12 May 2008 M=7.9 Wenchuan, China, earthquake calculated to increase failure stress and seismicity rate on three major fault systems, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L17305, doi:10.1029/2008GL034903,
2008.
Does the 2007 Noto Hanto earthquake reveal a
weakness of the Japanese national seismic hazard map that could be
remedied with geological data? Earth, Planets
and Space, 60, in press.
Toda, S.,
Coulomb stresses imparted by the 25 March 2007 Mw=6.6 Noto-
Hanto, Japan, earthquake explainits ‘butterfly’ distribution of
aftershocks and suggest a heightened seismic hazard, Earth, Planets
and Space, 60, in press.
Awata, Y., S. Toda, H. Kaneda, T. Azuma, H. Horikawa, M. Shishikura,
and T. Echigo,
Coastal deformation associated with the 2007 Noto Hanto
earthquake, central Japan, estimated from uplifted and subsided
intertidal organisms, Earth, Planets and Space, 60, in press.
Chen, K. H., S. Toda, and R.-J. Rau,
A leaping, triggered sequence
along a segmented fault: The 1951ML 7.3 Hualien-Taitung earthquake
sequence in eastern Taiwan, Journal of Geophysical Research, 113,
B02304, doi:10.1029/2007JB005048, 2008.
Doser, Diane I., Kim B. Olsen, Fred F. Pollitz, Ross S. Stein, and Shinji Toda,
The 1911 M~6.6 Calaveras earthquake: Source parameters and the
role of static, viscoelastic and dynamic Coulomb stress changes
imparted by the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, in press, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Amer., 2008
Fault model of the 1703 Genoku Kanto Earthquake ( M 8.2) along the Sagami Trough deduced from renewed coseismic crustal deformation Preliminary Draft, August, 2004 (1) Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan
[Japanese summary] [English Summary] [Printable article (1.8 Mb)]
R. Nakamura1, K. Satake2, S. Toda2, T. Uetake3 and S. Kamiya4
3-D Attenuation Structure beneath the Kanto District, Japan, submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett. (1) Tokyo Electric Power Services Co. ,Ltd (2) National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (3) The Tokyo Electric Power Company Inc.
4 (4) Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
R. S. Stein1, S. Toda2, T. Parsons1 and E. Grunewald1,3
A new probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for greater Tokyo, Phil. Trans. R. Soc. A, doi:10.1098/rsta.2006.1808 (2006) (1) U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A. (2) Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan (3) Department of Geophysics, Stanford University, USA
Forecasting probabilistic seismic shaking for greater Tokyo from 400 years of intensity observations, Earthquake Spectra, Volume 23, No. 3, pages 525-546, Doi: 10.1193/1.2753504, 2007. (1) U.S. Geological Survey 345 Middlefield Rd., MS 977 Menlo Park, CA 94025 U.S.A. (2) Now at Geomatrix Consultants, Inc, 2101 Webster Street, CA 94612-3066 (3) Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan
Spatio-temporal stress states estimated from seismicity rate changes in Tokai region, central Japan, Tectonophysics, 417, 53-68, 2006 (1) Active Fault Research Center, AIST, Tsukuba, Japan (2) National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention, NIED, Tsukuba, Japan [Printable article (1.9 Mb)]
S. Toda, R. S. Stein, K. Richards-Dinger and S. Bozkurt,
Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California:
Animations built on earthquake stress transfer, J. Geophys. Res., Vol. 110, B05S16, doi:10.1029/2004JB003415, 2005.
Toggling of seismicity by the 1997 Kagoshima earthquake couplet: A demonstration
of time-dependent stress transfer, J. Geophys. Res., 108, B12, 2567,
doi: 10.1029/2003JB002527, 2003
Response of the San Andreas Fault to the 1983 Coalinga-Nuñez Earthquakes:
An Application of Interaction-based Probabilities for Parkfield, J. Geophys.
Res. 107, 10.1029/2001JB000172, 2002.
Behavior of the North Anatolian Fault, Turkey: Stress triggering and the
slip predictable model., Gekkan Chikkyu (monthly J. Earth Sciences), 31,
pp. 118-128, 2000 (in Japanese).
S. Toda, D. Miura, K. Miyakoshi and D. Inoue,
Recent surface faulting events along part of the Itoigawa-Shizuoka tectonic
Line: Trenching survey of the Hakushu fault, the Shimotsuburai fault and
the Ichinose group, J. Seismol. Soc. Japan, 52, pp. 445-468, 2000 (in
Japanese).
S. Toda and R. S. Stein,
Did stress triggering cause the large off-fault aftershocks of the 25 March
1998 Mw=8.1 Antarctic plate earthquake?, Geophys. Res. Letts.,
27, pp. 2,301-2,304, 2000.
K. Suzuki, S. Toda, K. Kusunoki, Y. Fujimitsu, T. Mogi and A. Jomori,
Case studies of electrical and electromaginetic methods applied to mapping
active faults beneath the thick Quaternary, Engineering Geology, 56, pp.
29-45, 2000.
T. Parsons, A. Barka, S. Toda, R. S. Stein and J. H. Dieterich,
Influence of the 17 August 1999 Izmit earthquake on seismic hazards in
Istanbul, in A. Barka, O. Kozaci, S. Akyuz and E. Altunel (Eds.), The
1999 Izmit and Duzce Earthquakes: Preliminary results, pp. 295-310, 2000.
S. Toda, R. S. Stein, P. A. Reasenberg and J. H. Dieterich and A. Yoshida,
Stress transferred by the Mw=6.9 Kobe, Japan, shock: Effect on aftershocks
and future earthquake probabilities, J. Geophys. Res., 103, pp. 24,543-24,565,
1998.
The 1995 Kobe earhquake and problems of evaluation of active faults in
Japan, Engineering Geology, 43, pp. 151-167, 1996.
S. Toda, D. Inoue, A. Kubouchi, N. Takase and M. Nikaido,
Paleoseismicity of the Atera fault system and 1586 Tensho earthquake: trenching
studies at Ogo, Aonohara and Dendahara, central Japan, Journal of Seismological
Society of Japan, 48, pp. 401-421, 1995 (in Japanese with English figures
and tables).
S. Toda, K. Miyakoshi, D. Inoue, K. Kusunoki and K. Suzuki,
Trench survey for the Ohara fault of the Yamasaki fault system at Hurumachi,
Ohara Town, Okayama Pref., Japan, Journal of Seismological Society of
Japan, 48, pp. 57-70, 1995 (in Japanese with English figures and tables).
S. Toda, K. Tanaka, M. Chigira, K. Miyakawa and T. Hasegawa,
Coseismic behavior of groundwater by the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake, Journal
of Seismological Society of Japan, 48, pp. 547-553, 1995.
S. Toda, D. Inoue, N. Takase, A. Kubouchi and Y. Tomioka,
The latest activity of the Atera fault: a possibility of the 1586 Tensho
earthquake, Journal of Seismological Society of Japan, 47, pp. 73-77,
1994.
