driving
declines noticeably for those with incomes over $75,000 annually. Below that
income level, more than 91 percent of long-distance trips are made by driving,
but that figure drops to 84 percent for those in the highest income group. At
the same time, those with incomes in excess of $75,000 make nearly 14 percent
of their long-distance trips by air, compared to only three to 5 percent of
trips by those below that income level.
Those with household incomes below
$25,000, on the other hand, are more likely to make trips by bus than those at
the higher income levels. Almost 4 percent of long-distance trips are made by
bus among those making less than $25,000; but that share declines to less than
2 percent for those in the highest income bracket. There is no difference
across income levels in the percentage of long-distance trips made by
train.
Income breakdown by mode for
long-distance trips is shown in Appendix table 13.
Access and Egress Modes
Auto travel is generally
door-to-door. However, those using public transportation modes for
long-distance trips must get from the starting point to the intercity
transportation terminal to board the public transportation mode. Similarly, at
the destination, public transportation travelers need to get from the intercity
transportation terminal to their actual destination location. The trips to
access and egress the main transportation mode are examined in this section of
the report.
The most frequent access mode used at
the originating end of the trip is the personal vehicle, accounting for 71
percent of trips to access public long-distance transportation. Three out of
four air trips begin by either driving or being driven to the airport, while 66
and 54 percent of bus and train trips, respectively, begin with access being
provided by personal vehicle.
Public transportation is used by 15
percent of those needing to access a long-distance transportation terminal, and
10 percent use a combination of more than one mode to get from their origin
point to the terminal. Overall, about 3 percent walk or bike to the terminal.
However, bicycle and pedestrian access is used to access nearly 13 percent of
long-distance train trips and over 10 percent of long-distance bus trips. Appendix
table 14 shows how travelers access intercity transportation.
The significant use of local public
transportation to access intercity modes (non-personal vehicle) is a phenomenon
of the large metropolitan areas. In MSAs of more than 1 million population,
where there are generally extensive public transit networks, about 18 percent
of those accessing an airport, bus, or rail station use public transportation.
This compares to less than 10 percent access by public transportation in MSAs
of less than 1 million population, and non-MSA areas. Table 15 shows the access
mode by MSA size.
At the arrival end of the trip,
travelers use a greater mix of modes to egress from the intercity terminal to
the final destination than they use for access. Personal vehicle is the primary
egress mode only for those arriving by air. About two-thirds of arriving air
travelers leave the airport via personal vehicle. Personal vehicle includes
rental cars. Personal vehicle does not include taxicabs, which are counted in
the “other” mode category. About one-fourth of air passengers use local public
transport to egress from the destination terminal. Rail passengers are just as
likely to get to their destination by walking, using local transport, using a
personal vehicle, or taking a combination of more than one egress mode.
Intercity bus travelers are most likely to walk or bike to their destination
(44 percent) or use public transportation (33 percent). Table 16 shows how
long-distance travelers get from their arrival terminal to their final
destination.
While the access mode seems to be
influenced by MSA size on the originating end of the trip, the arrival MSA size
does not seem to have as great of an influence on egress mode. Regardless of
MSA size, about half of trips are completed in personal vehicles, about
one-fourth by public transit, 10 to 15 percent by walking or cycling, and about
10 percent by a combination of two or more modes. Table 17 shows egress modes
by MSA size.
Methodology Notes
This analysis is based on the
“national sample” long-distance trip file of the National Household Travel Survey.
Long-distance trips are defined as those where the destination is at least 50
miles away from the originating point.
The modal analyses in this report use
only trips where transportation mode information is available. Trip records are
not considered if mode choice is “unknown” or if mode choice was not provided
by a survey respondent. Less than one-half of 1 percent of the 2.6 billion
weighted long-distance trips were eliminated due to the lack of mode
information.
Public Transportation refers to all
modes except Personal Vehicle. Public Transportation modes are air, bus (both
scheduled and charter), rail, and other (primarily ship, limousine, taxi,
shuttle services, bicycling, walking). In the analysis of modes used to access
long distance transportation modes, bicycling and walking (bike/walk) are
considered separately.
The NHTS data were collected from
March 2001 through May 2002. The September 11, 2001 attacks on New York and
Washington had an impact on travel, especially travel by air, in the following
months. BTS is analyzing the impact of the 9/11 attacks on travel in the United
States, but that analysis has not yet been completed, and thus the impact of
those events cannot yet be quantified for the NHTS data used in this report.
While those attacks likely had some impact on travelers’ modal choice and the
percentages using the various modes, we do not believe at this time that the
impact was significant enough to change the basic findings in this report.
Comparisons made in this report are
statistically significant at a 0.05 level.
Appendix
The following tables provide the data
on which this report is based. The percentages used in each table are weighted,
and standard errors are provided for all data in the tables. Cells with a small
sample size (less than 30 observations), or with a coefficient of variation
greater than 0.3, which can make the estimates unreliable, are shown underlined. Note that in many cases the sample
size for other, train, and bus are too small to be reliable. Cells that are not
statistically different from others in the same row are shaded. Notes below the
tables clarify the statistical significance shading or other information where
necessary.
End Notes
[1] Public transportation
refers to all transportation modes except personal vehicle.
[2] Personal vehicle includes
car, van, noncommercial truck, recreational vehicle, sport utility vehicle or
motorcycle.
[3] Personal business trips
are those taken for family, personal, religious or medical reasons.
[4] The percentage of personal
business trips completed by bus (5.6%) and air (4.7%) are not statistically
different.
[5] There is no statistical
difference between the percentage of air and bus travelers using a second mode.
[6] Examples of “other” modes
are ship, ferries and limousines.
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