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Product Content Information
The Global Tropics Benefits / Hazards
Assessment provides an
outlook for the upcoming 1 to 2 week time period for areas expecting
enhanced / suppressed rainfall integrated over a week and regions
where conditions are especially favorable / unfavorable for tropical
cyclogenesis. The anomalous rainfall outlooks target broad-scale conditions and local conditions will vary.
The product supports the NOAA mission in three ways:
(1) assess and forecast important changes in the distribution of
tropical convection (can lead to circulation changes across the US) and communicate this information to NWS
forecasters, (2) provide advance notice of potential hazards related to
climate, weather and hydrological events across the global tropics
(including tropical cyclone risks for several NWS regions), and (3)
act as an additional resource for various sectors of the US economy that have foreign interests
(finance, energy, agriculture, water resource management).
The product synthesizes information and expert analysis from a number of
CPC assessments as well as other operational
monitoring products. The physical basis for the outlooks include the
El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, the Madden-Julian
Oscillation (MJO), other coherent subseasonal tropical variability,
interactions with the extratropical circulation, and numerical weather forecast guidance.
The product is generated with input from other NOAA centers including the Earth System
Research Laboratory (ESRL), the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, and
select National Weather Service Weather Forecast Offices among other
domestic and international collaborators.
Numbered tropical benefits and hazards appear on two images (week
1 and week 2 respectively) and include a text description below the map
explaining the nature and rationale for the highlighted region. Images
can be made larger by clicking on the heading labels.
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www.nws.noaa.gov 
